Result
0:1
23/08/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 5
- Referee: Coy M. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
United-kingdom | LTFC+, Sky Sports+ |
Usa | Paramount+ |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.43 | 1.65 |
Ball Possession |
---|
38% | 62% |
Total shots |
---|
23 | 16 |
Shots on target |
---|
7 | 3 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 8 |
Passes |
---|
70% (191/274) | 85% (380/448) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.43 | 1.65 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.66 | 0.66 |
Total shots |
---|
23 | 16 |
Shots on target |
---|
7 | 3 |
Shots off target |
---|
8 | 5 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
8 | 8 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
19 | 8 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
4 | 8 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 8 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
29 | 25 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 2 |
Free Kicks |
---|
10 | 11 |
Passes |
---|
70% (191/274) | 85% (380/448) |
Long passes |
---|
35% (23/65) | 44% (31/70) |
Passes in final third |
---|
58% (65/113) | 81% (126/156) |
Crosses |
---|
41% (7/17) | 19% (4/21) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.99 | 1.03 |
Throw-ins |
---|
24 | 10 |
Fouls |
---|
11 | 10 |
Tackles |
---|
71% (12/17) | 61% (14/23) |
Duels won |
---|
50 | 56 |
Clearances |
---|
23 | 26 |
Interceptions |
---|
4 | 5 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
2 | 7 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.66 | 1.66 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.34 | 1.66 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 32', Turnbull D. ↓, Colwill J. ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 52', Keeley J. 🟨,
- 55', Saville G. 🟨,
- 58', Wells N. ↓, Yates J. ↑,
- 58', Lonwijk N. ↓, Kodua G. ↑,
- 68', 0 - 1, Willock C. ⚽,
- 70', Lawlor D. ↓, Chambers C. ↑,
- 70', Robinson C. ↓, Salech Y. ↑,
- 72', Walsh L. ↓, Nelson Z. ↑,
- 73', Saville G. ↓, Baptiste S. ↑,
- 86', Chambers C. 🟨,
- 90', Willock C. ↓, Davies I. ↑,
- 90+1', Nordas L. ↓, Bramall C. ↑,
Chances of winning
Luton Town 45.7% | Draw 27.5% | Cardiff City 26.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Luton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)Cardiff City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luton Town than the current prediction. (+4.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cardiff City than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
Luton Town - Cardiff City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.07 ↑ (1.89) |
3.39 ↓ (3.48) |
3.47 ↓ (3.8) |
6.7% (8.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Luton Town - Cardiff City?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Luton will win (votes: 7 - 50%). Cardiff will win (votes: 6 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Luton: 23.8% – 76.2%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Luton (votes: 2 - 50%). Cardiff (votes: 2 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Luton won 5.
- Luton has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Cardiff is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Luton may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Luton is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Luton: Adebayo E.
(Knee Injury)
Brown J.
(Ankle Injury)
Lockyer T.
(Ankle Injury)
Mengi T.
(Knee Injury)
Odoffin H.
(Muscle Injury)
Walters R.
(Groin Injury)
- There will not play in Cardiff: Robertson A.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Luton: Chong T.
(Groin Injury)
Jones I.
(Back Injury)
Kodua G.
(Injury)
Wells N.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Cardiff: Mafico D.
(Inactive)
Ng P.
(Inactive)
Tanner O.
(Injury)
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Luton won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:13. (average 1.1:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Luton won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 0.6:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Luton Town won against Cardiff City?
Luton Town has won 4 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cardiff City won against Luton Town?
Cardiff City has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Luton Town - Cardiff City were as follows:
11.03.2025
Cardiff City
-
Luton Town
1:2
06.11.2024
Luton Town
-
Cardiff City
1:0
31.01.2023
Luton Town
-
Cardiff City
1:0
30.08.2022
Cardiff City
-
Luton Town
1:2
Latest results of Luton Town
Latest results of Cardiff City
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Cardiff | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 7:1 | 6 | 13 |
2 | Huddersfield | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 10:3 | 7 | 12 |
3 | Stevenage | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8:4 | 4 | 12 |
4 | Bradford City | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 7:4 | 3 | 11 |
5 | Stockport County | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9:6 | 3 | 10 |
6 | Barnsley | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8:6 | 2 | 10 |
7 | Lincoln | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7:5 | 2 | 10 |
8 | Doncaster | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 10 |
9 | Mansfield | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10:6 | 4 | 9 |
10 | AFC Wimbledon | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6:3 | 3 | 9 |
11 | Luton | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 5:3 | 2 | 9 |
12 | Wigan | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 7 |
13 | Leyton Orient | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:9 | -3 | 7 |
14 | Exeter | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6:6 | 0 | 6 |
15 | Bolton | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 6 |
16 | Burton | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 4 |
17 | Rotherham | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 4 |
18 | Northampton | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3:6 | -3 | 4 |
19 | Plymouth | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4:9 | -5 | 3 |
20 | Blackpool | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6:12 | -6 | 3 |
21 | Wycombe | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5:8 | -3 | 2 |
22 | Port Vale | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2:5 | -3 | 2 |
23 | Reading | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4:9 | -5 | 2 |
24 | Peterborough | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2:8 | -6 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two