Result
4:1
06/04/2025 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 7
- Referee: Ordonez E. (Per)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | K-Ball |
 Peru | L1 Max, Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.50 | 1.15 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 42% | 58% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (185/251) | 83% (282/339) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.50 | 1.15 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.56 | 0.95 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 19 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (185/251) | 83% (282/339) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 40% (22/55) | 45% (29/65) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 55% (50/91) | 63% (49/78) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (3/9) | 14% (3/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.63 | 0.36 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 43% (3/7) | 70% (7/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 39 | 40 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 22 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.95 | 1.56 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.05 | -2.44 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 1)
- 9', 0 - 1, Gonzales C. (Pen),
- 19', Vasquez A. 🟨,
- 33', 1 - 1, Ramirez E. ⚽, Vasquez A. (A),
- 34', Cabellos A. 🟨,
- 34', De la Cruz L. 🟨,
- 39', 2 - 1, Mejia C. ⚽,
- 41', Sosa M. 🟨,
- 45+6', 3 - 1, Oncoy F. ⚽, Vasquez A. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 52', Rugel L. ↓, Aguirre J. ↑,
- 56', Wisdom I. ↓, Tavara M. ↑,
- 56', Diaz L. ↓, Sosa L. ↑,
- 56', Alarcon J. ↓, Avila I. ↑,
- 57', Vasquez A. ↓, Villamarin R. ↑,
- 66', Posito Olazabal A. J. ↓, Moretti J. ↑,
- 70', 4 - 1, Quintero J. (Pen),
- 76', Mejia C. ↓, De la Cruz L. ↑,
- 79', Gonzales C. 🟨,
- 86', Moretti J. 🟨,
- 90', Palacios B. 🟥,
Chances of winning
Cajamarca
33.4% | Draw
26.7% | Sporting Cristal
40% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cajamarca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cajamarca's performance.Sporting Cristal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sporting Cristal might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cajamarca than the current prediction. (-16.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cajamarca that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting Cristal than the current prediction. (+18.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sporting Cristal could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Cajamarca - Sporting Cristal Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.84 ↓
(5.21) |
3.45 ↓
(3.66) |
2.32 ↑
(1.66) |
7.2%
(6.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Cajamarca - Sporting Cristal?
Users Predictions:
21 users predict this event. Cajamarca will win (votes: 14 - 66.7%). Sporting Cristal will win (votes: 7 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cajamarca: 46.5% – 86.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Cajamarca will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 19 and 6).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Cajamarca won 0.
- Cajamarca is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Recent matches Sporting Cristal is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Cajamarca could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
- There will not play in Sporting Cristal: Solis R.
(Knee Injury)
Yotun Y.
(Knee Injury)
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Cajamarca won 2 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 16:36 (average 0.8:1.8).
- Including matches at home between the teams Cajamarca won 2 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 10:17 (average 0.8:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Cajamarca won against Sporting Cristal?
Cajamarca has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sporting Cristal won against Cajamarca?
Sporting Cristal has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cajamarca - Sporting Cristal were as follows:
25.08.2024
Sporting Cristal
-
Cajamarca
4:0
31.03.2024
Cajamarca
-
Sporting Cristal
1:2
25.09.2023
Sporting Cristal
-
Cajamarca
1:1
07.05.2023
Cajamarca
-
Sporting Cristal
1:1
Latest results of Cajamarca
Latest results of Sporting Cristal
Peruvian Liga 1 Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sporting Cristal | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
| 2 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
| 3 | Juan Pablo II | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
| 4 | U. de Deportes | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
| 5 | Cusco | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 6 | FBC Melgar | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Grau | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | AD Tarma | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | Alianza Atl | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Sport Huancayo | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | Binacional | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Ayacucho | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 13 | Cajamarca | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 14 | Cienciano | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 15 | Comerciantes Unidos | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
| 16 | Alianza Lima | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
| 17 | Sport Boys | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
| 18 | Alianza Huanuco | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
| 19 | Los Chankas | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Play Offs: )
