Parma vs Cagliari – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Italian Serie A
Result
1:1
27/02/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Serie A - Round 27
  • Referee: Massimi L. (Ita)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaAzam Sports 3, DStv Now
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiaSTARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
austriaAustriaDAZN
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 2
brazilBrazilDisney+
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 3
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada, FuboTV
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaESPN
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
czech-republicCzech-republicOneplay, Sport 1
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play, TV2 Sport
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
franceFranceDAZN France
germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 2
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 1, M Plus Live, Now Player
indonesiaIndonesiaANTV, Vidio
italyItaly214 DAZN Zona, DAZN Italia
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kuwaitKuwaitShasha
malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Arena Bola, Astro Go, Sooka
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 3
mexicoMexicoDisney+, ESPN
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
norwayNorwayVG+
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN
polandPolandEleven Sports 3
portugalPortugalSport TV3
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaSTC TV
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 5
slovakiaSlovakiaSport 1
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 3
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport Football
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime 2
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenTV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
tunisiaTunisiaDiwan Sport
turkeyTurkeyS Sport 2, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 2
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 4
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDAZN
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaDAZN Espanol, DAZN USA, Paramount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamTV 360, VTVcab
worldWorldStarzplay Sports app

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.280.53
Ball possession
56%44%
Total shots
1811
Shots on target
45
Big chances
21
Corner kicks
63
Passes
87% (431/494)84% (335/399)
Yellow cards
24
Expected goals (xG)
1.280.53
xG on target (xGOT)
1.240.41
Total shots
1811
Shots on target
45
Shots off target
63
Blocked shots
83
Shots inside the box
106
Shots outside the box
85
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
21
Corner kicks
63
Touches in opposition box
2115
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
02
Free kicks
814
Passes
87% (431/494)84% (335/399)
Long passes
39% (15/38)47% (20/43)
Passes in final third
73% (111/152)67% (56/83)
Crosses
29% (6/21)0% (0/11)
Expected assists (xA)
0.790.32
Throw ins
1816
Fouls
148
Tackles
67% (6/9)67% (10/15)
Duels won
3953
Clearances
1526
Interceptions
58
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
43
xGOT faced
0.411.24
Goals prevented
-0.590.24

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 21', Rodriguez J. 🟨,
  • 40', Dossena A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Delprato E. ↓, Oristanio G. ↑,
  • 46', Ordonez C. ↓, Nicolussi Caviglia H. ↑,
  • 56', Pellegrino M. 🟨,
  • 61', Kilicsoy S. ↓, Folorunsho M. ↑,
  • 63', 0 - 1, Folorunsho M. ⚽, Esposito Se. (A),
  • 63', Valenti L. 🟨,
  • 65', Sulemana I. 🟨,
  • 75', Keita M. ↓, Estevez N. ↑,
  • 83', 1 - 1, Oristanio G. ⚽,
  • 87', Sulemana I. ↓, Idrissi R. ↑,
  • 87', Esposito Se. ↓, Pavoletti L. ↑,
  • 89', Valeri E. ↓, Carboni F. ↑,
  • 90', Bernabe A. ↓, Cremaschi B. ↑,
  • 90+4', Obert A. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Parma
42.2%		Draw
32.2%		Cagliari
25.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.3% 30.8% 31.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.6% 31.9% 30.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Parma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)
  • Cagliari has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cagliari might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Parma than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cagliari than the current prediction. (+5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cagliari could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
    •

    Parma - Cagliari Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.27 ↓
    (2.55)    		 2.97 ↓
    (3.09)    		 3.71 ↑
    (2.98)    		 4.7%
    (5.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Parma - Cagliari?
  • Users Predictions: 54 users predict this event. Parma will win (votes: 19 - 35.2%). Cagliari will win (votes: 6 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 29 - 53.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 40.4% – 67%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 15 high ROI users predict this event. Parma (votes: 5 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 10 - 66.7%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • 1X2, 1st Half - draw (votes: 0 - 0%) .
    • DNB - Parma (1.48) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 16 high ROI users predict this event. Parma (votes: 6 - 37.5%). Tie (votes: 10 - 62.5%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 12 and 13).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Parma won 0.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Parma will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Parma: Almqvist P. (Thigh Injury) Frigan M. (Knee Injury) Suzuki Z. (Finger Injury)
    • There will not play in Cagliari: Belotti A. (Knee Injury) Borrelli G. (Thigh Injury) Deiola A. (Injury) Felici M. (Knee Injury) Gaetano G. (Injury) Mazzitelli L. (Injury) Mina Y. (Red Card)
    • There are questionable in Parma: Ndiaye A. (Groin Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Parma won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 24:30. (average 1.2:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Parma won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:9. (average 1.3:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Parma - Cagliari were as follows:
    13.09.2025 Cagliari - Parma 2:0
    09.02.2025 Cagliari - Parma 2:1
    30.09.2024 Parma - Cagliari 2:3
    03.06.2023 Parma - Cagliari 0:0
    30.05.2023 Cagliari - Parma 3:2
    Latest results of Parma
    22.02.2026 Milan - Parma 0:1 ✺
    15.02.2026 Parma - Verona 2:1 ✺
    08.02.2026 Bologna - Parma 0:1 ✺
    01.02.2026 Parma - Juventus 1:4 ✺
    25.01.2026 Atalanta - Parma 4:0 ✺
    Latest results of Cagliari
    21.02.2026 Cagliari - Lazio 0:0 ✺
    16.02.2026 Cagliari - Lecce 0:2 ✺
    09.02.2026 Roma - Cagliari 2:0 ✺
    31.01.2026 Cagliari - Verona 4:0 ✺
    24.01.2026 Fiorentina - Cagliari 1:2 ✺
    Italian Serie A Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Inter29222565:234268
    2AC Milan29179344:212360
    3Napoli29185645:301559
    4Como29159548:222654
    5Juventus29158651:282353
    6AS Roma291631039:231651
    7Atalanta291211640:271347
    8Bologna291261138:34442
    9Lazio291010929:28140
    10Sassuolo291151335:39-438
    11Udinese291061333:42-936
    12Parma298101121:36-1534
    13Genoa29891236:40-433
    14Torino29961432:50-1833
    15Cagliari29791331:41-1030
    16Fiorentina296101334:43-928
    17Lecce29761621:39-1827
    18Cremonese29591523:44-2124
    19Pisa292121523:49-2618
    20Verona29391722:51-2918

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          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B

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