Luton Town vs Cardiff City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League One Luton Town - Cardiff City
Result
0:1
23/08/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League One - Round 5
  • Referee: Coy M. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomLTFC+, Sky Sports+
usaUsaParamount+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.431.65
Ball Possession
38%62%
Total shots
2316
Shots on target
73
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
58
Passes
70% (191/274)85% (380/448)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
1.431.65
xG on target (xGOT)
1.660.66
Total shots
2316
Shots on target
73
Shots off target
85
Blocked Shots
88
Shots inside the Box
198
Shots outside the Box
48
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
58
Touches in opposition box
2925
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
1011
Passes
70% (191/274)85% (380/448)
Long passes
35% (23/65)44% (31/70)
Passes in final third
58% (65/113)81% (126/156)
Crosses
41% (7/17)19% (4/21)
Expected assists (xA)
0.991.03
Throw-ins
2410
Fouls
1110
Tackles
71% (12/17)61% (14/23)
Duels won
5056
Clearances
2326
Interceptions
45
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
27
xGOT faced
0.661.66
Goals prevented
-0.341.66

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 32', Turnbull D. , Colwill J. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 52', Keeley J. 🟨,
  • 55', Saville G. 🟨,
  • 58', Wells N. , Yates J. ,
  • 58', Lonwijk N. , Kodua G. ,
  • 68', 0 - 1, Willock C. ,
  • 70', Lawlor D. , Chambers C. ,
  • 70', Robinson C. , Salech Y. ,
  • 72', Walsh L. , Nelson Z. ,
  • 73', Saville G. , Baptiste S. ,
  • 86', Chambers C. 🟨,
  • 90', Willock C. , Davies I. ,
  • 90+1', Nordas L. , Bramall C. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Luton Town
45.7%
Draw
27.5%
Cardiff City
26.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.1% 26.6% 24.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.6% 27.4% 23.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Luton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
  • Cardiff City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luton Town than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cardiff City than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
  • Luton Town - Cardiff City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.07
    (1.89)
    3.39
    (3.48)
    3.47
    (3.8)
    6.7%
    (8.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Luton Town - Cardiff City?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Luton will win (votes: 7 - 50%). Cardiff will win (votes: 6 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Luton: 23.8%76.2%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Luton (votes: 2 - 50%). Cardiff (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Luton won 5.
    • Luton has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Cardiff is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Luton may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Luton is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Luton: Adebayo E. (Knee Injury) Brown J. (Ankle Injury) Lockyer T. (Ankle Injury) Mengi T. (Knee Injury) Odoffin H. (Muscle Injury) Walters R. (Groin Injury)
    • There will not play in Cardiff: Robertson A. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Luton: Chong T. (Groin Injury) Jones I. (Back Injury) Kodua G. (Injury) Wells N. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Cardiff: Mafico D. (Inactive) Ng P. (Inactive) Tanner O. (Injury)
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Luton won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:13. (average 1.1:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Luton won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 0.6:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Luton Town - Cardiff City were as follows:
    11.03.2025 Cardiff City - Luton Town 1:2
    06.11.2024 Luton Town - Cardiff City 1:0
    31.01.2023 Luton Town - Cardiff City 1:0
    30.08.2022 Cardiff City - Luton Town 1:2
    Latest results of Luton Town
    Latest results of Cardiff City
    English League One Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cardiff1382321:111026
    2Stevenage1282218:10826
    3Bradford City1375123:16726
    4Stockport County1374219:14525
    5AFC Wimbledon1481519:15425
    6Lincoln1373318:11724
    7Bolton1465319:15423
    8Mansfield1354419:15419
    9Huddersfield1361618:18019
    10Luton1361615:15019
    11Barnsley1253418:17118
    12Doncaster1453613:19-618
    13Wigan1445517:18-117
    14Leyton Orient1452721:23-217
    15Rotherham1352613:16-317
    16Northampton1452710:13-317
    17Wycombe1444618:16216
    18Exeter1451814:14016
    19Reading1436515:19-415
    20Burton1343611:16-515
    21Port Vale1334611:12-113
    22Plymouth1341817:23-613
    23Blackpool1433813:22-912
    24Peterborough1331910:22-1210

          Promotion ~ Championship
          Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ League Two