Result
1:1
22/03/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga 3 - Relegation Group - Round 6
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Portugal | Canal 11 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 8', 🟨,
- 8', 0 - 1, Santana C. ⚽,
- 17', 1 - 1, Vieira J. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 61', Baptista T. ↓, Pereira F. ↑,
- 63', Lopes D. ↓, Silva R. ↑,
- 63', Palmerio M. ↓, Fernandes D. ↑,
- 63', Gata J. ↓, Farinha L. ↑,
- 69', 🟨,
- 75', Aguas M. ↓, Soares M. ↑,
- 75', Tipote L. ↓, Andrade M. ↑,
- 83', Davou S. ↓, Isnaba G. ↑,
- 83', Lopes D. ↓, Lucao ↑,
- 90', 🟨,
- 90+1', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Caldas 36.6% | Draw 31.5% | Lusitano GC 32% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Caldas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)Lusitano GC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caldas than the current prediction. (-4.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lusitano GC than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
Caldas - Lusitano GC Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.51 ↓ (2.84) |
2.91 ↑ (2.84) |
2.87 ↑ (2.56) |
9.1% (9.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Caldas won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).
- Including home match between the teams, Caldas won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Caldas won against Lusitano GC?
Caldas has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lusitano GC won against Caldas?
Lusitano GC has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Caldas - Lusitano GC were as follows:
07.03.2026
Lusitano GC
-
Caldas
0:1
17.01.2026
Lusitano GC
-
Caldas
1:0
26.10.2025
Caldas
-
Lusitano GC
2:1
Latest results of Lusitano GC
Portuguese Liga 3 Table
Promotion Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Academica | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 11:5 | 6 | 15 |
| 2 | Amarante | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 9:5 | 4 | 15 |
| 3 | Os Belenenses | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 15:9 | 6 | 14 |
| 4 | Vitoria Guimaraes B | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10:8 | 2 | 10 |
| 5 | Varzim | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 7:9 | -2 | 9 |
| 6 | Santarem | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 7:11 | -4 | 6 |
| 7 | Trofense | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5:9 | -4 | 5 |
| 8 | Mafra | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5:13 | -8 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal 2
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal 2 (Promotion: )