Result
4:2
03/05/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Championship - Round 46
- Referee: Finnie W. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Hungary | Net4+ |
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.30 | 1.77 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 64% | 36% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 91% (507/555) | 85% (264/310) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.30 | 1.77 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.24 | 2.31 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 15 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 30 | 30 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 91% (507/555) | 85% (264/310) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 66% (25/38) | 49% (19/39) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 84% (143/171) | 72% (43/60) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (4/17) | 25% (4/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.09 | 0.92 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (9/15) | 38% (5/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 29 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.31 | 3.24 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.31 | -0.76 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 0)
- 10', Ralls J. 🟨,
- 13', 1 - 0, Nunez M. ⚽, Stacey J. (A),
- 16', Chambers C. 🟥,
- 17', 2 - 0, Nunez M. ⚽,
- 21', Turnbull D. ↓, Bagan J. ↑,
- 23', 3 - 0, Sainz B. ⚽, Nunez M. (A),
- 33', Alves W. ↓, Lawlor D. ↑,
- 36', Wright J. 🟨,
- 42', Stacey J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Ralls J. ↓, Colwill R. ↑,
- 56', 3 - 1, Salech Y. (Pen),
- 59', Stacey J. ↓, Hernandez O. ↑,
- 59', McConville R. ↓, Sorensen J. ↑,
- 64', Bagan J. 🟨,
- 67', 4 - 1, Duffy S. ⚽,
- 68', Forson A. ↓, Schwartau O. ↑,
- 69', Robertson A. ↓, Willock C. ↑,
- 69', Kpakio R. ↓, Nyakuhwa T. ↑,
- 73', Doyle C. 🟨,
- 84', 4 - 2, Salech Y. ⚽,
- 90+3', Duffy S. ↓, Cordoba J. ↑,
- 90+3', Gunn A. ↓, Reyes V. ↑,
Chances of winning
Norwich City
61.5% | Draw
21% | Cardiff City
17.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Norwich City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Norwich City's performance.Cardiff City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cardiff City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Norwich City than the current prediction. (-7.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Norwich City that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cardiff City than the current prediction. (+6.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cardiff City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Norwich City - Cardiff City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.56 ↓
(1.77) |
4.52 ↑
(4.12) |
5.44 ↑
(3.97) |
4.6%
(5.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Norwich City - Cardiff City?
Users Predictions:
Norwich City will win
(10 of 10 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 and 24 in the zone Relegation ~ League One).
- Cardiff is Relegated to League One
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Norwich won 3.
- Neither of the teams is performing well right now.
- In this match, Norwich is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Norwich: Chrisene B.
(Ankle Injury)
Dobbin L.
(Calf Injury)
Fisher K.
(Inactive)
Forsyth G.
(Knee Injury)
Mahovo L.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Cardiff: Ralls J.
(Calf Injury)
- There are questionable in Norwich: Crnac A.
(Injury)
Jurasek M.
(Thigh Injury)
- There are questionable in Cardiff: Alnwick J.
(Hamstring Injury)
Davies I.
(Hamstring Injury)
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Norwich won 10 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 30:21. (average 1.9:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Norwich won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 14:7. (average 2:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Norwich City won against Cardiff City?
Norwich City has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cardiff City won against Norwich City?
Cardiff City has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Norwich City - Cardiff City were as follows:
02.11.2024
Cardiff City
-
Norwich City
2:1
17.02.2024
Norwich City
-
Cardiff City
4:1
11.11.2023
Cardiff City
-
Norwich City
2:3
25.02.2023
Norwich City
-
Cardiff City
2:0
Latest results of Norwich City
Latest results of Cardiff City
English League Championship Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Stoke | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 5 | 6 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 6 |
| 3 | West Brom | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 6 |
| 4 | Bristol City | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5:2 | 3 | 5 |
| 5 | Coventry | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5:3 | 2 | 4 |
| 6 | Birmingham | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 7 | Hull | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 8 | Preston | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 9 | Southampton | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 10 | Charlton | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 4 |
| 11 | Leicester | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 3 |
| 12 | Norwich | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 3 |
| 13 | Portsmouth | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 14 | Watford | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 15 | Swansea | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
| 16 | Millwall | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 3 |
| 17 | Ipswich | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 2 |
| 18 | QPR | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 1 |
| 19 | Derby | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5:9 | -4 | 1 |
| 20 | Wrexham | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 0 |
| 21 | Oxford Utd | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:4 | -2 | 0 |
| 22 | Blackburn | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
| 23 | Sheffield Utd | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 0 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wed | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ League One
