Cagliari vs Inter Milan – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
27/09/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie A - Round 5
  • Referee: Piccinini M. (Ita)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaZAP
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 1
angolaAngolaZ Sports 2
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiaSTARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
australiaAustraliaAmazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
austriaAustriaDAZN 2, DAZN, Sky Go Austria
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 2
brazilBrazilDisney+
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 3
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada, TLN, VIVA
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
czech-republicCzech-republicSport 1
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
europeEuropeGo3 Sport Open Baltic
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
franceFranceDAZN France
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sport 3
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, WOW
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 2
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 3, M Plus Live
hungaryHungaryMatch 4, Net4+
indonesiaIndonesiaVidio
israelIsraelSport 1
italyItalyDAZN Italia, NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 251, Sky Sport Calcio
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 2
macaoMacaoMacau Cable TV 34 Football
malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 3
mexicoMexicoDisney+, ESPN
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean, ESPN 2 Caribbean
norwayNorwayVG+
peruPeruDisney+
polandPolandEleven Sports 2, Polsat Sport Extra 1
portugalPortugalSport TV2
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 2, Prima Sport 2
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaSTC TV
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 2
slovakiaSlovakiaSport 1
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 1
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenTV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
turkeyTurkeyS Sport 2, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDAZN, DAZN UK
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaCBS Sports Golazo, DAZN Espanol, DAZN USA, Paramount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.192.74
Ball Possession
42%58%
Total shots
620
Shots on target
05
Big Chances
16
Corner Kicks
44
Passes
81% (303/374)84% (451/534)
Yellow Cards
02
Expected Goals (xG)
0.192.74
xG on target (xGOT)
0.002.23
Total shots
620
Shots on target
05
Shots off target
411
Blocked Shots
24
Shots inside the Box
515
Shots outside the Box
15
Hit the Woodwork
12
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
16
Corner Kicks
44
Touches in opposition box
1036
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
1413
Passes
81% (303/374)84% (451/534)
Long passes
61% (25/41)49% (30/61)
Passes in final third
67% (61/91)75% (137/183)
Crosses
18% (4/22)35% (7/20)
Expected assists (xA)
0.271.52
Throw-ins
2315
Fouls
1314
Tackles
58% (7/12)57% (8/14)
Duels won
3945
Clearances
1720
Interceptions
188
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
30
xGOT faced
2.230.00
Goals prevented
0.230.00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 9', 0 - 1, Martinez L. , Bastoni A. (A),
  • 44', Belotti A. , Prati M. ,
  • 45', Carlos Augusto 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Carlos Augusto , Dimarco F. ,
  • 58', Deiola A. , Gaetano G. ,
  • 58', Pedro J. , Felici M. ,
  • 60', Barella N. 🟨,
  • 64', Barella N. , Frattesi D. ,
  • 64', Thuram M. , Esposito F. ,
  • 72', Luis Henrique , Dumfries D. ,
  • 78', Obert A. , Idrissi R. ,
  • 78', Folorunsho M. , Borrelli G. ,
  • 82', 0 - 2, Esposito F. , Dimarco F. (A),
  • 89', Martinez L. , Bonny A. ,

Chances of winning


Cagliari
8%
Draw
21.1%
Inter Milan
70.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
16% 22.8% 61.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.7% 22.3% 62.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cagliari has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cagliari's form might have worsened.
  • Inter Milan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Inter Milan's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cagliari than the current prediction. (+7.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cagliari, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Inter Milan than the current prediction. (-8.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Inter Milan, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Cagliari - Inter Milan Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    14.47
    (5.95)
    5.07
    (4.16)
    1.45
    (1.55)
    -4.4%
    (5.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Cagliari - Inter Milan?
  • Users Predictions: 59 users predict this event. Cagliari will win (votes: 9 - 15.3%). Inter will win (votes: 46 - 78%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 6.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Inter: 67.4%88.6%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Inter Milan will win (20 of 27 users predict this - 74.07%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cagliari won 0.
    • Cagliari is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • In recent matches, Inter has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, Inter is the undisputed favorite.
    • There will not play in Cagliari: Luvumbo Z. (Thigh Injury) Zappa G. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Inter: Bonny A. (Ankle Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cagliari won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 19:50. (average 1:2.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Cagliari won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 8:24. (average 0.9:2.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cagliari - Inter Milan were as follows:
    12.04.2025 Inter Milan - Cagliari 3:1
    28.12.2024 Cagliari - Inter Milan 0:3
    14.04.2024 Inter Milan - Cagliari 2:2
    28.08.2023 Cagliari - Inter Milan 0:2
    Latest results of Cagliari
    23.09.2025 Cagliari - Frosinone 4:1
    19.09.2025 Lecce - Cagliari 1:2
    13.09.2025 Cagliari - Parma 2:0
    30.08.2025 Napoli - Cagliari 1:0
    24.08.2025 Cagliari - Fiorentina 1:1
    Latest results of Inter Milan
    21.09.2025 Inter Milan - Sassuolo 2:1
    17.09.2025 Ajax - Inter Milan 0:2
    13.09.2025 Juventus - Inter Milan 4:3
    31.08.2025 Inter Milan - Udinese 1:2
    25.08.2025 Inter Milan - Torino 5:0
    Italian Serie A Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Inter27221464:214367
    2AC Milan27169243:202357
    3Napoli27165641:281353
    4AS Roma27163837:191851
    5Como27139544:202448
    6Juventus27138646:281847
    7Atalanta27129637:241345
    8Bologna271161036:32439
    9Sassuolo271151134:36-238
    10Udinese271051231:39-835
    11Lazio27810926:27-134
    12Parma27891020:32-1233
    13Cagliari27791129:36-730
    14Torino27861327:47-2030
    15Genoa27691232:39-727
    16Fiorentina27591330:42-1224
    17Cremonese27591321:38-1724
    18Lecce27661518:36-1824
    19Pisa271121420:44-2415
    20Verona27291620:48-2815

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B