Result
1:2
07/04/2026 at 15:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Campionato Sammarinese - Round 27
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 47', 0 - 1, Pintore M. ⚽, Santi F. (A),
- 51', 0 - 2, Gregori E. ⚽, Pintore M. (A),
- 88', 1 - 2, Bua A. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Cailungo
27.2% | Draw
27% | Pennarossa
45.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cailungo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cailungo's form might have worsened.Pennarossa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pennarossa's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cailungo than the current prediction. (+10.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cailungo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pennarossa than the current prediction. (-8.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pennarossa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Cailungo - Pennarossa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.31 ↑
(2.6) |
3.34 ↓
(3.7) |
1.97 ↓
(2.31) |
11%
(8.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 15 and 12).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cailungo won 3.
- Cailungo has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Pennarossa is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Cailungo won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:9. (average 2:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cailungo won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:1. (average 3:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Cailungo won against Pennarossa?
Cailungo has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Pennarossa won against Cailungo?
Pennarossa has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cailungo - Pennarossa were as follows:
07.12.2025
Pennarossa
-
Cailungo
2:0
18.04.2025
Cailungo
-
Pennarossa
7:0
22.12.2024
Pennarossa
-
Cailungo
0:4
09.03.2024
Pennarossa
-
Cailungo
0:2
26.11.2023
Cailungo
-
Pennarossa
0:0
Latest results of Cailungo
Latest results of Pennarossa
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tre Fiori | 28 | 21 | 6 | 1 | 61:12 | 49 | 69 |
| 2 | Virtus | 28 | 20 | 6 | 2 | 61:19 | 42 | 66 |
| 3 | Tre Penne | 28 | 19 | 7 | 2 | 64:17 | 47 | 64 |
| 4 | La Fiorita ✔ | 28 | 15 | 11 | 2 | 59:23 | 36 | 51 |
| 5 | Folgore ✔ | 28 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 57:30 | 27 | 51 |
| 6 | Domagnano ✔ | 28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | 54:29 | 25 | 46 |
| 7 | Fiorentino | 28 | 13 | 4 | 11 | 32:39 | -7 | 43 |
| 8 | Cosmos | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 27:20 | 7 | 39 |
| 9 | Libertas | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 31:51 | -20 | 35 |
| 10 | Juvenes/Dogana | 28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 31:36 | -5 | 33 |
| 11 | San Giovanni | 28 | 7 | 10 | 11 | 24:37 | -13 | 31 |
| 12 | Pennarossa | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 28:52 | -24 | 30 |
| 13 | Faetano | 28 | 6 | 4 | 18 | 22:52 | -30 | 22 |
| 14 | San Marino Academy U22 | 28 | 3 | 6 | 19 | 22:56 | -34 | 15 |
| 15 | Cailungo | 28 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 21:64 | -43 | 10 |
| 16 | Murata | 28 | 1 | 4 | 23 | 17:74 | -57 | -2 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
La Fiorita is Qualified for Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Folgore is Qualified for Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Domagnano is Qualified for Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
