Almería vs Cádiz – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

16/11/2025 at 10:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

UD Almería Stadium (Almería).

LaLiga2 - Round 14
Referee: De Aza M. H. (Esp)
Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 8
Chile	DirecTV Sports
Ecuador	DirecTV Sports
Mexico	Sky Sport
North-central-america	DirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
Peru	DirecTV Sports
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion 2, LaLiga Hypermotion
Uruguay	DirecTV Sports
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports, Inter

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.94	0.74
Ball Possession
58%	42%
Total shots
16	7
Shots on target
9	3
Big Chances
2	2
Corner Kicks
13	5
Passes
80% (292/363)	71% (187/265)
Yellow Cards
3	0
Expected Goals (xG)
1.94	0.74
xG on target (xGOT)
3.68	0.73
Total shots
16	7
Shots on target
9	3
Shots off target
3	3
Blocked Shots
4	1
Shots inside the Box
10	4
Shots outside the Box
6	3
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
2	2
Corner Kicks
13	5
Touches in opposition box
33	14
Accurate through passes
0	1
Offsides
0	3
Free Kicks
11	13
Passes
80% (292/363)	71% (187/265)
Long passes
60% (38/63)	40% (19/47)
Passes in final third
77% (89/116)	49% (33/68)
Crosses
31% (9/29)	14% (2/14)
Expected assists (xA)
0.66	0.26
Throw-ins
16	21
Fouls
13	11
Tackles
43% (6/14)	62% (8/13)
Duels won
46	40
Clearances
26	25
Interceptions
11	3
Errors leading to shot
0	2
Errors leading to goal
0	1
Goalkeeper Saves
2	6
xGOT faced
0.73	3.68
Goals prevented
0.73	0.68

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
16', 1 - 0, Thalys ⚽,
45', Lopy D. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Lopy D. ↓, Baba I. ↑,
49', Arribas S. 🟨,
58', Monte N. 🟨,
66', de la Rosa J. ↓, Ugiagbe E. ↑,
66', Pascual A. ↓, Camara D. ↑,
69', 2 - 0, Arribas S. (Pen),
74', Arribas S. ↓, Melamed N. ↑,
75', Puigmal A. ↓, Luna M. ↑,
77', Thalys ↓, Soko P. ↑,
78', Diakite M. ↓, Ortuno S. ↑,
78', Suso ↓, Marti R. ↑,
81', 3 - 0, Embarba A. ⚽,
86', Ocampo B. ↓, Fernandez A. ↑,
86', Gui Guedes ↓, Clua S. ↑,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/4urr85zk

Chances of winning

Almería
59.6%

Draw
23.3%

Cádiz
17%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.1%

23%

17.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.6%

22.4%

17.5%

Almería - Cádiz Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↓ (1.6)	4.05 ↓ (4.11)	5.54 ↑ (5.3)	5.6% (5.7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Almería - Cádiz?

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Almería will win (votes: 15 - 78.9%). Cádiz will win (votes: 3 - 15.8%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Almería: 60.6% – 97.2%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Almería (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Almería won 1.
Almería is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
In recent matches, Cádiz has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Almería may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Almería is a strong favorite.
There will not play in Almería: Chumi (Ankle Injury) Dzodic S. (International duty) Iribarne B. (International duty) Perovic M. (International duty)
There will not play in Cádiz: Fali (Knee Injury) Kovacevic B. (International duty) Tabatadze I. (International duty)
There are questionable in Almería: Leo Baptistao (Injury) Munoz A. (Injury) Soko P. (International duty)
In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Almería won 2 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 17:19. (average 1:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Almería won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:8. (average 1.4:1.1).

How many head-to-head matches has Almería won against Cádiz?

Almería has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Cádiz won against Almería?

Cádiz has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Almería - Cádiz were as follows:

09.05.2025 Cádiz - Almería 2:1

22.12.2024 Almería - Cádiz 1:1

25.05.2024 Almería - Cádiz 6:1

26.08.2023 Cádiz - Almería 1:1

18.03.2023 Almería - Cádiz 1:1

Latest results of Almería

01.11.2025 Almería - Eibar 3:1 ✺

29.10.2025 Lorca Deportiva - Almería 0:2 ✺

26.10.2025 Almería - Castellón 1:0 ✺

19.10.2025 Córdoba - Almería 1:1 ✺

11.10.2025 Almería - Zaragoza 4:2 ✺

Latest results of Cádiz

09.11.2025 Cádiz - Valladolid 0:0 ✺

02.11.2025 FC Andorra - Cádiz 0:0 ✺

28.10.2025 UCAM Murcia - Cádiz 1:3 ✺

25.10.2025 Granada - Cádiz 0:0 ✺

20.10.2025 Cádiz - Burgos 1:3 ✺

Spanish LaLiga2 Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Racing Santander	19	11	4	4	42:27	15	37
2	Las Palmas	19	9	7	3	23:11	12	34
3	Dep. La Coruna	19	9	5	5	32:21	11	32
4	Almeria	19	9	5	5	35:26	9	32
5	Castellon	19	9	4	6	30:24	6	31
6	Cadiz CF	19	8	6	5	20:19	1	30
7	Gijon	19	9	3	7	23:23	0	30
8	Burgos CF	19	8	5	6	24:18	6	29
9	Ceuta	19	8	5	6	22:23	-1	29
10	Malaga	19	7	5	7	26:24	2	26
11	Cordoba	19	6	8	5	23:23	0	26
12	Valladolid	19	6	6	7	20:19	1	24
13	Andorra	19	6	6	7	21:26	-5	24
14	Albacete	19	6	5	8	25:31	-6	23
15	Huesca	19	6	5	8	18:24	-6	23
16	Cultural Leonesa	19	7	2	10	20:28	-8	23
17	Real Sociedad B	19	6	3	10	27:29	-2	21
18	Eibar	19	5	6	8	21:24	-3	21
19	Granada CF	19	4	9	6	21:24	-3	21
20	Leganes	19	4	8	7	17:20	-3	20
21	Zaragoza	19	4	5	10	16:30	-14	17
22	Mirandes	19	4	4	11	19:31	-12	16

      Promotion ~ LaLiga
      Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation