Result
1:1
13/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 8
- Referee: Rollason G. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.48 | 0.64 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 63% | 37% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (299/401) | 55% (126/229) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.48 | 0.64 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.04 | 0.64 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 21 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (299/401) | 55% (126/229) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 26% (16/62) | 30% (18/60) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 59% (69/117) | 55% (63/114) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (3/16) | 22% (4/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.45 | 0.31 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 25 | 29 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 22 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (6/10) | 82% (9/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 55 | 54 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 37 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.64 | 2.04 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.36 | 1.04 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 16', Purrington B. 🟨,
- 21', Appere L. ↓, Kouassi K. ↑,
- 31', 0 - 1, Mayor A. ⚽, Brophy J. (A),
- 39', McEachran G. 🟨,
- 45+4', Kabia J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 50', Mpanzu P. 🟨,
- 54', Sweeney J. 🟨,
- 64', Vernam C. ↓, Amaluzor J. ↑,
- 64', Sweeney J. ↓, Staunton R. ↑,
- 74', Kaikai S. ↓, McLoughlin S. ↑,
- 74', Khouri E. ↓, Walker J. ↑,
- 75', Burns D. ↓, Oduor C. ↑,
- 84', Gibbons J. 🟨,
- 88', Warren T. ↓, Soonsup-Bell J. ↑,
- 89', Mayor A. ↓, Jobe M. ↑,
- 90+4', Brophy J. 🟨,
- 90+7', 1 - 1, Amaluzor J. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Grimsby Town
37.2% | Draw
30.2% | Cambridge United
32.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Grimsby Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)Cambridge United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grimsby Town than the current prediction. (+6.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Grimsby Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cambridge United than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
Grimsby Town - Cambridge United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.83 ↑
(2.23) |
3.33
(3.33) |
3.03 ↓
(3.1) |
-1.6%
(7.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Grimsby Town - Cambridge United?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Grimsby (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Grimsby Town will win
(8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 12).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Grimsby won 1.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Cambridge may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Grimsby will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Grimsby: Gilsenan Z.
(Inactive)
Lavelle S.
(Calf Injury)
Svanthorsson J.
(Knee Injury)
Tharme D.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Cambridge: Morrison M.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Grimsby: Walker J.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Cambridge: Smith K.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Grimsby won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 11:19. (average 0.7:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Grimsby won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:8. (average 0.6:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Grimsby Town won against Cambridge United?
Grimsby Town has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cambridge United won against Grimsby Town?
Cambridge United has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Grimsby Town - Cambridge United were as follows:
26.11.2022
Cambridge United
-
Grimsby Town
1:2
Latest results of Grimsby Town
Latest results of Cambridge United
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Swindon | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 17:10 | 7 | 18 |
| 2 | Gillingham | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 12:5 | 7 | 18 |
| 3 | Salford | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 13:9 | 4 | 16 |
| 4 | Walsall | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 8:5 | 3 | 16 |
| 5 | Grimsby | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 14:9 | 5 | 15 |
| 6 | Chesterfield | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 12:10 | 2 | 14 |
| 7 | Bromley | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 12:8 | 4 | 13 |
| 8 | Crewe | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 12:9 | 3 | 13 |
| 9 | Bristol Rovers | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 9:9 | 0 | 13 |
| 10 | MK Dons | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 13:7 | 6 | 12 |
| 11 | Fleetwood | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10:10 | 0 | 12 |
| 12 | Notts Co | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12:10 | 2 | 11 |
| 13 | Cambridge Utd | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9:8 | 1 | 11 |
| 14 | Oldham | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 5:5 | 0 | 10 |
| 15 | Barnet | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8:11 | -3 | 10 |
| 16 | Tranmere | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 11:8 | 3 | 9 |
| 17 | Harrogate | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:12 | -4 | 8 |
| 18 | Crawley | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7:11 | -4 | 8 |
| 19 | Colchester | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 7:9 | -2 | 7 |
| 20 | Accrington | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4:7 | -3 | 6 |
| 21 | Barrow | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 6:11 | -5 | 6 |
| 22 | Newport | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8:13 | -5 | 5 |
| 23 | Shrewsbury | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6:16 | -10 | 5 |
| 24 | Cheltenham | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3:14 | -11 | 4 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
