Mérida AD vs Cacereño – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
22/02/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 25
  • Where to Watch on TV:
spainSpainFootballclub, LaLiga+

Match Stats

Ball possession
51%49%
Total shots
97
Shots on target
15
Corner kicks
37
Yellow cards
53
Total shots
97
Shots on target
15
Shots off target
82
Corner kicks
37

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 16', Csenterics A. 🟨,
  • 18', Lancho J. 🟨,
  • 26', Gomes R. 🟨,
  • 36', 1 - 0, Hallsson S. ,
  • 39', de Diego J. 🟨,
  • 45+3', Alonso J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Dominguez J. , Pareja L. ,
  • 62', Palacin P. , Vazquez K. ,
  • 62', Gomes R. , El Ftouhi S. ,
  • 77', Hallsson S. , Capitas M. ,
  • 77', Monerris A. , Gomez C. ,
  • 77', Valdera R. , Gutierrez D. ,
  • 77', Conesa N. , Kaptoum W. ,
  • 85', Verges E. 🟨,
  • 87', Alonso J. , Crespo A. ,
  • 89', Dibrani B. , Pipe ,
  • 89', Beneit R. , Herranz Corral V. ,
  • 90+3', Vazquez K. 🟨,
  • 90+6', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Mérida AD
45.4%
Draw
29.6%
Cacereño
24.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.4% 27.7% 21.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.1% 29.2% 20.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mérida AD has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)
  • Cacereño has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mérida AD than the current prediction. (+7.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mérida AD, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cacereño than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
  • Mérida AD - Cacereño Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.03
    (1.84)
    3.1
    (3.35)
    3.61
    (4.25)
    9.3%
    (7.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 11 and 16 in the zone Relegation).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mérida AD won 2.
    • Mérida AD has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Cacereño is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Mérida AD might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Mérida AD won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:5. (average 1.2:0.8).
    • Including home match between the teams, Mérida AD won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Mérida AD - Cacereño were as follows:
    20.09.2025 Cacereño - Mérida AD 2:1
    12.08.2023 Cacereño - Mérida AD 0:0
    Latest results of Mérida AD
    14.02.2026 Ourense CF - Mérida AD 3:1
    08.02.2026 Mérida AD - Zamora 2:0
    31.01.2026 Real Avilés - Mérida AD 1:2
    23.01.2026 Mérida AD - Pontevedra 1:1
    Latest results of Cacereño
    14.02.2026 Cacereño - Pontevedra 1:0
    08.02.2026 Osasuna B - Cacereño 2:2
    01.02.2026 Cacereño - Barakaldo 0:0
    25.01.2026 Ourense CF - Cacereño 0:1
    Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tenerife32199452:193366
    2Celta Vigo B32169752:421057
    3Real Madrid B321471151:411049
    4Zamora321310943:37649
    5Pontevedra321213738:241449
    6Barakaldo321212841:33848
    7Ponferradina321381136:28847
    8Unionistas321381145:42347
    9Lugo321112932:34-245
    10AD Merida321291142:45-345
    11Arenas Getxo321351438:47-944
    12Ath Bilbao B321281233:36-344
    13Racing Club Ferrol321261435:41-642
    14Real Aviles321171446:53-740
    15Ourense CF329101336:37-137
    16CF Talavera32981532:41-935
    17Guadalajara32981535:47-1235
    18Cacereno327131230:41-1134
    19Osasuna B32791623:38-1530
    20Arenteiro32691729:43-1427

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