Result
0:5
05/05/2023 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ITALY: SERIE B - ROUND 36
- Referee: Ayroldi G. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Bosnia-and-herzegovina | SportKlub |
Bulgaria | Nova Sport |
Croatia | SportKlub |
Greece | Nova Sports |
Italy | Sky Sport |
Serbia | SportKlub |
Slovenia | SportKlub |
Chances of winning
Perugia 29.1% | Draw 29.9% | Cagliari 41% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Perugia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Perugia's form might have worsened.Cagliari has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cagliari's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Perugia than the current prediction. (+6.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Perugia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cagliari than the current prediction. (-7.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cagliari, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Perugia - Cagliari Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.27 ↑ (2.55) |
3.15 ↑ (3) |
2.3 ↓ (2.8) |
5.9% (8.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Perugia - Cagliari?
Users Predictions:
29 users predict this event. Perugia will win (votes: 6 - 20.7%). Cagliari will win (votes: 15 - 51.7%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 27.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cagliari: 33.5% – 69.9%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- Perugia has the most likely position - 18 (22.49%), project points - 40, currently - 36, a good chance of relegated (60%), not chance of prom. playoffs.
- Cagliari has the most likely position - 6 (43.28%), project points - 56, currently - 51, not chance of relegated, a very good chance of prom. playoffs (98%), a chance of promoted (17%), not chance of win league.
- This event has quality 35, importance 69, match rating 52. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
- Perugia is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Recent matches Cagliari is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
- Last 4 head-to-head matches Perugia won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-6.
- Including matches at home between the teams Perugia won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.
How many head-to-head matches has Perugia won against Cagliari?
Perugia has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cagliari won against Perugia?
Cagliari has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Perugia - Cagliari were as follows:
11.12.2022
Cagliari
-
Perugia
3:2
Latest results of Perugia
Latest results of Cagliari
Draw
Play OutFinal1 | Salernitana (16) | Sampdoria (17) | 0 : 3, 0 : 2 |