Perugia vs Cagliari – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Italian Serie B Perugia - Cagliari
Result
0:5
05/05/2023 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ITALY: SERIE B - ROUND 36
  • Referee: Ayroldi G. (Ita)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaSportKlub
bulgariaBulgariaNova Sport
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub
greeceGreeceNova Sports
italyItalySky Sport
serbiaSerbiaSportKlub
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub

Highlights

Chances of winning


Perugia
29.1%
Draw
29.9%
Cagliari
41%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.2% 30.8% 33%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36% 30.6% 33.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Perugia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Perugia's form might have worsened.
  • Cagliari has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cagliari's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Perugia than the current prediction. (+6.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Perugia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cagliari than the current prediction. (-7.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cagliari, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Perugia - Cagliari Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.27
    (2.55)
    3.15
    (3)
    2.3
    (2.8)
    5.9%
    (8.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Perugia - Cagliari?
  • Users Predictions: 29 users predict this event. Perugia will win (votes: 6 - 20.7%). Cagliari will win (votes: 15 - 51.7%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 27.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Cagliari: 33.5%69.9%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • Perugia has the most likely position - 18 (22.49%), project points - 40, currently - 36, a good chance of relegated (60%), not chance of prom. playoffs.
    • Cagliari has the most likely position - 6 (43.28%), project points - 56, currently - 51, not chance of relegated, a very good chance of prom. playoffs (98%), a chance of promoted (17%), not chance of win league.
    • This event has quality 35, importance 69, match rating 52. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
    • Perugia is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Recent matches Cagliari is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
    • Last 4 head-to-head matches Perugia won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-6.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Perugia won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Perugia - Cagliari were as follows:
    11.12.2022 Cagliari - Perugia 3:2
    Latest results of Perugia
    22.04.2023 Perugia - Nuova Cosenza 0:0
    15.04.2023 Genoa - Perugia 2:0
    10.04.2023 Perugia - Modena 0:1
    05.04.2023 Perugia - Reggina 1:3
    01.04.2023 Perugia - Frosinone 1:1
    Latest results of Cagliari
    22.04.2023 Parma - Cagliari 2:1
    15.04.2023 Cagliari - Frosinone 0:0
    10.04.2023 Pisa - Cagliari 0:0
    18.03.2023 Reggina - Cagliari 0:4
    Draw
    Play Out

    Final
    1Salernitana (16)Sampdoria (17)0 : 3, 0 : 2