Cambuur vs Jong AZ Alkmaar – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:4
20/03/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Eerste Divisie - Round 33
  • Referee: Wiersma W. (Ned)

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
2.431.29
Ball possession
71%29%
Total shots
209
Shots on target
96
Big chances
42
Corner kicks
112
Passes
86% (477/554)63% (151/238)
Yellow cards
32
Red cards
10
Expected goals (xG)
2.431.29
xG on target (xGOT)
3.741.39
Total shots
209
Shots on target
96
Shots off target
62
Blocked shots
51
Shots inside the box
136
Shots outside the box
72
Hit the woodwork
10
Big chances
42
Corner kicks
112
Touches in opposition box
369
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
11
Free kicks
248
Passes
86% (477/554)63% (151/238)
Long passes
57% (36/63)32% (22/69)
Passes in final third
73% (138/189)37% (22/60)
Crosses
22% (8/36)20% (1/5)
Expected assists (xA)
2.200.26
Throw ins
1715
Fouls
824
Tackles
69% (9/13)64% (14/22)
Duels won
6738
Clearances
434
Interceptions
511
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper saves
15
xGOT faced
1.393.74
Goals prevented
-2.610.74

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 10', 0 - 1, Hartog J. , Andersen F. E. (A),
  • 11', Souren N. 🟨,
  • 13', Boogaard K. 🟨,
  • 31', Mulders R. 🟨,
  • 38', 1 - 1, Henstra I. , Amofa J. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 3)
  • 46', Robbemond R. , van der Klaauw D. ,
  • 58', 1 - 2, Zwart J. , Natali A. (A),
  • 62', Henstra I. , Ferrah I. ,
  • 62', Diemers M. , Apkakou E. ,
  • 68', Oerip J. , de Wit H. ,
  • 70', Galvez T. , Marsman B. ,
  • 71', Souren N. , Binder N. ,
  • 75', van den Ban Y. 🟨,
  • 78', 2 - 2, Ferrah I. ,
  • 79', Mulders R. , Kooistra W. ,
  • 79', Boogaard K. , Budko B. ,
  • 81', 3 - 2, Ferrah I. , Amofa J. (A),
  • 85', Twisk N. , Kovacs B. ,
  • 86', Balk R. 🟥,
  • 87', 3 - 3, van den Ban Y. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 90+3', Baouf I. 🟨,
  • 90+3', 3 - 4, Kovacs B. , Hartog J. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Cambuur
62.9%
Draw
19.4%
Jong AZ Alkmaar
17.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
63% 19.1% 17.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.8% 18% 16.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cambuur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • Jong AZ Alkmaar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cambuur than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jong AZ Alkmaar than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
  • Cambuur - Jong AZ Alkmaar Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.49
    (1.48)
    4.78
    (4.88)
    5.25
    (5.21)
    7.2%
    (7.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
    What is the prediction for Cambuur - Jong AZ Alkmaar?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Cambuur will win (votes: 9 - 90%). Jong AZ will win (votes: 1 - 10%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Cambuur: 71.4%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Cambuur (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie and 19).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cambuur won 2.
    • Cambuur has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Jong AZ has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • In this match, Cambuur is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Cambuur: Visser D. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Jong AZ: Chavez Garcia M. (Injury) Owusu-Oduro R. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Jong AZ: Kwakman D. (Injury)
    • We predict that Cambuur will win today's game, with odds of 1.53.
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Cambuur won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 24:16. (average 1.8:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Cambuur won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:8. (average 1.8:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cambuur - Jong AZ Alkmaar were as follows:
    25.08.2025 Jong AZ Alkmaar - Cambuur 0:1
    20.12.2024 Cambuur - Jong AZ Alkmaar 0:2
    01.11.2024 Jong AZ Alkmaar - Cambuur 2:3
    15.03.2024 Jong AZ Alkmaar - Cambuur 2:0
    15.12.2023 Cambuur - Jong AZ Alkmaar 1:2
    Latest results of Cambuur
    16.03.2026 Helmond Sport - Cambuur 0:1
    13.03.2026 Cambuur - Roda 1:1
    08.03.2026 Cambuur - Jong Utrecht 1:0
    03.03.2026 Cambuur - Almere City 3:2
    27.02.2026 FC Oss - Cambuur 1:2
    Latest results of Jong AZ Alkmaar
    Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Den Haag ✔ 35272682:344883
    2Cambuur ✔ 35228571:432874
    3De Graafschap351781068:531559
    4Willem II351781052:401259
    5Almere City351741472:571555
    6Jong PSV351651463:59453
    7Waalwijk3514101161:53852
    8Roda3513121054:49551
    9Den Bosch341471360:60049
    10Dordrecht3511111345:50-544
    11Eindhoven FC351351749:63-1444
    12Venlo351251844:52-841
    13FC Emmen351181655:65-1041
    14Vitesse3514101160:53740
    15Jong Utrecht341091552:58-639
    16Jong AZ351142059:71-1237
    17Maastricht35991741:71-3036
    18Oss358111646:61-1535
    19Helmond35981840:61-2135
    20Jong Ajax35881948:69-2132

          Promotion ~ Eredivisie
          Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Den Haag is Qualified for Eredivisie
    Cambuur is Qualified for Eredivisie