Result
 
                    2:1
                
               
                
                                 
                    
                    
                        20/09/2025 at  12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
                    
 
                 
                
                
				
				                
				
				                
                 
                 
                     
                     
                                                -  Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 4
- Where to Watch on TV: 
                    
|  |  | 
|---|
|  Spain | Footballclub, LaLiga+ | 
 
                     
                  
				
				            
            
            
                            				
                
                
				
				                 
                    
                        Match Stats
                    
                    
                        
                                
|  |  | 
|---|
| Ball Possession | 
|---|
| 57% | 43% | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 6 | 10 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 4 | 5 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 9 | 7 | 
| Yellow Cards | 
|---|
| 1 | 2 | 
| Red Cards | 
|---|
| 1 | 0 | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 6 | 10 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 4 | 5 | 
| Shots off target | 
|---|
| 2 | 5 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 9 | 7 | 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Key Moments
                    
                    
					    Here there are
                                
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 44', Pipe 🟨, 
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 47', 1 - 0, Deco ⚽, 
- 56', Miki ↓, Solar M. ↑, 
- 56', Herranz Corral V. ↓, Chiqui ↑, 
- 62', 1 - 1, Areso J. ⚽, 
- 66', Berlanga M. ↓, Gomez D. ↑, 
- 66', Gomez C. ↓, Gonzalez C. ↑, 
- 73', Areso J. ↓, Dibrani B. ↑, 
- 79', Fernandez I. ↓, Morales A. ↑, 
- 79', Hyjek J. ↓, Sanchis R. ↑, 
- 83', 2 - 1, Sanchidrian R. ⚽, 
- 87', Beneit R. ↓, Pereira R. ↑, 
- 87', Sanchidrian R. ↓, Vicente I. ↑, 
- 87', Pipe ↓, Artola J. ↑, 
- 90+5', Deco 🟥, 
- 90+5',  🟨, 
- 90+8',  🟨, 
  
                 
				 				 
				 				 
				 
				 				 
				 
				 
				
				                 
                    
                        Chances of winning
                    
                    
                        
                                
 | Cacereño 35.7%
 | Draw 31.6%
 | Mérida AD 32.7%
 | 
Initial Probability
 (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Cacereño - Mérida AD Odds
                    
                    
                        
                                
            
            
            
			
			
			   |  | 1 | X | 2 | Marga |  | 
			
			
			   | Avarage Now (Initially)
 | 2.6 ↑ (2.33)
 | 2.97 ↓ (3.03)
 | 2.82 ↓ (2.94)
 | 7.6% (10.1%)
 |  | 
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  
                 
				 				 
				 
				 
            
                                
                
                                  
                    
                     Preview Facts
                    
                    
                        
                             - Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Recently, Cacereño has had a series of away games.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cacereño won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 0.6:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cacereño won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 0.5:1.5).                        
  
                 
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Cacereño won against Mérida AD?
                    
                    
                        
                            Cacereño has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Mérida AD won against Cacereño?
                    
                    
                        
                             Mérida AD has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                
                                 
                    
                        What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
                    
                    
                    
                        
                            The latest head-to-head matches between Cacereño - Mérida AD were as follows:
                                                        
                                12.08.2023 
                                Cacereño 
                                - 
                                Mérida AD 
                                0:0
                            
        
                                                     
                      
                    
                 
                
                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Cacereño                    
                    
                    
                 
                                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Mérida AD                    
                    
                 
				
				
				
                
                
                                 
                                 
                			   
			                       
                            
                                                
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
2025/26|  |  | Pl | W | D | L |  | Diff | Pts | 
| 1 | Tenerife | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 16:6 | 10 | 19 | 
| 2 | Celta Vigo B | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 12:7 | 5 | 17 | 
| 3 | Racing Club Ferrol | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 13:9 | 4 | 17 | 
| 4 | Real Madrid B | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 12:10 | 2 | 15 | 
| 5 | Barakaldo | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 11:8 | 3 | 14 | 
| 6 | Real Aviles | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 15:16 | -1 | 14 | 
| 7 | Zamora | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12:10 | 2 | 12 | 
| 8 | CF Talavera | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10:9 | 1 | 12 | 
| 9 | Lugo | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 6:5 | 1 | 12 | 
| 10 | Guadalajara | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10:11 | -1 | 12 | 
| 11 | Pontevedra | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 8:9 | -1 | 12 | 
| 12 | Ponferradina | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10:9 | 1 | 11 | 
| 13 | Cacereno | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 9:9 | 0 | 11 | 
| 14 | Arenas Getxo | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 11:14 | -3 | 11 | 
| 15 | Arenteiro | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 7:8 | -1 | 10 | 
| 16 | Unionistas | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 8:10 | -2 | 10 | 
| 17 | Osasuna B | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 6:9 | -3 | 10 | 
| 18 | Merida AD | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 10:15 | -5 | 10 | 
| 19 | Ath Bilbao B | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 8:13 | -5 | 9 | 
| 20 | Ourense CF | 9 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 5:12 | -7 | 5 | 
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