Cádiz vs Almería – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish LaLiga2
Football Spanish LaLiga2 Cádiz - Almería
Result
2:1
09/05/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • LaLiga2 - Round 39
  • Referee: Palencia D. (Esp)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 5
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 3
greeceGreeceNova Sports 1
indiaIndiaGXR World
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSky Sports Norte
norwayNorwayTV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium
peruPeruDisney+
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 8
spainSpainDAZN Espana, GolStadium, LaLiga Hypermotion, Movistar+ Lite, Movistar+ Vamos Bar 1, Orange Futbol 2, #Vamos
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 3
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.721.09
Ball Possession
64%36%
Total shots
208
Shots on target
34
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
96
Passes
91% (390/429)75% (190/252)
Yellow Cards
54
Red Cards
02
Expected Goals (xG)
1.721.09
xG on target (xGOT)
1.621.83
Total shots
208
Shots on target
34
Shots off target
133
Blocked Shots
41
Shots inside the Box
117
Shots outside the Box
91
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
11
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
96
Touches in opposition box
4113
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
30
Free Kicks
1415
Passes
91% (390/429)75% (190/252)
Long passes
79% (27/34)39% (22/57)
Passes in final third
89% (182/204)55% (38/69)
Crosses
24% (11/45)18% (3/17)
Expected assists (xA)
1.890.46
Throw-ins
1412
Fouls
1514
Tackles
80% (4/5)40% (2/5)
Duels won
3034
Clearances
1244
Interceptions
64
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
31
xGOT faced
1.831.62
Goals prevented
0.68-0.38

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 3', Sobrino R. 🟨,
  • 6', Lopy D. 🟨,
  • 30', Kaiky 🟥,
  • 34', 0 - 1, Melero G. ⚽, Melamed N. (A),
  • 40', Arribas S. ↓, Pozo A. ↑,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Sobrino R. ↓, Ontiveros J. ↑,
  • 46', Melamed N. ↓, Langa B. ↑,
  • 46', De la Rosa J. ↓, Ocampo B. ↑,
  • 51', Langa B. 🟥,
  • 52', Rubi 🟨,
  • 53', Martinez F. 🟨,
  • 62', Melendo O. ↓, Fernandez C. ↑,
  • 67', Ontiveros J. 🟨,
  • 67', Melero G. 🟨,
  • 68', Leo Baptistao ↓, Radovanovic A. ↑,
  • 70', Fali 🟨,
  • 70', Pozo A. 🟨,
  • 70', Fali ↓, Chust V. ↑,
  • 83', Melero G. ↓, Robertone L. ↑,
  • 83', Zaldua J. ↓, Carcelen I. ↑,
  • 85', Alcaraz R. 🟨,
  • 90+6', 1 - 1, Fernandez C. ⚽, Ontiveros J. (A),
  • 90+8', 2 - 1, Chust V. ⚽, Marti R. (A),
  • 90+9', Chust V. 🟨,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/y2ca2aaz

Chances of winning


Cádiz
24.7%		Draw
26.8%		Almería
48.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.5% 29.2% 40.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.6% 28.4% 41.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cádiz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cádiz's form might have worsened.
  • Almería has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Almería's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cádiz than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Almería than the current prediction. (-6.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Almería, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
    •

    Cádiz - Almería Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 3.79 ↑
    (3.09)    		 3.52 ↑
    (3.22)    		 1.97 ↓
    (2.34)    		 5.5%
    (6.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    •
    What is the prediction for Cádiz - Almería?
  • Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Cádiz will win (votes: 7 - 35%). Almería will win (votes: 13 - 65%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Almería: 44.1% – 85.9%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%).
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Almería will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 13 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cádiz won 0.
    • Cádiz is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Almería's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Almería will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Cádiz: Gil D. (Red Card) Mwepu F. (Knee Injury) Ocampo B. (Injury) Ramos C. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Almería: Baba I. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Almería: Pubill M. (Injury)
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Cádiz won 6 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:16. (average 1.1:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Cádiz won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:6. (average 1:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cádiz - Almería were as follows:
    22.12.2024 Almería - Cádiz 1:1
    25.05.2024 Almería - Cádiz 6:1
    26.08.2023 Cádiz - Almería 1:1
    18.03.2023 Almería - Cádiz 1:1
    30.12.2022 Cádiz - Almería 1:1
    Latest results of Cádiz
    02.05.2025 Córdoba - Cádiz 4:2 ✺
    25.04.2025 Cádiz - Sporting de Gijón 1:0 ✺
    19.04.2025 Burgos - Cádiz 2:2 ✺
    12.04.2025 Cádiz - Elche 0:1 ✺
    06.04.2025 Deportivo La Coruña - Cádiz 1:0 ✺
    Latest results of Almería
    04.05.2025 Almería - Eldense 5:0 ✺
    29.04.2025 Almería - Ferrol 2:1 ✺
    18.04.2025 Castellón - Almería 4:1 ✺
    13.04.2025 Almería - Cartagena 2:1 ✺
    05.04.2025 Granada - Almería 3:1 ✺
    Spanish LaLiga2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Gijon00000:000
    2Cordoba00000:000
    3Las Palmas00000:000
    4Castellon00000:000
    5Albacete00000:000
    6Eibar00000:000
    7Malaga00000:000
    8Cadiz CF00000:000
    9Burgos CF00000:000
    10Huesca00000:000
    11Racing Santander00000:000
    12Almeria00000:000
    13Dep. La Coruna00000:000
    14Valladolid00000:000
    15Zaragoza00000:000
    16Real Sociedad B00000:000
    17Cultural Leonesa00000:000
    18Leganes00000:000
    19Ceuta00000:000
    20Granada CF00000:000
    21Mirandes00000:000
    22Andorra00000:000

          Promotion ~ LaLiga
          Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation

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