Caldas vs Lusitano GC – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
22/03/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga 3 - Relegation Group - Round 6
  • Where to Watch on TV:
portugalPortugalCanal 11

Match Stats

Ball possession
54%46%
Total shots
46
Shots on target
23
Corner kicks
27
Yellow cards
13
Total shots
46
Shots on target
23
Shots off target
23
Corner kicks
27

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 8', 🟨,
  • 8', 0 - 1, Santana C. ,
  • 17', 1 - 1, Vieira J. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 61', Baptista T. , Pereira F. ,
  • 63', Lopes D. , Silva R. ,
  • 63', Palmerio M. , Fernandes D. ,
  • 63', Gata J. , Farinha L. ,
  • 69', 🟨,
  • 75', Aguas M. , Soares M. ,
  • 75', Tipote L. , Andrade M. ,
  • 83', Davou S. , Isnaba G. ,
  • 83', Lopes D. , Lucao ,
  • 90', 🟨,
  • 90+1', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Caldas
36.6%
Draw
31.5%
Lusitano GC
32%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32.2% 32.2% 35.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32% 32.4% 35.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Caldas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)
  • Lusitano GC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caldas than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lusitano GC than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
  • Caldas - Lusitano GC Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.51
    (2.84)
    2.91
    (2.84)
    2.87
    (2.56)
    9.1%
    (9.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Caldas won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).
    • Including home match between the teams, Caldas won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Caldas - Lusitano GC were as follows:
    07.03.2026 Lusitano GC - Caldas 0:1
    17.01.2026 Lusitano GC - Caldas 1:0
    26.10.2025 Caldas - Lusitano GC 2:1
    Latest results of Caldas
    14.03.2026 Caldas - Atlético CP 0:1
    07.03.2026 Lusitano GC - Caldas 0:1
    28.02.2026 Caldas - Amora 2:1
    22.02.2026 Covilhã - Caldas 1:0
    15.02.2026 Caldas - 1 Dezembro 2:1
    Latest results of Lusitano GC
    14.03.2026 Covilhã - Lusitano GC 1:3
    07.03.2026 Lusitano GC - Caldas 0:1
    28.02.2026 1 Dezembro - Lusitano GC 1:1
    22.02.2026 Lusitano GC - Amora 1:0
    15.02.2026 Atlético CP - Lusitano GC 3:0
    Portuguese Liga 3 Table
    Promotion Group
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Academica650111:5615
    2Amarante65019:5415
    3Os Belenenses742115:9614
    4Vitoria Guimaraes B731310:8210
    5Varzim73047:9-29
    6Santarem72057:11-46
    7Trofense71245:9-45
    8Mafra71155:13-84

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