Cardiff City vs Luton Town: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer English League Championship Cardiff City - Luton Town
Result
1:2
11/03/2025 at 15:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ENGLAND: Championship - Round 37
  • Referee: Davies A. (Eng)
Cardiff City - Luton Town - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.780.99
Ball Possession
57%43%
Goal Attempts
139
Shots on Goal
44
Shots off Goal
72
Blocked Shots
23
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
43
Shots inside the Box
66
Shots outside the Box
73
Hit the Woodwork
10
Goalkeeper Saves
23
Free Kicks
910
Offsides
20
Fouls
109
Yellow Cards
11
Throw-ins
2731
Touches in the Opposition Box
1521
Passes
76% (325/428)66% (212/321)
Passes in the final third
56% (51/91)50% (57/114)
Crosses
5% (1/21)17% (2/12)
Tackles
64% (14/22)58% (11/19)
Clearances Total
4230
Interceptions
135

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 50', Ramsey A. , Mannsverk S. ,
  • 50', 1 - 0, Chambers C. ,
  • 57', 1 - 1, Clark J. ,
  • 58', Doughty A. , Alli M. ,
  • 58', Walsh L. , Nelson Z. ,
  • 59', Adebayo E. , Brown J. ,
  • 67', O'Dowda C. 🟨,
  • 69', Colwill R. , Willock C. ,
  • 69', Robertson A. , Davies I. ,
  • 70', Alves W. , Robinson C. ,
  • 78', Jones I. 🟨,
  • 80', 1 - 2, Aasgaard T. ,
  • 85', Aasgaard T. , Burke R. ,
  • 87', Goutas D. , Meite Y. ,

Chances of winning


Cardiff City
40.5%
Draw
29.6%
Luton Town
29.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36% 27.9% 36%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.6% 28.4% 35.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cardiff City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)
  • Luton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Luton Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cardiff City than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luton Town than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Luton Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Cardiff City - Luton Town Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.35
    (2.62)
    3.19
    (3.38)
    3.17
    (2.62)
    5.4%
    (6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Cardiff City - Luton Town?
  • Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Cardiff will win (votes: 20 - 74.1%). Luton will win (votes: 1 - 3.7%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 22.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Cardiff: 57.6%90.6%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 21 and 23 in the zone Relegation ~ League One).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Cardiff won 1.
    • One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.
    • Cardiff could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Cardiff will have a small advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Cardiff: Alnwick J. (Muscle Injury) Daland J. (Calf Injury) Meite Y. (Injury) Ralls J. (Calf Injury) Tanner O. (Foot Injury) Turnbull D. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Luton: Baptiste S. (Calf Injury) Burke R. (Hip Injury) Lockyer T. (Ankle Injury) Mengi T. (Groin Injury) Naismith K. (Red Card)
    • There are questionable in Cardiff: Rinomhota A. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There are questionable in Luton: Chong T. (Muscle Injury) Nakamba M. (Calf Injury)
    • Last 10 head-to-head matches Cardiff won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 12:10 (average 1.2:1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Cardiff won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7:7 (average 1.4:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cardiff City - Luton Town were as follows:
    06.11.2024 Luton Town - Cardiff City 1:0
    31.01.2023 Luton Town - Cardiff City 1:0
    30.08.2022 Cardiff City - Luton Town 1:2
    Latest results of Cardiff City
    Latest results of Luton Town
    08.03.2025 Burnley - Luton Town 4:0
    01.03.2025 Luton Town - Portsmouth 1:0
    23.02.2025 Watford - Luton Town 2:0
    English League Championship Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Birmingham00000:000
    2Blackburn00000:000
    3Derby00000:000
    4Middlesbrough00000:000
    5Portsmouth00000:000
    6Bristol City00000:000
    7Charlton00000:000
    8Coventry00000:000
    9Hull00000:000
    10Ipswich00000:000
    11Leicester00000:000
    12Norwich00000:000
    13Preston00000:000
    14QPR00000:000
    15Sheffield Utd00000:000
    16Sheffield Wed00000:000
    17Southampton00000:000
    18Stoke00000:000
    19Watford00000:000
    20West Brom00000:000
    21Millwall00000:000
    22Swansea00000:000
    23Wrexham00000:000
    24Oxford Utd00000:000

          Promotion ~ Premier League
          Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ League One

    Which TV channels are streaming of Cardiff City - Luton Town?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    hungaryHungaryNet4+
    united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+
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