Result
1:2
17/10/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga de Expansion MX - Apertura - Round 12
- Referee: Montes Santos J. O. (Mex)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 59% | 41% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 13', 1 - 0, Samano L. ⚽, Ballesteros O. (A),
- 23', Cardona U. 🟨,
- 25', Galindo B. 🟨,
- 31', 1 - 1, Reyes R. ⚽, Diaz J. (A),
- 38', Samano L. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Reyes J. ↓, Lorona L. ↑,
- 46', Rodriguez J. ↓, Unjanque J. ↑,
- 46', Cardona U. ↓, Cerda J. ↑,
- 55', Aguilar M. 🟨,
- 56', Reyes R. 🟨,
- 63', 1 - 2, Unjanque J. ⚽, Diaz J. (A),
- 70', Ballesteros O. ↓, Machado J. ↑,
- 70', Ocon L. ↓, Gomez J. ↑,
- 71', Padilla E. ↓, Montiel S. ↑,
- 73', Alonzo J. 🟨,
- 74', Lorona L. 🟥,
- 76', Venegas J. 🟨,
- 81', Trejo C. ↓, Campos K. ↑,
- 81', Chavez A. ↓, Uscanga P. ↑,
- 85', Samano L. ↓, Garcia D. ↑,
- 90+4', Hernandez J. ↓, Soria E. ↑,
Chances of winning
Tepatitlán de Morelos
49.9% | Draw
26.2% | Cancún
23.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tepatitlán de Morelos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)Cancún has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tepatitlán de Morelos than the current prediction. (-3.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cancún than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
Tepatitlán de Morelos - Cancún Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.89 ↓
(2.03) |
3.59 ↑
(3.49) |
3.94 ↑
(3.34) |
6.3%
(7.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tepatitlán won 2.
- In recent matches, Tepatitlán has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Cancún is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Tepatitlán could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Tepatitlán won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 12:19. (average 1.1:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tepatitlán won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 1.2:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Tepatitlán de Morelos won against Cancún?
Tepatitlán de Morelos has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cancún won against Tepatitlán de Morelos?
Cancún has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tepatitlán de Morelos - Cancún were as follows:
17.01.2025
Tepatitlán de Morelos
-
Cancún
1:1
03.08.2024
Cancún
-
Tepatitlán de Morelos
2:0
19.03.2024
Cancún
-
Tepatitlán de Morelos
2:0
30.08.2023
Tepatitlán de Morelos
-
Cancún
3:0
21.03.2023
Tepatitlán de Morelos
-
Cancún
1:0
Latest results of Tepatitlán de Morelos
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Atl. Morelia | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 11:3 | 8 | 16 |
| 2 | Tepatitlan de Morelos | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 8:4 | 4 | 15 |
| 3 | Tapatio | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 16:10 | 6 | 14 |
| 4 | Tlaxcala | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 11:9 | 2 | 13 |
| 5 | Cancun | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10:8 | 2 | 10 |
| 6 | Atlante | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10:7 | 3 | 9 |
| 7 | Atletico La Paz | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8:5 | 3 | 9 |
| 8 | Irapuato | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 13:14 | -1 | 9 |
| 9 | Alebrijes Oaxaca | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9:10 | -1 | 9 |
| 10 | Venados | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 16:17 | -1 | 8 |
| 11 | Zacatecas Mineros | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9:10 | -1 | 8 |
| 12 | Leones Negros | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8:13 | -5 | 6 |
| 13 | Jaiba Brava | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5:10 | -5 | 6 |
| 14 | Correcaminos | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6:12 | -6 | 6 |
| 15 | Dorados de Sinaloa | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 11:19 | -8 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
