Result
0:1
19/05/2023 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ITALY: SERIE B - ROUND 38
- Referee: Abisso R. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | Sky Sport |
Chances of winning
Nuova Cosenza
23.9% | Draw
25.5% | Cagliari
50.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nuova Cosenza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)Cagliari has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cagliari's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nuova Cosenza than the current prediction. (+4.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cagliari than the current prediction. (-6.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cagliari, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Nuova Cosenza - Cagliari Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.91 ↑
(3.42) |
3.7 ↑
(3.43) |
1.88 ↓
(2.12) |
5.8%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Nuova Cosenza - Cagliari?
Users Predictions:
19 users predict this event. Cosenza will win (votes: 4 - 21.1%). Cagliari will win (votes: 11 - 57.9%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 21.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cagliari: 35.7% – 80.1%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- Cosenza has the most likely position - 16 (57.41%), project points - 41, currently - 40, a chance of relegated (50%), not chance of prom. playoffs.
- Cagliari has the most likely position - 6 (53.57%), project points - 59, currently - 57, not chance of relegated, already of prom. playoffs, a chance of promoted (23%), not chance of win league.
- This event has small quality 29, importance 62, match rating 45. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
- Recent matches Cosenza is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Cagliari is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Cagliari will have a mini benefit in this match.
- Last 1 head-to-head matches Cosenza won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.
How many head-to-head matches has Nuova Cosenza won against Cagliari?
Nuova Cosenza has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cagliari won against Nuova Cosenza?
Cagliari has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nuova Cosenza - Cagliari were as follows:
26.12.2022
Cagliari
-
Nuova Cosenza
2:0
Latest results of Nuova Cosenza
Latest results of Cagliari
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Venezia | 34 | 21 | 9 | 4 | 68:29 | 39 | 72 |
| 2 | Frosinone | 34 | 19 | 12 | 3 | 65:33 | 32 | 69 |
| 3 | Monza | 34 | 20 | 9 | 5 | 53:27 | 26 | 69 |
| 4 | Palermo | 34 | 18 | 11 | 5 | 55:28 | 27 | 65 |
| 5 | Catanzaro | 34 | 14 | 13 | 7 | 53:42 | 11 | 55 |
| 6 | Modena | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 46:31 | 15 | 52 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia | 34 | 11 | 15 | 8 | 41:41 | 0 | 48 |
| 8 | Cesena | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 42:50 | -8 | 44 |
| 9 | Carrarese | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 44:45 | -1 | 42 |
| 10 | Sudtirol | 34 | 8 | 16 | 10 | 36:37 | -1 | 40 |
| 11 | Mantova | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 39:48 | -9 | 40 |
| 12 | Sampdoria | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 34:44 | -10 | 40 |
| 13 | Avellino | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 38:54 | -16 | 40 |
| 14 | Padova | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 33:45 | -12 | 37 |
| 15 | Empoli | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 43:49 | -6 | 36 |
| 16 | Entella | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 32:47 | -15 | 35 |
| 17 | Bari | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 33:53 | -20 | 34 |
| 18 | Reggiana | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 33:52 | -19 | 33 |
| 19 | Pescara | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 47:61 | -14 | 32 |
| 20 | Spezia | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 32:51 | -19 | 30 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
