Result
2:2
28/03/2026 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga de Expansion MX - Clausura - Round 12
- Referee: Delgadillo Franco O. (Mex)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | AYM Sports |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 28', 1 - 0, Rodriguez J. ⚽, Campos K. (A),
- 32', Reyes R. 🟨,
- 36', Aguilar D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Aguilar D. ↓, Guzman W. ↑,
- 46', Samano L. ↓, Mendoza B. ↑,
- 49', El-mesmari B. 🟨,
- 52', Pinela M. 🟨,
- 54', Melendre F. ↓, Lopez L. ↑,
- 75', Gutierrez G. (Penalty Awarded),
- 76', Trejo C. 🟨,
- 78', Campos K. ↓, Preciado G. ↑,
- 78', El-mesmari B. ↓, Montiel S. ↑,
- 82', 1 - 1, Ruiz A. ⚽, Guzman W. (A),
- 82', Gomez J. ↓, Escoto A. ↑,
- 87', Samano Salgado F. ↓, Moreno Villegas J. A. ↑,
- 87', Uscanga P. ↓, Barraza L. ↑,
- 87', 1 - 2, Escoto A. ⚽,
- 90+3', Ochoa I. 🟨,
- 90+5', 2 - 2, ⚽,
- 90+7', 🟨,
- 90+10', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Cancún
35.5% | Draw
29% | Tepatitlán de Morelos
35.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cancún has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)Tepatitlán de Morelos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tepatitlán de Morelos's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cancún than the current prediction. (+5.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cancún, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tepatitlán de Morelos than the current prediction. (-6.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tepatitlán de Morelos, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Cancún - Tepatitlán de Morelos Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.6 ↑
(2.36) |
3.18 ↑
(3.06) |
2.6 ↓
(3.14) |
8.4%
(6.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Cancún - Tepatitlán de Morelos?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Cancún will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Tepatitlán will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cancún won 3.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Cancún may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Cancún won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 21:13. (average 1.8:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cancún won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:6. (average 2.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Cancún won against Tepatitlán de Morelos?
Cancún has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tepatitlán de Morelos won against Cancún?
Tepatitlán de Morelos has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cancún - Tepatitlán de Morelos were as follows:
17.10.2025
Tepatitlán de Morelos
-
Cancún
1:2
17.01.2025
Tepatitlán de Morelos
-
Cancún
1:1
03.08.2024
Cancún
-
Tepatitlán de Morelos
2:0
19.03.2024
Cancún
-
Tepatitlán de Morelos
2:0
30.08.2023
Tepatitlán de Morelos
-
Cancún
3:0
Latest results of Tepatitlán de Morelos
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tepatitlan de Morelos ✔ | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 21:10 | 11 | 26 |
| 2 | Atl. Morelia | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 18:11 | 7 | 23 |
| 3 | Cancun | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 22:16 | 6 | 22 |
| 4 | Atletico La Paz | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 21:11 | 10 | 21 |
| 5 | Tapatio | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 27:21 | 6 | 20 |
| 6 | Atlante | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 20:16 | 4 | 19 |
| 7 | Irapuato | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 27:24 | 3 | 19 |
| 8 | Tlaxcala | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 14:15 | -1 | 19 |
| 9 | Jaiba Brava | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 14:15 | -1 | 18 |
| 10 | Zacatecas Mineros | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 16:19 | -3 | 17 |
| 11 | Venados | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 23:23 | 0 | 15 |
| 12 | Alebrijes Oaxaca | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 17:28 | -11 | 13 |
| 13 | Correcaminos | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12:21 | -9 | 12 |
| 14 | Leones Negros | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 14:23 | -9 | 11 |
| 15 | Dorados de Sinaloa | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 14:27 | -13 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Tepatitlan de Morelos is Qualified for Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
