Result
0:1
19/05/2023 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ITALY: SERIE B - ROUND 38
- Referee: Abisso R. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | Sky Sport |
Chances of winning
Nuova Cosenza
23.9% | Draw
25.5% | Cagliari
50.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nuova Cosenza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)Cagliari has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cagliari's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nuova Cosenza than the current prediction. (+4.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cagliari than the current prediction. (-6.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cagliari, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Nuova Cosenza - Cagliari Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.91 ↑
(3.42) |
3.7 ↑
(3.43) |
1.88 ↓
(2.12) |
5.8%
(5.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Nuova Cosenza - Cagliari?
Users Predictions:
19 users predict this event. Cosenza will win (votes: 4 - 21.1%). Cagliari will win (votes: 11 - 57.9%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 21.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cagliari: 35.7% – 80.1%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- Cosenza has the most likely position - 16 (57.41%), project points - 41, currently - 40, a chance of relegated (50%), not chance of prom. playoffs.
- Cagliari has the most likely position - 6 (53.57%), project points - 59, currently - 57, not chance of relegated, already of prom. playoffs, a chance of promoted (23%), not chance of win league.
- This event has small quality 29, importance 62, match rating 45. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
- Recent matches Cosenza is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Cagliari is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Cagliari will have a mini benefit in this match.
- Last 1 head-to-head matches Cosenza won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.
How many head-to-head matches has Nuova Cosenza won against Cagliari?
Nuova Cosenza has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cagliari won against Nuova Cosenza?
Cagliari has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nuova Cosenza - Cagliari were as follows:
26.12.2022
Cagliari
-
Nuova Cosenza
2:0
Latest results of Nuova Cosenza
Latest results of Cagliari
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cesena | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
| 2 | Empoli | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
| 3 | Frosinone | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | Modena | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 5 | Carrarese | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 6 | Venezia | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Palermo | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Monza | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | Juve Stabia | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Sudtirol | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | Catanzaro | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 | Entella | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 13 | Bari | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 14 | Reggiana | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 15 | Mantova | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 16 | Padova | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
| 17 | Pescara | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
| 18 | Avellino | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
| 19 | Spezia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
| 20 | Sampdoria | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
