Result
0:2
27/09/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A - Round 5
- Referee: Piccinini M. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Africa | ZAP |
Albania | Tring Sport 1 |
Angola | Z Sports 2 |
Argentina | Disney+ |
Armenia | Fast Sports |
Asia | STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic |
Australia | Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
Austria | DAZN 2, DAZN, Sky Go Austria |
Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 2 |
Brazil | Disney+ |
Bulgaria | Max Sport 3 |
Canada | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada, TLN, VIVA |
China | Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
Croatia | Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go |
Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4 |
Czech-republic | Sport 1 |
Denmark | TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X |
Europe | Go3 Sport Open Baltic |
Finland | MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2 |
France | DAZN France |
Georgia | Setanta Sport 3 |
Germany | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, WOW |
Greece | COSMOTE Sport 2 |
Hong-kong | beIN Sports 3, M Plus Live |
Hungary | Match 4, Net4+ |
Indonesia | Vidio |
Israel | Sport 1 |
Italy | DAZN Italia, NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 251, Sky Sport Calcio |
Japan | DAZN Japan |
Kosovo | Arena Premium 2 |
Macao | Macau Cable TV 34 Football |
Malaysia | Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka |
Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 3 |
Mexico | Disney+, ESPN |
Netherlands | Ziggo Sport |
New-zealand | beIN Connect |
North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN 2 Caribbean |
Norway | VG+ |
Peru | Disney+ |
Poland | Eleven Sports 2, Polsat Sport Extra 1 |
Portugal | Sport TV2 |
Romania | Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Prima Sport 2 |
Russia | MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
Saudi-arabia | STC TV |
Serbia | Arena Premium 2 |
Slovakia | Sport 1 |
Slovenia | Arena Sport 1 |
South-korea | SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime |
Spain | DAZN Espana |
Sweden | TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play |
Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
Turkey | S Sport 2, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1 |
Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Ukraine |
United-kingdom | DAZN, DAZN UK |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | CBS Sports Golazo, DAZN Espanol, DAZN USA, Paramount+ |
Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.19 | 2.74 |
Ball Possession |
---|
42% | 58% |
Total shots |
---|
6 | 20 |
Shots on target |
---|
0 | 5 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 6 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 4 |
Passes |
---|
81% (303/374) | 84% (451/534) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
0 | 2 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.19 | 2.74 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.00 | 2.23 |
Total shots |
---|
6 | 20 |
Shots on target |
---|
0 | 5 |
Shots off target |
---|
4 | 11 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
2 | 4 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
5 | 15 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
1 | 5 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
1 | 2 |
Headed Goals |
---|
0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 6 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 4 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
10 | 36 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 2 |
Free Kicks |
---|
14 | 13 |
Passes |
---|
81% (303/374) | 84% (451/534) |
Long passes |
---|
61% (25/41) | 49% (30/61) |
Passes in final third |
---|
67% (61/91) | 75% (137/183) |
Crosses |
---|
18% (4/22) | 35% (7/20) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.27 | 1.52 |
Throw-ins |
---|
23 | 15 |
Fouls |
---|
13 | 14 |
Tackles |
---|
58% (7/12) | 57% (8/14) |
Duels won |
---|
39 | 45 |
Clearances |
---|
17 | 20 |
Interceptions |
---|
18 | 8 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
1 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
3 | 0 |
xGOT faced |
---|
2.23 | 0.00 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.23 | 0.00 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 9', 0 - 1, Martinez L. ⚽, Bastoni A. (A),
- 44', Belotti A. ↓, Prati M. ↑,
- 45', Carlos Augusto 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Carlos Augusto ↓, Dimarco F. ↑,
- 58', Deiola A. ↓, Gaetano G. ↑,
- 58', Pedro J. ↓, Felici M. ↑,
- 60', Barella N. 🟨,
- 64', Barella N. ↓, Frattesi D. ↑,
- 64', Thuram M. ↓, Esposito F. ↑,
- 72', Luis Henrique ↓, Dumfries D. ↑,
- 78', Obert A. ↓, Idrissi R. ↑,
- 78', Folorunsho M. ↓, Borrelli G. ↑,
- 82', 0 - 2, Esposito F. ⚽, Dimarco F. (A),
- 89', Martinez L. ↓, Bonny A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Cagliari 8% | Draw 21.1% | Inter Milan 70.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cagliari has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cagliari's form might have worsened.Inter Milan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Inter Milan's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cagliari than the current prediction. (+7.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cagliari, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Inter Milan than the current prediction. (-8.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Inter Milan, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Cagliari - Inter Milan Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
14.47 ↑ (5.95) |
5.07 ↑ (4.16) |
1.45 ↓ (1.55) |
-4.4% (5.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Cagliari - Inter Milan?
Users Predictions:
59 users predict this event. Cagliari will win (votes: 9 - 15.3%). Inter will win (votes: 46 - 78%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 6.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Inter: 67.4% – 88.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 15 high ROI users predict this event. Cagliari (votes: 4 - 26.7%). Inter (votes: 11 - 73.3%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cagliari won 0.
- Cagliari is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- In recent matches, Inter has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, Inter is the undisputed favorite.
- There will not play in Cagliari: Luvumbo Z.
(Thigh Injury)
Zappa G.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Inter: Bonny A.
(Ankle Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cagliari won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 19:50. (average 1:2.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cagliari won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 8:24. (average 0.9:2.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Cagliari won against Inter Milan?
Cagliari has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Inter Milan won against Cagliari?
Inter Milan has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cagliari - Inter Milan were as follows:
12.04.2025
Inter Milan
-
Cagliari
3:1
28.12.2024
Cagliari
-
Inter Milan
0:3
14.04.2024
Inter Milan
-
Cagliari
2:2
28.08.2023
Cagliari
-
Inter Milan
0:2
Latest results of Cagliari
Latest results of Inter Milan
Italian Serie A Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Napoli | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 12:6 | 6 | 15 |
2 | AS Roma | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 7:2 | 5 | 15 |
3 | AC Milan | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9:3 | 6 | 13 |
4 | Inter | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 17:8 | 9 | 12 |
5 | Juventus | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9:5 | 4 | 12 |
6 | Atalanta | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 11:5 | 6 | 10 |
7 | Bologna | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9:5 | 4 | 10 |
8 | Como | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7:5 | 2 | 9 |
9 | Sassuolo | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8:8 | 0 | 9 |
10 | Cremonese | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7:8 | -1 | 9 |
11 | Cagliari | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:6 | 0 | 8 |
12 | Udinese | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:9 | -3 | 8 |
13 | Lazio | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10:7 | 3 | 7 |
14 | Parma | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3:7 | -4 | 5 |
15 | Lecce | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:10 | -5 | 5 |
16 | Torino | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:13 | -8 | 5 |
17 | Fiorentina | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4:8 | -4 | 3 |
18 | Verona | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2:9 | -7 | 3 |
19 | Genoa | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3:9 | -6 | 2 |
20 | Pisa | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3:10 | -7 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Serie B