Result
3:1
15/05/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 5
- Referee: Burgos J. (Uru)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DirecTV Sports, DSports 1 |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD |
 Australia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 |
 Bolivia | Tigo Sports 3, Tigo Sports App |
 Brazil | Paramount+ |
 Canada | beIN Connect |
 Chile | DirecTV Sports |
 Ecuador | DirecTV Sports |
 Indonesia | Mola TV |
 Israel | Sport 2 |
 Italy | Como TV |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Paraguay | Tigo Sports |
 Peru | DirecTV Sports, DSports 1611 |
 Portugal | Sport TV3 |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 South-america | DGO Latin America |
 Uruguay | DirecTV Sports, DSports 1611, DSports 1 |
 Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network |
 Venezuela | DirecTV Sports, DSports 1, Inter |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.55 | 1.59 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 23 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (405/474) | 79% (314/398) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.55 | 1.59 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.25 | 1.06 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 23 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 18 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 44 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (405/474) | 79% (314/398) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 65% (39/60) | 38% (18/48) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 76% (107/140) | 64% (54/85) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (3/18) | 11% (1/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.58 | 0.22 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 69% (11/16) | 60% (9/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 35 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.06 | 3.25 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.06 | 1.25 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 28', 1 - 0, Edet B. (Own goal),
- 45+1', Edet B. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Alonso J. ↓, Vitor Hugo ↑,
- 46', Hulk ↓, Rony ↑,
- 46', Fausto Vera ↓, Gustavo Scarpa ↑,
- 48', 2 - 0, Cuello ⚽, Junior Santos (A),
- 55', Lyanco 🟨,
- 55', De Santis J. 🟨,
- 59', 2 - 1, De Santis J. (Pen),
- 73', Caio Paulista ↓, Patrick Silva ↑,
- 73', Bernard ↓, Igor Gomes ↑,
- 77', 3 - 1, Rony ⚽, Gustavo Scarpa (A),
- 78', Vegas M. ↓, Figueroa A. ↑,
- 84', Hernandez J. ↓, Correa W. ↑,
- 90', Rodriguez V. ↓, Heraldez L. ↑,
- 90+6', Vitor Hugo 🟨,
Chances of winning
Atlético Mineiro
86.2% | Draw
9.8% | Caracas
4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético Mineiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)Caracas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
Atlético Mineiro - Caracas Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.1 ↓
(1.12) |
9.76 ↑
(8.07) |
23.9 ↑
(19.09) |
5.6%
(6.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for Atlético Mineiro - Caracas?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Atlético MG will win (votes: 5 - 83.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Atlético MG (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:0.
Preview Facts
- Atlético MG has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Caracas has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Caracas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Atlético MG has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Atlético MG is the undeniable favorite.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Atlético MG won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:2. (average 3:0.7).
- Including home match between the teams, Atlético MG won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Mineiro won against Caracas?
Atlético Mineiro has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Caracas won against Atlético Mineiro?
Caracas has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Mineiro - Caracas were as follows:
23.04.2025
Caracas
-
Atlético Mineiro
1:1
28.05.2024
Atlético Mineiro
-
Caracas
4:0
04.04.2024
Caracas
-
Atlético Mineiro
1:4
Latest results of Atlético Mineiro
Latest results of Caracas
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | Alianza Lima | Gremio | 1 : 1, 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Bye | U. Catolica | |
| 3 | U. De Chile | Guarani | 5 : 0 |
| 4 | Bye | Independiente | |
| 5 | Central Cordoba | Cerro Largo | 3 : 0, 0 : 0 |
| 6 | Bye | Lanus | |
| 7 | Bahia | America De Cali | 0 : 2, 0 : 0 |
| 8 | Bye | Fluminense | |
| 9 | Bolivar | Palestino | 3 : 0, 3 : 0 |
| 10 | Bye | Cienciano | |
| 11 | Bucaramanga | Atletico-MG | 0 : 1 |
| 12 | Bye | Godoy Cruz | |
| 13 | Ind. del Valle | Vasco | 1 : 1, 4 : 0 |
| 14 | Bye | Mushuc Runa | |
| 15 | SA Bulo Bulo | Once Caldas | 0 : 4, 0 : 3 |
| 16 | Bye | Huracan | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Alianza Lima | U. Catolica | |
| 2 | TBD #3 | Independiente | |
| 3 | Central Cordoba | Lanus | |
| 4 | America De Cali | Fluminense | |
| 5 | Bolivar | Cienciano | |
| 6 | TBD #11 | Godoy Cruz | |
| 7 | Ind. del Valle | Mushuc Runa | |
| 8 | Once Caldas | Huracan | |
Quarter-finalsSemi-finalsFinal
