Caldas vs Lusitano GC – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
26/10/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga 3 - Round 8
  • Where to Watch on TV:
portugalPortugalCanal 11

Match Stats

Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
106
Shots on target
43
Corner Kicks
85
Yellow Cards
20
Total shots
106
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
63
Corner Kicks
85

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 22', Palmerio M. 🟨,
  • 27', 0 - 1, Baptista T. , Aguas M. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Carreira R. , Chaves G. ,
  • 46', Palmerio M. , Velosa M. ,
  • 46', Ewandro Santos , Lopes D. ,
  • 58', 1 - 1, Chaves G. ,
  • 76', Cande B. , Lima T. ,
  • 81', Januario , Alexandre R. ,
  • 85', Aguas M. , Dionisio S. M. ,
  • 85', Davou S. , Sequeira G. ,
  • 85', Lopes D. , Sonhi Y. ,
  • 86', Gata J. , Farinha L. ,
  • 90+6', 2 - 1, Velosa M. ,
  • 90+7', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Caldas
42.5%
Draw
29.3%
Lusitano GC
28.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.1% 29.1% 31.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.6% 28.7% 31.4%

Caldas - Lusitano GC Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.17
(2.39)
3.14
(3.21)
3.27
(2.94)
8.6%
(7.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
  • One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 3 (Promotion Group: ) and 8 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group: )).
  • Caldas is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
  • Lusitano GC has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
  • Caldas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
  • Recently, Lusitano GC has had a series of home games.
  • Caldas might have a minor edge in this game.
  • Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
Latest results of Caldas
19.10.2025 Caldas - Mirandela 1:0
04.10.2025 Belenenses - Caldas 0:2
28.09.2025 Caldas - Mafra 1:1
20.09.2025 Caldas - Fatima 3:0
Latest results of Lusitano GC
04.10.2025 Lusitano GC - Amora 3:1
28.09.2025 Covilhã - Lusitano GC 1:1
21.09.2025 Lusitano GC - Serpa 1:0
13.09.2025 Lusitano GC - Atlético CP 0:1
Portuguese Liga 3 Table
2025/26

Group A
PlWDLDiffPts
1Trofense1466218:10824
2Amarante1463516:16021
3Vitoria Guimaraes B1455414:12220
4Braga B1455412:13-120
5Varzim1447319:14519
6AD Fafe1445516:18-217
7Paredes1438314:11317
8AD Marco 091437412:14-216
9Sao Joao Ver1427510:19-913
10Sanjoanense1427516:20-413


Group B
PlWDLDiffPts
1Os Belenenses1492320:12829
2Mafra1475221:15626
3Academica1456322:15721
4Atletico CP1462613:10320
5Caldas1453613:16-318
6Amora1445515:16-117
7Santarem1445511:12-117
81u00ba Dezembro1436511:17-615
9Lusitano GC1442814:16-214
10Covilha142668:19-1112

      Promotion ~ Liga 3 (Promotion Group: )
      Liga 3 (Relegation Group: )