Melbourne City vs Canberra United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

14/03/2026 at 23:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Ctrl cyber Pitch (Melbourne).

A-League Women - Round 19
Referee: Mossin I. (Aus)
Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Channel 10, Paramount+
Hong-kong	HOY TV
New-zealand	Sky Sport 6
United-kingdom	Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 6
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
0.52	0.80
Ball possession
50%	50%
Total shots
5	12
Shots on target
4	4
Big chances
2	1
Corner kicks
1	5
Passes
71% (263/373)	69% (249/360)
Expected goals (xG)
0.52	0.80
xG on target (xGOT)
1.12	0.84
Total shots
5	12
Shots on target
4	4
Shots off target
1	5
Blocked shots
0	3
Shots inside the box
2	8
Shots outside the box
3	4
Hit the woodwork
0	0
Headed goals
2	0
Big chances
2	1
Corner kicks
1	5
Touches in opposition box
14	19
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
0	2
Free kicks
8	4
Passes
71% (263/373)	69% (249/360)
Long passes
24% (16/66)	46% (28/61)
Passes in final third
60% (68/113)	53% (70/131)
Crosses
33% (3/9)	26% (5/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.72	0.65
Throw ins
32	46
Fouls
4	8
Tackles
84% (16/19)	55% (12/22)
Duels won
38	42
Clearances
29	10
Interceptions
12	5
Errors leading to shot
1	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
2	1
xGOT faced
0.84	1.12
Goals prevented
-0.16	-1.88

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (3 - 1)
61', Sasaki N. ↓, De Domizio K. ↑,
61', 1 - 0, Keane A. ⚽, Jackson D. (A),
66', Apostolakis A. ↓, McKenna L. ↑,
69', Malone D. ↓, Grove S. ↑,
72', Keane A. ↓, Butrus D. ↑,
78', Hawkins E. ↓, Dale S. ↑,
78', Bertolissio T. ↓, Wardlow J. ↑,
83', McMahon S. ↓, Hughes L. ↑,
83', Davidson L. ↓, Uchendu C. ↑,
83', 2 - 0, Uchendu C. ⚽, Henry B. (A),
85', 2 - 1, Gordon B. ⚽,
87', 3 - 1, Uchendu C. ⚽, Stott R. (A),

Chances of winning

Melbourne City
39.6%

Draw
27%

Canberra United
33.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.3%

24.5%

21.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59%

26.6%

19.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Melbourne City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Melbourne City's form might have worsened.

Canberra United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Canberra United's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melbourne City than the current prediction. (+19.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Melbourne City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Canberra United than the current prediction. (-13.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Canberra United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Melbourne City - Canberra United Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↑ (1.67)	3.42 ↓ (3.7)	2.76 ↓ (4.26)	8.4% (10.5%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Melbourne City - Canberra United?

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League Women (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Melbourne City won 2.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
In this match, Melbourne City is seen as the favorite.
In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Melbourne City won 11 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 37:23. (average 2.1:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Melbourne City won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 19:9. (average 2.7:1.3).

How many head-to-head matches has Melbourne City won against Canberra United?

Melbourne City has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Canberra United won against Melbourne City?

Canberra United has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Melbourne City - Canberra United were as follows:

13.12.2025 Canberra United - Melbourne City 2:1

01.03.2025 Canberra United - Melbourne City 1:1

15.12.2024 Melbourne City - Canberra United 4:2

04.02.2024 Canberra United - Melbourne City 3:1

20.10.2023 Melbourne City - Canberra United 2:1

Latest results of Melbourne City

20.02.2026 Central Coast Mariners - Melbourne City 1:3 ✺

15.02.2026 Melbourne Victory - Melbourne City 0:0 ✺

08.02.2026 Melbourne City - Brisbane Roar 5:2 ✺

04.02.2026 Melbourne City - Western Sydney Wanderers 0:1 ✺

31.01.2026 Adelaide United - Melbourne City 2:1 ✺

Latest results of Canberra United

21.02.2026 Canberra United - Western Sydney Wanderers 3:0 ✺

14.02.2026 Perth Glory - Canberra United 1:0 ✺

08.02.2026 Sydney FC - Canberra United 1:2 ✺

31.01.2026 Canberra United - Melbourne Victory 3:1 ✺

23.01.2026 Brisbane Roar - Canberra United 3:1 ✺

Australian A-League Women Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Melbourne City W ✔	19	11	4	4	34:19	15	37
2	Wellington Phoenix W	17	9	4	4	35:14	21	31
3	Canberra W	18	9	3	6	29:22	7	30
4	Adelaide W	18	9	3	6	23:21	2	30
5	Melbourne Victory W	18	7	4	7	25:22	3	25
6	Brisbane Roar W	18	7	4	7	30:36	-6	25
7	Perth W	18	7	3	8	18:24	-6	24
8	Central Coast Mariners W	17	6	5	6	25:25	0	23
9	Newcastle W	18	6	2	10	26:33	-7	20
10	WS Wanderers W	19	4	4	11	17:34	-17	16
11	Sydney W	18	3	6	9	16:28	-12	15

Promotion ~ A~League Women (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ A~League Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)

Clinched Spots for Teams

Melbourne City W is Qualified for A~League Women (Play Offs Semi~finals)