Atlético Mineiro vs Caracas – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Copa Sudamericana Atlético Mineiro - Caracas
Result
3:1
15/05/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 5
  • Referee: Burgos J. (Uru)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDirecTV Sports, DSports 1
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
boliviaBoliviaTigo Sports 3, Tigo Sports App
brazilBrazilParamount+
canadaCanadabeIN Connect
chileChileDirecTV Sports
ecuadorEcuadorDirecTV Sports
indonesiaIndonesiaMola TV
israelIsraelSport 2
italyItalyComo TV
mexicoMexicoDisney+
paraguayParaguayTigo Sports
peruPeruDirecTV Sports, DSports 1611
portugalPortugalSport TV3
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
south-americaSouth-americaDGO Latin America
uruguayUruguayDirecTV Sports, DSports 1611, DSports 1
usaUsabeIN Connect, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network
venezuelaVenezuelaDirecTV Sports, DSports 1, Inter

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.551.59
Ball Possession
55%45%
Total shots
2311
Shots on target
102
Big Chances
83
Corner Kicks
71
Passes
85% (405/474)79% (314/398)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
2.551.59
xG on target (xGOT)
3.251.06
Total shots
2311
Shots on target
102
Shots off target
114
Blocked Shots
25
Shots inside the Box
186
Shots outside the Box
55
Hit the Woodwork
30
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
83
Corner Kicks
71
Touches in opposition box
4415
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
61
Free Kicks
1113
Passes
85% (405/474)79% (314/398)
Long passes
65% (39/60)38% (18/48)
Passes in final third
76% (107/140)64% (54/85)
Crosses
17% (3/18)11% (1/9)
Expected assists (xA)
1.580.22
Throw-ins
1721
Fouls
1311
Tackles
69% (11/16)60% (9/15)
Duels won
4835
Clearances
1721
Interceptions
149
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
17
xGOT faced
1.063.25
Goals prevented
0.061.25

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 28', 1 - 0, Edet B. (Own goal),
  • 45+1', Edet B. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Alonso J. , Vitor Hugo ,
  • 46', Hulk , Rony ,
  • 46', Fausto Vera , Gustavo Scarpa ,
  • 48', 2 - 0, Cuello , Junior Santos (A),
  • 55', Lyanco 🟨,
  • 55', De Santis J. 🟨,
  • 59', 2 - 1, De Santis J. (Pen),
  • 73', Caio Paulista , Patrick Silva ,
  • 73', Bernard , Igor Gomes ,
  • 77', 3 - 1, Rony , Gustavo Scarpa (A),
  • 78', Vegas M. , Figueroa A. ,
  • 84', Hernandez J. , Correa W. ,
  • 90', Rodriguez V. , Heraldez L. ,
  • 90+6', Vitor Hugo 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Atlético Mineiro
86.2%
Draw
9.8%
Caracas
4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
83.5% 11.6% 4.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Atlético Mineiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
  • Caracas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
  • Atlético Mineiro - Caracas Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.1
    (1.12)
    9.76
    (8.07)
    23.9
    (19.09)
    5.6%
    (6.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
  • What is the prediction for Atlético Mineiro - Caracas?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Atlético MG will win (votes: 5 - 83.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Atlético MG (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Atlético MG has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Caracas has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Caracas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Atlético MG has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Atlético MG is the undeniable favorite.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Atlético MG won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:2. (average 3:0.7).
    • Including home match between the teams, Atlético MG won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Mineiro - Caracas were as follows:
    23.04.2025 Caracas - Atlético Mineiro 1:1
    28.05.2024 Atlético Mineiro - Caracas 4:0
    04.04.2024 Caracas - Atlético Mineiro 1:4
    Latest results of Atlético Mineiro
    Latest results of Caracas
    08.05.2025 Cienciano - Caracas 3:1
    18.04.2025 Caracas - Monagas 1:4
    13.04.2025 Zamora - Caracas 3:0
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Alianza LimaGremio1 : 1, 2 : 0
    2ByeU. Catolica
    3U. De ChileGuarani5 : 0
    4ByeIndependiente
    5Central CordobaCerro Largo3 : 0, 0 : 0
    6ByeLanus
    7BahiaAmerica De Cali0 : 2, 0 : 0
    8ByeFluminense
    9BolivarPalestino3 : 0, 3 : 0
    10ByeCienciano
    11BucaramangaAtletico-MG0 : 1
    12ByeGodoy Cruz
    13Ind. del ValleVasco1 : 1, 4 : 0
    14ByeMushuc Runa
    15SA Bulo BuloOnce Caldas0 : 4, 0 : 3
    16ByeHuracan

    1/8-finals
    1Alianza LimaU. Catolica
    2TBD #3Independiente
    3Central CordobaLanus
    4America De CaliFluminense
    5BolivarCienciano
    6TBD #11Godoy Cruz
    7Ind. del ValleMushuc Runa
    8Once CaldasHuracan

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2