Cienciano vs Caracas – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

08/05/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega (Cusco).

Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 4
Referee: Cajas A. (Ecu)
Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 2
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
Bolivia	Tigo Sports 1
Brazil	Paramount+
Canada	beIN Connect
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN 5
Indonesia	Mola TV
Italy	Como TV
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+, Fox Sports 2
Russia	Okko Sport
South-america	ESPN 2 South, ESPN 5 South
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network
Venezuela	Disney+, Inter

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
3.05	0.06
Ball Possession
66%	34%
Total shots
30	4
Shots on target
11	2
Big Chances
8	0
Corner Kicks
8	2
Passes
87% (383/438)	73% (170/233)
Yellow Cards
2	2
Expected Goals (xG)
3.05	0.06
xG on target (xGOT)
3.11	0.46
Total shots
30	4
Shots on target
11	2
Shots off target
13	1
Blocked Shots
6	1
Shots inside the Box
15	1
Shots outside the Box
15	2
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Headed Goals
1	0
Big Chances
8	0
Corner Kicks
8	2
Touches in opposition box
48	6
Accurate through passes
2	0
Offsides
3	3
Free Kicks
8	13
Passes
87% (383/438)	73% (170/233)
Long passes
67% (28/42)	33% (16/49)
Passes in final third
79% (142/179)	56% (27/48)
Crosses
31% (8/26)	29% (2/7)
Expected assists (xA)
1.81	0.09
Throw-ins
20	20
Fouls
13	8
Tackles
46% (6/13)	44% (4/9)
Duels won
42	43
Clearances
13	31
Interceptions
13	12
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	8
xGOT faced
0.46	3.11
Goals prevented
-0.71	1.22

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
3', De Santis J. 🟨,
15', 1 - 0, Gentile G. ⚽,
21', Mago L. ↓, Edet B. ↑,
22', Arias Fierro S. D. 🟨,
30', Garces C. ↓, Noronha O. ↑,
34', 1 - 1, Hernandez J. ⚽,
45', Estrada J. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
67', 2 - 1, Valoyes J. ⚽, Arias Fierro S. D. (A),
73', Hernandez J. ↓, Jimenez N. ↑,
74', Heraldez L. ↓, Correa W. ↑,
74', Cueva C. ↓, Benites Vargas L. E. ↑,
75', Romagnoli J. ↓, Palomino R. ↑,
75', Gentile G. ↓, La Torre D. ↑,
81', Ortiz J. ↓, Cavero S. ↑,
81', Jimenez N. 🟨,
83', 3 - 1, Noronha O. ⚽, Amondarain M. (A),
85', Rodriguez V. ↓, Reinoso L. ↑,
85', Vegas M. ↓, Rondon J. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Cienciano
67.9%

Draw
20.5%

Caracas
11.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.1%

24.8%

17.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.4%

23.9%

16.5%

Cienciano - Caracas Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↓ (1.63)	4.57 ↑ (3.81)	8.11 ↑ (5.49)	6.5% (6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Cienciano - Caracas?

Users Predictions: Cienciano will win (11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.01% – 100%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Cienciano will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.

Preview Facts

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Cienciano may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Cienciano is the clear favorite.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Cienciano won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

How many head-to-head matches has Cienciano won against Caracas?

Cienciano has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Caracas won against Cienciano?

Caracas has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Cienciano - Caracas were as follows:

08.04.2025 Caracas - Cienciano 2:2

Latest results of Cienciano

02.05.2025 Alianza Lima - Cienciano 0:1 ✺

28.04.2025 Cienciano - Sport Huancayo 2:1 ✺

24.04.2025 Deportes Iquique - Cienciano 2:2 ✺

19.04.2025 Sport Boys - Cienciano 2:2 ✺

12.04.2025 Cienciano - Alianza Universidad de Huánuco 0:1 ✺

Latest results of Caracas

27.04.2025 Universidad Central - Caracas 1:3 ✺

23.04.2025 Caracas - Atlético Mineiro 1:1 ✺

18.04.2025 Caracas - Monagas 1:4 ✺

13.04.2025 Zamora - Caracas 3:0 ✺

08.04.2025 Caracas - Cienciano 2:2 ✺

Draw

2026

Final

1	Nacional Asuncion	Recoleta
2	Sportivo Trinidense	Olimpia Asuncion
3	Alianza Atl.	Deportivo Garcilaso
4	Cienciano	FBC Melgar
5	Montevideo City	Defensor Sp.
6	Boston River	Racing Montevideo
7	Puerto Cabello	Monagas
8	Caracas	Metropolitanos
9	U. De Chile	Palestino
10	Cobresal	A. Italiano
11	Atl. Nacional	Millonarios
12	America De Cali	Bucaramanga
13	Independiente	Guabira
14	Blooming	SA Bulo Bulo
15	Dep. Cuenca	Libertad
16	Orense	Macara