Result
3:1
14/03/2026 at 23:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- A-League Women - Round 19
- Referee: Mossin I. (Aus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | Channel 10, Paramount+ |
 Hong-kong | HOY TV |
 New-zealand | Sky Sport 6 |
 United-kingdom | Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 6 |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.52 | 0.80 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (263/373) | 69% (249/360) |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.52 | 0.80 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.12 | 0.84 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (263/373) | 69% (249/360) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 24% (16/66) | 46% (28/61) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 60% (68/113) | 53% (70/131) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (3/9) | 26% (5/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.72 | 0.65 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 32 | 46 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 84% (16/19) | 55% (12/22) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 38 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 29 | 10 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.84 | 1.12 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.16 | -1.88 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (3 - 1)
- 61', Sasaki N. ↓, De Domizio K. ↑,
- 61', 1 - 0, Keane A. ⚽, Jackson D. (A),
- 66', Apostolakis A. ↓, McKenna L. ↑,
- 69', Malone D. ↓, Grove S. ↑,
- 72', Keane A. ↓, Butrus D. ↑,
- 78', Hawkins E. ↓, Dale S. ↑,
- 78', Bertolissio T. ↓, Wardlow J. ↑,
- 83', McMahon S. ↓, Hughes L. ↑,
- 83', Davidson L. ↓, Uchendu C. ↑,
- 83', 2 - 0, Uchendu C. ⚽, Henry B. (A),
- 85', 2 - 1, Gordon B. ⚽,
- 87', 3 - 1, Uchendu C. ⚽, Stott R. (A),
Chances of winning
Melbourne City
39.6% | Draw
27% | Canberra United
33.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Melbourne City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Melbourne City's form might have worsened.Canberra United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Canberra United's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melbourne City than the current prediction. (+19.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Melbourne City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Canberra United than the current prediction. (-13.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Canberra United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Melbourne City - Canberra United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.33 ↑
(1.67) |
3.42 ↓
(3.7) |
2.76 ↓
(4.26) |
8.4%
(10.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Melbourne City - Canberra United?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League Women (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Melbourne City won 2.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- In this match, Melbourne City is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Melbourne City won 11 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 37:23. (average 2.1:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Melbourne City won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 19:9. (average 2.7:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Melbourne City won against Canberra United?
Melbourne City has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Canberra United won against Melbourne City?
Canberra United has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Melbourne City - Canberra United were as follows:
13.12.2025
Canberra United
-
Melbourne City
2:1
01.03.2025
Canberra United
-
Melbourne City
1:1
15.12.2024
Melbourne City
-
Canberra United
4:2
04.02.2024
Canberra United
-
Melbourne City
3:1
20.10.2023
Melbourne City
-
Canberra United
2:1
Latest results of Melbourne City
Latest results of Canberra United
Australian A-League Women Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Melbourne City W | 20 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 36:20 | 16 | 40 |
| 2 | Wellington Phoenix W | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 38:17 | 21 | 34 |
| 3 | Canberra W | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 30:24 | 6 | 31 |
| 4 | Brisbane Roar W | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 37:39 | -2 | 31 |
| 5 | Adelaide W | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 24:26 | -2 | 30 |
| 6 | Melbourne Victory W | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 27:24 | 3 | 28 |
| 7 | Central Coast Mariners W | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 27:26 | 1 | 28 |
| 8 | Perth W | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 20:30 | -10 | 24 |
| 9 | Newcastle W | 20 | 7 | 2 | 11 | 30:36 | -6 | 23 |
| 10 | Sydney W | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 18:29 | -11 | 19 |
| 11 | WS Wanderers W | 20 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 18:34 | -16 | 19 |
Promotion ~ A~League Women (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ A~League Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
