Caldas vs Lusitano GC – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
26/10/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga 3 - Round 8
  • Where to Watch on TV:
portugalPortugalCanal 11

Match Stats

Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
106
Shots on target
43
Corner Kicks
85
Yellow Cards
20
Total shots
106
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
63
Corner Kicks
85

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 22', Palmerio M. 🟨,
  • 27', 0 - 1, Baptista T. , Aguas M. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Carreira R. , Chaves G. ,
  • 46', Palmerio M. , Velosa M. ,
  • 46', Ewandro Santos , Lopes D. ,
  • 58', 1 - 1, Chaves G. ,
  • 76', Cande B. , Lima T. ,
  • 81', Januario , Alexandre R. ,
  • 85', Aguas M. , Dionisio S. M. ,
  • 85', Davou S. , Sequeira G. ,
  • 85', Lopes D. , Sonhi Y. ,
  • 86', Gata J. , Farinha L. ,
  • 90+6', 2 - 1, Velosa M. ,
  • 90+7', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Caldas
42.5%
Draw
29.3%
Lusitano GC
28.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.1% 29.1% 31.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.6% 28.7% 31.4%

Caldas - Lusitano GC Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.17
(2.39)
3.14
(3.21)
3.27
(2.94)
8.6%
(7.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
  • One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 3 (Promotion Group: ) and 8 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group: )).
  • Caldas is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
  • Lusitano GC has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
  • Caldas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
  • Recently, Lusitano GC has had a series of home games.
  • Caldas might have a minor edge in this game.
  • Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
Latest results of Caldas
19.10.2025 Caldas - Mirandela 1:0
04.10.2025 Belenenses - Caldas 0:2
28.09.2025 Caldas - Mafra 1:1
20.09.2025 Caldas - Fatima 3:0
Latest results of Lusitano GC
04.10.2025 Lusitano GC - Amora 3:1
28.09.2025 Covilhã - Lusitano GC 1:1
21.09.2025 Lusitano GC - Serpa 1:0
13.09.2025 Lusitano GC - Atlético CP 0:1
Portuguese Liga 3 Table
2025/26

Group A
PlWDLDiffPts
1Vitoria Guimaraes B1254313:9419
2Trofense1246215:9618
3Varzim1246219:13618
4AD Fafe1245313:13017
5Braga B1244410:13-316
6Amarante1243510:12-215
7Paredes1227311:10113
8AD Marco 09122738:10-213
9Sanjoanense1227315:16-113
10Sao Joao Ver121747:16-910


Group B
PlWDLDiffPts
1Os Belenenses1281315:11425
2Mafra1255217:14320
3Caldas1253413:12118
4Academica1245318:13517
5Amora1244414:14016
6Atletico CP1242611:10114
7Lusitano GC1242613:12114
8Santarem123459:12-313
91u00ba Dezembro122649:16-712
10Covilha122648:13-512

      Promotion ~ Liga 3 (Promotion Group: )
      Liga 3 (Relegation Group: )