Result
0:1
23/08/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 5
- Referee: Coy M. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | LTFC+, Sky Sports+ |
 Usa | Paramount+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.43 | 1.65 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 38% | 62% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 23 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (191/274) | 85% (380/448) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.43 | 1.65 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.66 | 0.66 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 23 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 19 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 29 | 25 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (191/274) | 85% (380/448) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 35% (23/65) | 44% (31/70) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 58% (65/113) | 81% (126/156) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 41% (7/17) | 19% (4/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.99 | 1.03 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 24 | 10 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (12/17) | 61% (14/23) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 56 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.66 | 1.66 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.34 | 1.66 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 32', Turnbull D. ↓, Colwill J. ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 52', Keeley J. 🟨,
- 55', Saville G. 🟨,
- 58', Wells N. ↓, Yates J. ↑,
- 58', Lonwijk N. ↓, Kodua G. ↑,
- 68', 0 - 1, Willock C. ⚽,
- 70', Lawlor D. ↓, Chambers C. ↑,
- 70', Robinson C. ↓, Salech Y. ↑,
- 72', Walsh L. ↓, Nelson Z. ↑,
- 73', Saville G. ↓, Baptiste S. ↑,
- 86', Chambers C. 🟨,
- 90', Willock C. ↓, Davies I. ↑,
- 90+1', Nordas L. ↓, Bramall C. ↑,
Chances of winning
Luton Town
45.7% | Draw
27.5% | Cardiff City
26.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Luton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)Cardiff City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luton Town than the current prediction. (+4.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cardiff City than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
Luton Town - Cardiff City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.07 ↑
(1.89) |
3.39 ↓
(3.48) |
3.47 ↓
(3.8) |
6.7%
(8.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Luton Town - Cardiff City?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Luton will win (votes: 7 - 50%). Cardiff will win (votes: 6 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Luton: 23.8% – 76.2%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Luton (votes: 2 - 50%). Cardiff (votes: 2 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Luton won 5.
- Luton has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Cardiff is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Luton may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Luton is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Luton: Adebayo E.
(Knee Injury)
Brown J.
(Ankle Injury)
Lockyer T.
(Ankle Injury)
Mengi T.
(Knee Injury)
Odoffin H.
(Muscle Injury)
Walters R.
(Groin Injury)
- There will not play in Cardiff: Robertson A.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Luton: Chong T.
(Groin Injury)
Jones I.
(Back Injury)
Kodua G.
(Injury)
Wells N.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Cardiff: Mafico D.
(Inactive)
Ng P.
(Inactive)
Tanner O.
(Injury)
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Luton won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:13. (average 1.1:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Luton won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 0.6:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Luton Town won against Cardiff City?
Luton Town has won 4 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cardiff City won against Luton Town?
Cardiff City has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Luton Town - Cardiff City were as follows:
11.03.2025
Cardiff City
-
Luton Town
1:2
06.11.2024
Luton Town
-
Cardiff City
1:0
31.01.2023
Luton Town
-
Cardiff City
1:0
30.08.2022
Cardiff City
-
Luton Town
1:2
Latest results of Luton Town
Latest results of Cardiff City
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Stevenage | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 17:8 | 9 | 25 |
| 2 | Bradford City | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 20:13 | 7 | 24 |
| 3 | Cardiff | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 19:9 | 10 | 23 |
| 4 | Lincoln | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 17:10 | 7 | 21 |
| 5 | AFC Wimbledon | 11 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 16:12 | 4 | 21 |
| 6 | Huddersfield | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 17:13 | 4 | 19 |
| 7 | Stockport County | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 17:14 | 3 | 19 |
| 8 | Bolton | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 16:11 | 5 | 17 |
| 9 | Barnsley | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 16:14 | 2 | 17 |
| 10 | Doncaster | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 11:12 | -1 | 17 |
| 11 | Luton | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 14:13 | 1 | 16 |
| 12 | Mansfield | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 16:14 | 2 | 15 |
| 13 | Northampton | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 7:8 | -1 | 14 |
| 14 | Wigan | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 15:16 | -1 | 13 |
| 15 | Plymouth | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 16:19 | -3 | 13 |
| 16 | Port Vale | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10:10 | 0 | 12 |
| 17 | Exeter | 11 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 11:12 | -1 | 12 |
| 18 | Leyton Orient | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 16:22 | -6 | 11 |
| 19 | Reading | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 11:15 | -4 | 10 |
| 20 | Wycombe | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 13:15 | -2 | 9 |
| 21 | Burton | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 7:15 | -8 | 9 |
| 22 | Rotherham | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 9:15 | -6 | 8 |
| 23 | Blackpool | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 10:19 | -9 | 8 |
| 24 | Peterborough | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 8:20 | -12 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
