Result
0:5
05/05/2023 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ITALY: SERIE B - ROUND 36
- Referee: Ayroldi G. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | SportKlub |
 Bulgaria | Nova Sport |
 Croatia | SportKlub |
 Greece | Nova Sports |
 Italy | Sky Sport |
 Serbia | SportKlub |
 Slovenia | SportKlub |
Chances of winning
Perugia
29.1% | Draw
29.9% | Cagliari
41% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Perugia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Perugia's form might have worsened.Cagliari has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cagliari's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Perugia than the current prediction. (+6.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Perugia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cagliari than the current prediction. (-7.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cagliari, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Perugia - Cagliari Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.27 ↑
(2.55) |
3.15 ↑
(3) |
2.3 ↓
(2.8) |
5.9%
(8.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Perugia - Cagliari?
Users Predictions:
29 users predict this event. Perugia will win (votes: 6 - 20.7%). Cagliari will win (votes: 15 - 51.7%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 27.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cagliari: 33.5% – 69.9%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- Perugia has the most likely position - 18 (22.49%), project points - 40, currently - 36, a good chance of relegated (60%), not chance of prom. playoffs.
- Cagliari has the most likely position - 6 (43.28%), project points - 56, currently - 51, not chance of relegated, a very good chance of prom. playoffs (98%), a chance of promoted (17%), not chance of win league.
- This event has quality 35, importance 69, match rating 52. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
- Perugia is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Recent matches Cagliari is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
- Last 4 head-to-head matches Perugia won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-6.
- Including matches at home between the teams Perugia won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.
How many head-to-head matches has Perugia won against Cagliari?
Perugia has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cagliari won against Perugia?
Cagliari has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Perugia - Cagliari were as follows:
11.12.2022
Cagliari
-
Perugia
3:2
Latest results of Perugia
Latest results of Cagliari
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cesena | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
| 2 | Empoli | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
| 3 | Frosinone | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | Modena | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 5 | Carrarese | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 6 | Venezia | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Palermo | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Monza | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | Juve Stabia | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Sudtirol | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | Catanzaro | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 | Entella | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 13 | Bari | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 14 | Reggiana | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 15 | Mantova | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 16 | Padova | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
| 17 | Pescara | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
| 18 | Avellino | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
| 19 | Spezia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
| 20 | Sampdoria | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
