Result
0:5
05/05/2023 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ITALY: SERIE B - ROUND 36
- Referee: Ayroldi G. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | SportKlub |
 Bulgaria | Nova Sport |
 Croatia | SportKlub |
 Greece | Nova Sports |
 Italy | Sky Sport |
 Serbia | SportKlub |
 Slovenia | SportKlub |
Chances of winning
Perugia
29.1% | Draw
29.9% | Cagliari
41% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Perugia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Perugia's form might have worsened.Cagliari has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cagliari's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Perugia than the current prediction. (+6.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Perugia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cagliari than the current prediction. (-7.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cagliari, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Perugia - Cagliari Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.27 ↑
(2.55) |
3.15 ↑
(3) |
2.3 ↓
(2.8) |
5.9%
(8.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Perugia - Cagliari?
Users Predictions:
29 users predict this event. Perugia will win (votes: 6 - 20.7%). Cagliari will win (votes: 15 - 51.7%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 27.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cagliari: 33.5% – 69.9%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- Perugia has the most likely position - 18 (22.49%), project points - 40, currently - 36, a good chance of relegated (60%), not chance of prom. playoffs.
- Cagliari has the most likely position - 6 (43.28%), project points - 56, currently - 51, not chance of relegated, a very good chance of prom. playoffs (98%), a chance of promoted (17%), not chance of win league.
- This event has quality 35, importance 69, match rating 52. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
- Perugia is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Recent matches Cagliari is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
- Last 4 head-to-head matches Perugia won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-6.
- Including matches at home between the teams Perugia won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.
How many head-to-head matches has Perugia won against Cagliari?
Perugia has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cagliari won against Perugia?
Cagliari has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Perugia - Cagliari were as follows:
11.12.2022
Cagliari
-
Perugia
3:2
Latest results of Perugia
Latest results of Cagliari
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Venezia ✔ | 37 | 23 | 10 | 4 | 75:31 | 44 | 79 |
| 2 | Frosinone | 37 | 22 | 12 | 3 | 71:34 | 37 | 78 |
| 3 | Monza | 37 | 22 | 9 | 6 | 59:30 | 29 | 75 |
| 4 | Palermo | 37 | 20 | 12 | 5 | 61:31 | 30 | 72 |
| 5 | Catanzaro ✔ | 37 | 15 | 14 | 8 | 60:48 | 12 | 59 |
| 6 | Modena ✔ | 37 | 15 | 10 | 12 | 49:35 | 14 | 55 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia ✔ | 37 | 11 | 17 | 9 | 43:44 | -1 | 50 |
| 8 | Avellino | 37 | 12 | 10 | 15 | 42:55 | -13 | 46 |
| 9 | Cesena | 37 | 12 | 10 | 15 | 42:52 | -10 | 46 |
| 10 | Mantova | 37 | 13 | 7 | 17 | 45:52 | -7 | 46 |
| 11 | Carrarese | 37 | 10 | 14 | 13 | 46:50 | -4 | 44 |
| 12 | Sampdoria | 37 | 11 | 11 | 15 | 35:47 | -12 | 44 |
| 13 | Padova | 37 | 11 | 10 | 16 | 35:46 | -11 | 43 |
| 14 | Empoli | 37 | 9 | 13 | 15 | 45:52 | -7 | 40 |
| 15 | Sudtirol | 37 | 8 | 16 | 13 | 37:47 | -10 | 40 |
| 16 | Entella | 37 | 9 | 12 | 16 | 34:50 | -16 | 39 |
| 17 | Bari | 37 | 9 | 10 | 18 | 35:58 | -23 | 37 |
| 18 | Pescara | 37 | 7 | 13 | 17 | 50:65 | -15 | 34 |
| 19 | Spezia | 37 | 8 | 10 | 19 | 42:58 | -16 | 34 |
| 20 | Reggiana | 37 | 8 | 10 | 19 | 35:56 | -21 | 34 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Venezia is Qualified for Serie A
Catanzaro is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Modena is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Juve Stabia is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
