Luton Town vs Cardiff City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

23/08/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Kenilworth Road (Luton).

League One - Round 5
Referee: Coy M. (Eng)
Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	LTFC+, Sky Sports+
Usa	Paramount+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.43	1.65
Ball Possession
38%	62%
Total shots
23	16
Shots on target
7	3
Big Chances
0	2
Corner Kicks
5	8
Passes
70% (191/274)	85% (380/448)
Yellow Cards
2	1
Expected Goals (xG)
1.43	1.65
xG on target (xGOT)
1.66	0.66
Total shots
23	16
Shots on target
7	3
Shots off target
8	5
Blocked Shots
8	8
Shots inside the Box
19	8
Shots outside the Box
4	8
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
0	2
Corner Kicks
5	8
Touches in opposition box
29	25
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	2
Free Kicks
10	11
Passes
70% (191/274)	85% (380/448)
Long passes
35% (23/65)	44% (31/70)
Passes in final third
58% (65/113)	81% (126/156)
Crosses
41% (7/17)	19% (4/21)
Expected assists (xA)
0.99	1.03
Throw-ins
24	10
Fouls
11	10
Tackles
71% (12/17)	61% (14/23)
Duels won
50	56
Clearances
23	26
Interceptions
4	5
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	7
xGOT faced
0.66	1.66
Goals prevented
-0.34	1.66

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
32', Turnbull D. ↓, Colwill J. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
52', Keeley J. 🟨,
55', Saville G. 🟨,
58', Wells N. ↓, Yates J. ↑,
58', Lonwijk N. ↓, Kodua G. ↑,
68', 0 - 1, Willock C. ⚽,
70', Lawlor D. ↓, Chambers C. ↑,
70', Robinson C. ↓, Salech Y. ↑,
72', Walsh L. ↓, Nelson Z. ↑,
73', Saville G. ↓, Baptiste S. ↑,
86', Chambers C. 🟨,
90', Willock C. ↓, Davies I. ↑,
90+1', Nordas L. ↓, Bramall C. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Luton Town
45.7%

Draw
27.5%

Cardiff City
26.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.1%

26.6%

24.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.6%

27.4%

23.6%

Luton Town - Cardiff City Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↑ (1.89)	3.39 ↓ (3.48)	3.47 ↓ (3.8)	6.7% (8.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Luton Town - Cardiff City?

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Luton will win (votes: 7 - 50%). Cardiff will win (votes: 6 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Luton: 23.8% – 76.2%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Luton (votes: 2 - 50%). Cardiff (votes: 2 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

DC - Cardiff (1.71) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Luton (votes: 2 - 40%). Cardiff (votes: 3 - 60%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Luton won 5.
Luton has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Cardiff is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Luton may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Luton is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
There will not play in Luton: Adebayo E. (Knee Injury) Brown J. (Ankle Injury) Lockyer T. (Ankle Injury) Mengi T. (Knee Injury) Odoffin H. (Muscle Injury) Walters R. (Groin Injury)
There will not play in Cardiff: Robertson A. (Inactive)
There are questionable in Luton: Chong T. (Groin Injury) Jones I. (Back Injury) Kodua G. (Injury) Wells N. (Inactive)
There are questionable in Cardiff: Mafico D. (Inactive) Ng P. (Inactive) Tanner O. (Injury)
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Luton won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:13. (average 1.1:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Luton won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 0.6:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Luton Town won against Cardiff City?

Luton Town has won 4 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Cardiff City won against Luton Town?

Cardiff City has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Luton Town - Cardiff City were as follows:

11.03.2025 Cardiff City - Luton Town 1:2

06.11.2024 Luton Town - Cardiff City 1:0

31.01.2023 Luton Town - Cardiff City 1:0

30.08.2022 Cardiff City - Luton Town 1:2

Latest results of Luton Town

19.08.2025 Luton Town - Wigan Athletic 1:0 ✺

16.08.2025 Bradford City - Luton Town 2:1 ✺

12.08.2025 Coventry City - Luton Town 1:0 ✺

09.08.2025 Peterborough United - Luton Town 0:2 ✺

01.08.2025 Luton Town - AFC Wimbledon 1:0 ✺

Latest results of Cardiff City

19.08.2025 AFC Wimbledon - Cardiff City 0:1 ✺

16.08.2025 Cardiff City - Rotherham United 3:0 ✺

12.08.2025 Cardiff City - Swindon Town 2:1 ✺

07.08.2025 Port Vale - Cardiff City 0:0 ✺

02.08.2025 Cardiff City - Peterborough United 2:1 ✺

English League One Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Cardiff	26	17	4	5	45:26	19	55
2	Lincoln	26	14	7	5	42:28	14	49
3	Bradford City	25	13	7	5	35:27	8	46
4	Stockport County	26	13	6	7	37:32	5	45
5	Bolton	27	11	10	6	33:25	8	43
6	Huddersfield	27	11	6	10	46:38	8	39
7	Luton	26	11	6	9	37:32	5	39
8	Stevenage	25	10	8	7	27:23	4	38
9	Wycombe	26	9	9	8	34:29	5	36
10	Mansfield	24	10	5	9	34:28	6	35
11	Reading	25	9	8	8	33:31	2	35
12	Peterborough	26	11	2	13	33:35	-2	35
13	Exeter	25	10	3	12	28:23	5	33
14	Plymouth	26	10	3	13	33:39	-6	33
15	Barnsley	22	9	5	8	35:34	1	32
16	Leyton Orient	26	9	5	12	39:43	-4	32
17	AFC Wimbledon	25	9	4	12	27:34	-7	31
18	Wigan	25	7	9	9	26:28	-2	30
19	Burton	25	8	6	11	26:35	-9	30
20	Blackpool	26	8	5	13	32:39	-7	29
21	Northampton	25	8	5	12	23:30	-7	29
22	Doncaster	25	7	5	13	25:41	-16	26
23	Rotherham	25	6	6	13	24:38	-14	24
24	Port Vale	24	4	6	14	18:34	-16	18

      Promotion ~ Championship
      Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
      Relegation ~ League Two