Result
1:0
17/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga 3 - Round 17
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Portugal | Canal 11 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 31', Farinha L. 🟨,
- 36', Monteiro E. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 51', Cande B. 🟨,
- 55', Monteiro E. 🟨,
- 56', 1 - 0, Pinto J. (Penalty Awarded),
- 59', Januario ↓, Gata J. ↑,
- 59', Goncas ↓, Oliveira F. ↑,
- 69', Gomes A. 🟨,
- 70', Gomes A. ↓, Davou S. ↑,
- 70', Almara F. ↓, Tipote L. ↑,
- 70', Cande B. ↓, Andrade M. ↑,
- 73', Baptista T. 🟨,
- 75', Farinha L. ↓, Chaves G. ↑,
- 78', Carreira R. 🟨,
- 82', Carreira R. ↓, Costa M. ↑,
- 82', Pires Gomes J. R. ↓, Yordy Marcelo ↑,
- 86', Lopes D. ↓, Soares M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Lusitano GC 48.4% | Draw 27.4% | Caldas 24.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Lusitano GC - Caldas Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.89 ↓ (2.13) |
3.34 ↑ (3.05) |
3.76 ↑ (3.24) |
9.4% (10.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group: ) and 6 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group: )).
- Lusitano GC is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Caldas is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Lusitano GC is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Lusitano GC won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Lusitano GC won against Caldas?
Lusitano GC has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Caldas won against Lusitano GC?
Caldas has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lusitano GC - Caldas were as follows:
26.10.2025
Caldas
-
Lusitano GC
2:1
Latest results of Lusitano GC
Portuguese Liga 3 Table
2025/26Group A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Amarante ✔ | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 18:16 | 2 | 28 |
| 2 | Trofense | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 22:14 | 8 | 27 |
| 3 | Vitoria Guimaraes B | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 17:14 | 3 | 26 |
| 4 | Varzim | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 23:16 | 7 | 25 |
| 5 | Paredes | 17 | 5 | 9 | 3 | 20:11 | 9 | 24 |
| 6 | Braga B | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 14:15 | -1 | 24 |
| 7 | AD Fafe | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 21:19 | 2 | 23 |
| 8 | AD Marco 09 ✔ | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 14:19 | -5 | 19 |
| 9 | Sao Joao Ver ✔ | 17 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 10:24 | -14 | 14 |
| 10 | Sanjoanense ✔ | 17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 18:29 | -11 | 13 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Os Belenenses ✔ | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 26:14 | 12 | 38 |
| 2 | Mafra ✔ | 17 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 26:18 | 8 | 31 |
| 3 | Academica | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 29:17 | 12 | 28 |
| 4 | Santarem | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 13:13 | 0 | 22 |
| 5 | Atletico CP | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 15:15 | 0 | 22 |
| 6 | Lusitano GC | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 18:18 | 0 | 21 |
| 7 | Amora | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 17:22 | -5 | 18 |
| 8 | Caldas ✔ | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 16:23 | -7 | 18 |
| 9 | 1u00ba Dezembro ✔ | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 12:20 | -8 | 16 |
| 10 | Covilha ✔ | 17 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 10:22 | -12 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Liga 3 (Promotion Group: )
Liga 3 (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Amarante is Qualified for Liga 3 (Promotion Group )
AD Marco 09 is Liga 3 (Relegation Group )
Sao Joao Ver is Liga 3 (Relegation Group )
Sanjoanense is Liga 3 (Relegation Group )
Os Belenenses is Qualified for Liga 3 (Promotion Group )
Mafra is Qualified for Liga 3 (Promotion Group )
Caldas is Liga 3 (Relegation Group )
1u00ba Dezembro is Liga 3 (Relegation Group )
Covilha is Liga 3 (Relegation Group )