Nuova Cosenza vs Cagliari – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Italian Serie B Nuova Cosenza - Cagliari
Result
0:1
19/05/2023 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ITALY: SERIE B - ROUND 38
  • Referee: Abisso R. (Ita)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
italyItalySky Sport

Highlights

Chances of winning


Nuova Cosenza
23.9%
Draw
25.5%
Cagliari
50.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
27.7% 27.6% 44.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28% 27.9% 44.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Nuova Cosenza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
  • Cagliari has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cagliari's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nuova Cosenza than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cagliari than the current prediction. (-6.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cagliari, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Nuova Cosenza - Cagliari Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.91
    (3.42)
    3.7
    (3.43)
    1.88
    (2.12)
    5.8%
    (5.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Nuova Cosenza - Cagliari?
  • Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Cosenza will win (votes: 4 - 21.1%). Cagliari will win (votes: 11 - 57.9%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 21.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Cagliari: 35.7%80.1%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Cosenza has the most likely position - 16 (57.41%), project points - 41, currently - 40, a chance of relegated (50%), not chance of prom. playoffs.
    • Cagliari has the most likely position - 6 (53.57%), project points - 59, currently - 57, not chance of relegated, already of prom. playoffs, a chance of promoted (23%), not chance of win league.
    • This event has small quality 29, importance 62, match rating 45. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
    • Recent matches Cosenza is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Cagliari is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Cagliari will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Cosenza won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Nuova Cosenza - Cagliari were as follows:
    26.12.2022 Cagliari - Nuova Cosenza 2:0
    Latest results of Nuova Cosenza
    13.05.2023 Ascoli - Nuova Cosenza 1:1
    06.05.2023 Nuova Cosenza - Venezia 1:1
    01.05.2023 Brescia - Nuova Cosenza 2:1
    22.04.2023 Perugia - Nuova Cosenza 0:0
    15.04.2023 Nuova Cosenza - Cittadella 1:1
    Latest results of Cagliari
    13.05.2023 Cagliari - Palermo 2:1
    05.05.2023 Perugia - Cagliari 0:5
    22.04.2023 Parma - Cagliari 2:1
    15.04.2023 Cagliari - Frosinone 0:0
    10.04.2023 Pisa - Cagliari 0:0
    Draw
    Play Out

    Final
    1Salernitana (16)Sampdoria (17)0 : 3, 0 : 2