Cancún vs Tepatitlán de Morelos – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

28/03/2026 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Cancún
39.6%
Draw
28.5%
Tepatitlán de Morelos
31.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.6% 30.6% 29.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.8% 29.7% 28.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • The chances for Cancún have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • Tepatitlán de Morelos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cancún than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tepatitlán de Morelos than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
  • Cancún - Tepatitlán de Morelos Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.32
    (2.36)
    3.23
    (3.06)
    2.89
    (3.14)
    8.7%
    (6.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cancún won 3.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Tepatitlán may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Cancún won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 21:13. (average 1.8:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Cancún won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:6. (average 2.5:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cancún - Tepatitlán de Morelos were as follows:
    17.10.2025 Tepatitlán de Morelos - Cancún 1:2
    17.01.2025 Tepatitlán de Morelos - Cancún 1:1
    03.08.2024 Cancún - Tepatitlán de Morelos 2:0
    19.03.2024 Cancún - Tepatitlán de Morelos 2:0
    30.08.2023 Tepatitlán de Morelos - Cancún 3:0
    Latest results of Cancún
    21.03.2026 Irapuato - Cancún 2:2
    14.03.2026 Cancún - Atlético La Paz 1:1
    06.03.2026 Tapatío - Cancún 1:2
    28.02.2026 Cancún - Jaiba Brava 1:2
    Latest results of Tepatitlán de Morelos
    Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tepatitlan de Morelos1163216:7921
    2Atletico La Paz1054118:61219
    3Atl. Morelia1061316:9719
    4Tapatio1052322:17517
    5Atlante1044215:9616
    6Cancun1043315:12315
    7Tlaxcala1043312:12015
    8Zacatecas Mineros1042413:15-214
    9Irapuato1041522:20213
    10Jaiba Brava1041510:12-213
    11Correcaminos1033410:16-612
    12Alebrijes Oaxaca1033415:23-812
    13Venados1022616:20-48
    14Leones Negros1014510:20-107
    15Dorados de Sinaloa1114612:24-127

          Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)