Caldas vs Lusitano GC – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Portuguese Liga 3 Caldas - Lusitano GC
Result
2:1
26/10/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga 3 - Round 8
  • Where to Watch on TV:
portugalPortugalCanal 11

Match Stats

Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
106
Shots on target
43
Corner Kicks
85
Yellow Cards
20
Total shots
106
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
63
Corner Kicks
85

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 22', Palmerio M. 🟨,
  • 27', 0 - 1, Baptista T. , Aguas M. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Carreira R. , Chaves G. ,
  • 46', Palmerio M. , Velosa M. ,
  • 46', Ewandro Santos , Lopes D. ,
  • 58', 1 - 1, Chaves G. ,
  • 76', Cande B. , Lima T. ,
  • 81', Januario , Alexandre R. ,
  • 85', Aguas M. , Dionisio S. M. ,
  • 85', Davou S. , Sequeira G. ,
  • 85', Lopes D. , Sonhi Y. ,
  • 86', Gata J. , Farinha L. ,
  • 90+6', 2 - 1, Velosa M. ,
  • 90+7', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Caldas
42.5%
Draw
29.3%
Lusitano GC
28.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.1% 29.1% 31.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.6% 28.7% 31.4%

Caldas - Lusitano GC Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.17
(2.39)
3.14
(3.21)
3.27
(2.94)
8.6%
(7.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
  • One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 3 (Promotion Group: ) and 8 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group: )).
  • Caldas is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
  • Lusitano GC has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
  • Caldas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
  • Recently, Lusitano GC has had a series of home games.
  • Caldas might have a minor edge in this game.
  • Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
Latest results of Caldas
19.10.2025 Caldas - Mirandela 1:0
04.10.2025 Belenenses - Caldas 0:2
28.09.2025 Caldas - Mafra 1:1
20.09.2025 Caldas - Fatima 3:0
Latest results of Lusitano GC
04.10.2025 Lusitano GC - Amora 3:1
28.09.2025 Covilhã - Lusitano GC 1:1
21.09.2025 Lusitano GC - Serpa 1:0
13.09.2025 Lusitano GC - Atlético CP 0:1
Portuguese Liga 3 Table
2025/26

Group A
PlWDLDiffPts
1Trofense843113:6715
2Braga B94328:7115
3Varzim934215:11413
4Sanjoanense826013:10312
5AD Fafe93339:10-112
6AD Marco 0991625:7-29
7Amarante82246:10-48
8Paredes81528:808
9Vitoria Guimaraes B81437:8-17
10Sao Joao Ver81435:12-77


Group B
PlWDLDiffPts
1Caldas953111:7418
2Os Belenenses851210:7316
3Mafra843111:8315
4Academica942313:8514
5Atletico CP83148:6210
6Lusitano GC931511:10110
71u00ba Dezembro92346:13-79
8Amora82248:11-38
9Santarem82245:9-48
10Covilha81434:8-47

      Promotion ~ Liga 3 (Promotion Group: )
      Liga 3 (Relegation Group: )