Caldas vs Lusitano GC – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
26/10/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga 3 - Round 8
  • Where to Watch on TV:
portugalPortugalCanal 11

Match Stats

Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
106
Shots on target
43
Corner Kicks
85
Yellow Cards
20
Total shots
106
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
63
Corner Kicks
85

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 22', Palmerio M. 🟨,
  • 27', 0 - 1, Baptista T. , Aguas M. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Carreira R. , Chaves G. ,
  • 46', Palmerio M. , Velosa M. ,
  • 46', Ewandro Santos , Lopes D. ,
  • 58', 1 - 1, Chaves G. ,
  • 76', Cande B. , Lima T. ,
  • 81', Januario , Alexandre R. ,
  • 85', Aguas M. , Dionisio S. M. ,
  • 85', Davou S. , Sequeira G. ,
  • 85', Lopes D. , Sonhi Y. ,
  • 86', Gata J. , Farinha L. ,
  • 90+6', 2 - 1, Velosa M. ,
  • 90+7', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Caldas
42.5%
Draw
29.3%
Lusitano GC
28.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.1% 29.1% 31.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.6% 28.7% 31.4%

Caldas - Lusitano GC Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.17
(2.39)
3.14
(3.21)
3.27
(2.94)
8.6%
(7.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
  • One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 3 (Promotion Group: ) and 8 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group: )).
  • Caldas is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
  • Lusitano GC has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
  • Caldas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
  • Recently, Lusitano GC has had a series of home games.
  • Caldas might have a minor edge in this game.
  • Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
Latest results of Caldas
19.10.2025 Caldas - Mirandela 1:0
04.10.2025 Belenenses - Caldas 0:2
28.09.2025 Caldas - Mafra 1:1
20.09.2025 Caldas - Fatima 3:0
Latest results of Lusitano GC
04.10.2025 Lusitano GC - Amora 3:1
28.09.2025 Covilhã - Lusitano GC 1:1
21.09.2025 Lusitano GC - Serpa 1:0
13.09.2025 Lusitano GC - Atlético CP 0:1
Portuguese Liga 3 Table
2025/26

Group A
PlWDLDiffPts
1Trofense1044214:8616
2Braga B104338:9-115
3Varzim1035215:11414
4Sanjoanense1027114:12213
5AD Fafe1034310:11-113
6Vitoria Guimaraes B103439:8113
7Amarante103347:10-312
8Paredes1026210:8212
9AD Marco 09101635:8-39
10Sao Joao Ver101636:13-79


Group B
PlWDLDiffPts
1Os Belenenses1061312:10219
2Mafra1053213:10318
3Caldas1053212:9318
4Academica1043314:9515
5Lusitano GC1041512:10213
6Amora1033411:12-112
7Santarem103257:10-311
8Atletico CP103259:8111
91u00ba Dezembro102447:14-710
10Covilha102446:11-510

      Promotion ~ Liga 3 (Promotion Group: )
      Liga 3 (Relegation Group: )