Result
3:1
15/05/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 5
- Referee: Burgos J. (Uru)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Argentina | DirecTV Sports, DSports 1 |
Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD |
Australia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 |
Bolivia | Tigo Sports 3, Tigo Sports App |
Brazil | Paramount+ |
Canada | beIN Connect |
Chile | DirecTV Sports |
Ecuador | DirecTV Sports |
Indonesia | Mola TV |
Israel | Sport 2 |
Italy | Como TV |
Mexico | Disney+ |
Paraguay | Tigo Sports |
Peru | DirecTV Sports, DSports 1611 |
Portugal | Sport TV3 |
Russia | Okko Sport |
South-america | DGO Latin America |
Uruguay | DirecTV Sports, DSports 1611, DSports 1 |
Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network |
Venezuela | DirecTV Sports, DSports 1, Inter |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.55 | 1.59 |
Ball Possession |
---|
55% | 45% |
Total shots |
---|
23 | 11 |
Shots on target |
---|
10 | 2 |
Big Chances |
---|
8 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
7 | 1 |
Passes |
---|
85% (405/474) | 79% (314/398) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 2 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.55 | 1.59 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
3.25 | 1.06 |
Total shots |
---|
23 | 11 |
Shots on target |
---|
10 | 2 |
Shots off target |
---|
11 | 4 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
2 | 5 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
18 | 6 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
5 | 5 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
3 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
8 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
7 | 1 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
44 | 15 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
6 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
11 | 13 |
Passes |
---|
85% (405/474) | 79% (314/398) |
Long passes |
---|
65% (39/60) | 38% (18/48) |
Passes in final third |
---|
76% (107/140) | 64% (54/85) |
Crosses |
---|
17% (3/18) | 11% (1/9) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.58 | 0.22 |
Throw-ins |
---|
17 | 21 |
Fouls |
---|
13 | 11 |
Tackles |
---|
69% (11/16) | 60% (9/15) |
Duels won |
---|
48 | 35 |
Clearances |
---|
17 | 21 |
Interceptions |
---|
14 | 9 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 1 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
1 | 7 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.06 | 3.25 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.06 | 1.25 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 28', 1 - 0, Edet B. (Own goal),
- 45+1', Edet B. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Alonso J. ↓, Vitor Hugo ↑,
- 46', Hulk ↓, Rony ↑,
- 46', Fausto Vera ↓, Gustavo Scarpa ↑,
- 48', 2 - 0, Cuello ⚽, Junior Santos (A),
- 55', Lyanco 🟨,
- 55', De Santis J. 🟨,
- 59', 2 - 1, De Santis J. (Pen),
- 73', Caio Paulista ↓, Patrick Silva ↑,
- 73', Bernard ↓, Igor Gomes ↑,
- 77', 3 - 1, Rony ⚽, Gustavo Scarpa (A),
- 78', Vegas M. ↓, Figueroa A. ↑,
- 84', Hernandez J. ↓, Correa W. ↑,
- 90', Rodriguez V. ↓, Heraldez L. ↑,
- 90+6', Vitor Hugo 🟨,
Chances of winning
Atlético Mineiro 86.2% | Draw 9.8% | Caracas 4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético Mineiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)Caracas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
Atlético Mineiro - Caracas Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.1 ↓ (1.12) |
9.76 ↑ (8.07) |
23.9 ↑ (19.09) |
5.6% (6.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for Atlético Mineiro - Caracas?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Atlético MG will win (votes: 5 - 83.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Atlético MG (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:0.
Preview Facts
- Atlético MG has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Caracas has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Caracas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Atlético MG has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Atlético MG is the undeniable favorite.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Atlético MG won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:2. (average 3:0.7).
- Including home match between the teams, Atlético MG won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Mineiro won against Caracas?
Atlético Mineiro has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Caracas won against Atlético Mineiro?
Caracas has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Mineiro - Caracas were as follows:
23.04.2025
Caracas
-
Atlético Mineiro
1:1
28.05.2024
Atlético Mineiro
-
Caracas
4:0
04.04.2024
Caracas
-
Atlético Mineiro
1:4
Latest results of Atlético Mineiro
Latest results of Caracas
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals1 | Alianza Lima | Gremio | 1 : 1, 2 : 0 |
2 | Bye | U. Catolica | |
3 | U. De Chile | Guarani | 5 : 0 |
4 | Bye | Independiente | |
5 | Central Cordoba | Cerro Largo | 3 : 0, 0 : 0 |
6 | Bye | Lanus | |
7 | Bahia | America De Cali | 0 : 2, 0 : 0 |
8 | Bye | Fluminense | |
9 | Bolivar | Palestino | 3 : 0, 3 : 0 |
10 | Bye | Cienciano | |
11 | Bucaramanga | Atletico-MG | 0 : 1 |
12 | Bye | Godoy Cruz | |
13 | Ind. del Valle | Vasco | 1 : 1, 4 : 0 |
14 | Bye | Mushuc Runa | |
15 | SA Bulo Bulo | Once Caldas | 0 : 4, 0 : 3 |
16 | Bye | Huracan | |
1/8-finals1 | Alianza Lima | U. Catolica | |
2 | TBD #3 | Independiente | |
3 | Central Cordoba | Lanus | |
4 | America De Cali | Fluminense | |
5 | Bolivar | Cienciano | |
6 | TBD #11 | Godoy Cruz | |
7 | Ind. del Valle | Mushuc Runa | |
8 | Once Caldas | Huracan | |
Quarter-finalsSemi-finalsFinal