Result
2:0
13/09/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A - Round 3
- Referee: Fourneau F. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Africa | New World Sport 2, SuperSport Football, ZAP |
Albania | Tring Sport 1 |
Angola | Z Sports 1 |
Argentina | Disney+ |
Armenia | Fast Sports |
Asia | STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic |
Australia | Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect |
Austria | DAZN 2, DAZN, Sky Go Austria |
Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2 |
Brazil | Disney+ |
Bulgaria | Max Sport 3 |
Canada | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada |
China | Migu, ZhiBo8 |
Croatia | Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go |
Czech-republic | Sport 1 |
Denmark | TV2 Play |
Europe | Go3 Sport 1 Baltic |
Finland | MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2 |
France | DAZN France |
Germany | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, WOW |
Greece | COSMOTE Sport 3 |
Hong-kong | beIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live |
Indonesia | Vidio |
Italy | 214 DAZN Zona, DAZN Italia, SKY Go Italia |
Japan | DAZN Japan |
Kosovo | ART Sport 1 |
Macao | Macau Cable TV 34 Football |
Malaysia | Astro Arena 2, Astro Go, Sooka |
Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 3 |
Mexico | Disney+ |
New-zealand | beIN Connect |
North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN Caribbean |
Norway | VG+ |
Peru | Disney+ |
Portugal | Sport TV6 |
Romania | Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 5 |
Russia | MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
Saudi-arabia | STC TV |
Serbia | Arena Premium 5 |
Slovakia | Sport 1 |
Slovenia | Arena Sport 3 |
South-korea | SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime 2 |
Spain | DAZN Espana |
Sweden | TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play |
Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
Thailand | True ID, True Premier Football 3 |
Turkey | S Sport 2, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1 |
Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 1 |
United-kingdom | DAZN, DAZN UK |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | DAZN USA, Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, Paramount+ |
Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.12 | 2.02 |
Ball Possession |
---|
51% | 49% |
Total shots |
---|
12 | 17 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 5 |
Big Chances |
---|
4 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 5 |
Passes |
---|
81% (323/398) | 80% (298/371) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
3 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.12 | 2.02 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.57 | 1.20 |
Total shots |
---|
12 | 17 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 5 |
Shots off target |
---|
3 | 5 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
4 | 7 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
8 | 11 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
4 | 6 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
1 | 1 |
Headed Goals |
---|
1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
4 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 5 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
16 | 27 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
3 | 0 |
Free Kicks |
---|
17 | 15 |
Passes |
---|
81% (323/398) | 80% (298/371) |
Long passes |
---|
45% (24/53) | 37% (18/49) |
Passes in final third |
---|
63% (42/67) | 61% (69/113) |
Crosses |
---|
15% (2/13) | 35% (7/20) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.52 | 1.11 |
Throw-ins |
---|
21 | 19 |
Fouls |
---|
15 | 18 |
Tackles |
---|
53% (8/15) | 74% (14/19) |
Duels won |
---|
55 | 56 |
Clearances |
---|
31 | 14 |
Interceptions |
---|
10 | 5 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
2 | 1 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 1 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
5 | 3 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.20 | 1.57 |
Goals prevented |
---|
1.20 | -0.43 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 23', Zappa G. 🟨,
- 30', Ordonez C. 🟨,
- 33', 1 - 0, Mina Y. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Ordonez C. ↓, Oristanio G. ↑,
- 54', Gaetano G. ↓, Deiola A. ↑,
- 55', Zappa G. ↓, Palestra M. ↑,
- 58', Esposito Se. 🟨,
- 62', Deiola A. 🟨,
- 62', Lovik M. ↓, Almqvist P. ↑,
- 74', Belotti A. ↓, Borrelli G. ↑,
- 74', Esposito Se. ↓, Felici M. ↑,
- 77', 2 - 0, Felici M. ⚽,
- 80', Bernabe A. ↓, Estevez N. ↑,
- 85', Cutrone P. ↓, Djuric M. ↑,
- 85', Sorensen O. ↓, Keita M. ↑,
- 88', Folorunsho M. ↓, Pedro J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Cagliari 40.7% | Draw 31.3% | Parma 28.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cagliari has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)Parma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cagliari than the current prediction. (+2.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Parma than the current prediction. (-1%)
Cagliari - Parma Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.37 ↑ (2.25) |
3.07 ↓ (3.3) |
3.37 ↓ (3.66) |
4.5% (2.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Cagliari - Parma?
Users Predictions:
26 users predict this event. Cagliari will win (votes: 10 - 38.5%). Parma will win (votes: 3 - 11.5%). It will Tie (votes: 13 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 30.8% – 69.2%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Parma (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 5 - 83.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cagliari won 3.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Cagliari will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Cagliari: Luvumbo Z.
(Thigh Injury)
- There will not play in Parma: Frigan M.
(Knee Injury)
Ondrejka J.
(Leg Injury)
- There are questionable in Cagliari: Pavoletti L.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Parma: Hernani
(Ankle Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cagliari won 8 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 28:27. (average 1.4:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cagliari won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 19:11. (average 2.1:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Cagliari won against Parma?
Cagliari has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Parma won against Cagliari?
Parma has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cagliari - Parma were as follows:
09.02.2025
Cagliari
-
Parma
2:1
30.09.2024
Parma
-
Cagliari
2:3
03.06.2023
Parma
-
Cagliari
0:0
30.05.2023
Cagliari
-
Parma
3:2
22.04.2023
Parma
-
Cagliari
2:1
Latest results of Cagliari
Italian Serie A Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Napoli | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9:3 | 6 | 12 |
2 | Juventus | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9:5 | 4 | 11 |
3 | AC Milan | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7:2 | 5 | 9 |
4 | AS Roma | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3:1 | 2 | 9 |
5 | Atalanta | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 10:4 | 6 | 9 |
6 | Cremonese | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 6:4 | 2 | 9 |
7 | Como | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6:4 | 2 | 8 |
8 | Cagliari | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 7 |
9 | Udinese | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4:5 | -1 | 7 |
10 | Inter | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11:7 | 4 | 6 |
11 | Bologna | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3:3 | 0 | 6 |
12 | Torino | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1:8 | -7 | 4 |
13 | Lazio | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:4 | 0 | 3 |
14 | Sassuolo | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:7 | -3 | 3 |
15 | Verona | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2:6 | -4 | 3 |
16 | Genoa | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2:4 | -2 | 2 |
17 | Fiorentina | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 2 |
18 | Parma | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 2 |
19 | Pisa | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3:6 | -3 | 1 |
20 | Lecce | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2:8 | -6 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Serie B