Atlético Mineiro vs Caracas – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

15/05/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

MRV Arena (Belo Horizonte).

Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 5
Referee: Burgos J. (Uru)
Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Bolivia	Tigo Sports 3, Tigo Sports App
Brazil	Paramount+
Canada	beIN Connect
Chile	DirecTV Sports
Ecuador	DirecTV Sports
Indonesia	Mola TV
Israel	Sport 2
Italy	Como TV
Mexico	Disney+
Paraguay	Tigo Sports
Peru	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1611
Portugal	Sport TV3
Russia	Okko Sport
South-america	DGO Latin America
Uruguay	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1611, DSports 1
Usa	beIN Connect, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1, Inter

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
2.55	1.59
Ball Possession
55%	45%
Total shots
23	11
Shots on target
10	2
Big Chances
8	3
Corner Kicks
7	1
Passes
85% (405/474)	79% (314/398)
Yellow Cards
2	2
Expected Goals (xG)
2.55	1.59
xG on target (xGOT)
3.25	1.06
Total shots
23	11
Shots on target
10	2
Shots off target
11	4
Blocked Shots
2	5
Shots inside the Box
18	6
Shots outside the Box
5	5
Hit the Woodwork
3	0
Headed Goals
1	0
Big Chances
8	3
Corner Kicks
7	1
Touches in opposition box
44	15
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
6	1
Free Kicks
11	13
Passes
85% (405/474)	79% (314/398)
Long passes
65% (39/60)	38% (18/48)
Passes in final third
76% (107/140)	64% (54/85)
Crosses
17% (3/18)	11% (1/9)
Expected assists (xA)
1.58	0.22
Throw-ins
17	21
Fouls
13	11
Tackles
69% (11/16)	60% (9/15)
Duels won
48	35
Clearances
17	21
Interceptions
14	9
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	7
xGOT faced
1.06	3.25
Goals prevented
0.06	1.25

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
28', 1 - 0, Edet B. (Own goal),
45+1', Edet B. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Alonso J. ↓, Vitor Hugo ↑,
46', Hulk ↓, Rony ↑,
46', Fausto Vera ↓, Gustavo Scarpa ↑,
48', 2 - 0, Cuello ⚽, Junior Santos (A),
55', Lyanco 🟨,
55', De Santis J. 🟨,
59', 2 - 1, De Santis J. (Pen),
73', Caio Paulista ↓, Patrick Silva ↑,
73', Bernard ↓, Igor Gomes ↑,
77', 3 - 1, Rony ⚽, Gustavo Scarpa (A),
78', Vegas M. ↓, Figueroa A. ↑,
84', Hernandez J. ↓, Correa W. ↑,
90', Rodriguez V. ↓, Heraldez L. ↑,
90+6', Vitor Hugo 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Atlético Mineiro
86.2%

Draw
9.8%

Caracas
4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

83.5%

11.6%

4.9%

Atlético Mineiro - Caracas Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.1 ↓ (1.12)	9.76 ↑ (8.07)	23.9 ↑ (19.09)	5.6% (6.8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

What is the prediction for Atlético Mineiro - Caracas?

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Atlético MG will win (votes: 5 - 83.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Atlético MG (votes: 2 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:0.

Preview Facts

Atlético MG has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Caracas has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Caracas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Atlético MG has had a series of away games.
In this match, Atlético MG is the undeniable favorite.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Atlético MG won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:2. (average 3:0.7).
Including home match between the teams, Atlético MG won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0.

How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Mineiro won against Caracas?

Atlético Mineiro has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Caracas won against Atlético Mineiro?

Caracas has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Mineiro - Caracas were as follows:

23.04.2025 Caracas - Atlético Mineiro 1:1

28.05.2024 Atlético Mineiro - Caracas 4:0

04.04.2024 Caracas - Atlético Mineiro 1:4

Latest results of Atlético Mineiro

11.05.2025 Atlético Mineiro - Fluminense 3:2 ✺

08.05.2025 Deportes Iquique - Atlético Mineiro 3:2 ✺

05.05.2025 Juventude - Atlético Mineiro 0:1 ✺

29.04.2025 Maringá - Atlético Mineiro 2:2 ✺

26.04.2025 Mirassol - Atlético Mineiro 2:2 ✺

Latest results of Caracas

08.05.2025 Cienciano - Caracas 3:1 ✺

27.04.2025 Universidad Central - Caracas 1:3 ✺

23.04.2025 Caracas - Atlético Mineiro 1:1 ✺

18.04.2025 Caracas - Monagas 1:4 ✺

13.04.2025 Zamora - Caracas 3:0 ✺

Draw

2026

Final

1	Nacional Asuncion	Recoleta
2	Sportivo Trinidense	Olimpia Asuncion
3	Alianza Atl.	Deportivo Garcilaso
4	Cienciano	FBC Melgar
5	Montevideo City	Defensor Sp.
6	Boston River	Racing Montevideo
7	Puerto Cabello	Monagas
8	Caracas	Metropolitanos
9	U. De Chile	Palestino
10	Cobresal	A. Italiano
11	Atl. Nacional	Millonarios
12	America De Cali	Bucaramanga
13	Independiente	Guabira
14	Blooming	SA Bulo Bulo
15	Dep. Cuenca	Libertad
16	Orense	Macara