Norwich City vs Cardiff City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:2
03/05/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Championship - Round 46
  • Referee: Finnie W. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
hungaryHungaryNet4+
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.301.77
Ball Possession
64%36%
Total shots
2219
Shots on target
86
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
79
Passes
91% (507/555)85% (264/310)
Yellow Cards
32
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
2.301.77
xG on target (xGOT)
3.242.31
Total shots
2219
Shots on target
86
Shots off target
105
Blocked Shots
48
Shots inside the Box
1215
Shots outside the Box
104
Hit the Woodwork
20
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
79
Touches in opposition box
3030
Accurate through passes
32
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
913
Passes
91% (507/555)85% (264/310)
Long passes
66% (25/38)49% (19/39)
Passes in final third
84% (143/171)72% (43/60)
Crosses
24% (4/17)25% (4/16)
Expected assists (xA)
2.090.92
Throw-ins
1010
Fouls
139
Tackles
60% (9/15)38% (5/13)
Duels won
2943
Clearances
1628
Interceptions
77
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
44
xGOT faced
2.313.24
Goals prevented
0.31-0.76

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 0)
  • 10', Ralls J. 🟨,
  • 13', 1 - 0, Nunez M. , Stacey J. (A),
  • 16', Chambers C. 🟥,
  • 17', 2 - 0, Nunez M. ,
  • 21', Turnbull D. , Bagan J. ,
  • 23', 3 - 0, Sainz B. , Nunez M. (A),
  • 33', Alves W. , Lawlor D. ,
  • 36', Wright J. 🟨,
  • 42', Stacey J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 46', Ralls J. , Colwill R. ,
  • 56', 3 - 1, Salech Y. (Pen),
  • 59', Stacey J. , Hernandez O. ,
  • 59', McConville R. , Sorensen J. ,
  • 64', Bagan J. 🟨,
  • 67', 4 - 1, Duffy S. ,
  • 68', Forson A. , Schwartau O. ,
  • 69', Robertson A. , Willock C. ,
  • 69', Kpakio R. , Nyakuhwa T. ,
  • 73', Doyle C. 🟨,
  • 84', 4 - 2, Salech Y. ,
  • 90+3', Duffy S. , Cordoba J. ,
  • 90+3', Gunn A. , Reyes V. ,

Chances of winning


Norwich City
61.5%
Draw
21%
Cardiff City
17.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.3% 22.9% 23.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.8% 22.7% 23.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Norwich City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Norwich City's performance.
  • Cardiff City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cardiff City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Norwich City than the current prediction. (-7.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Norwich City that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cardiff City than the current prediction. (+6.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cardiff City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Norwich City - Cardiff City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.56
    (1.77)
    4.52
    (4.12)
    5.44
    (3.97)
    4.6%
    (5.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Norwich City - Cardiff City?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH -1 - Norwich (1.88) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.75 - Cardiff (2.10) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Norwich City will win (10 of 10 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Norwich City will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Norwich (votes: 4 - 80%). Cardiff (votes: 1 - 20%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 and 24 in the zone Relegation ~ League One).
    • Cardiff is Relegated to League One
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Norwich won 3.
    • Neither of the teams is performing well right now.
    • In this match, Norwich is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Norwich: Chrisene B. (Ankle Injury) Dobbin L. (Calf Injury) Fisher K. (Inactive) Forsyth G. (Knee Injury) Mahovo L. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Cardiff: Ralls J. (Calf Injury)
    • There are questionable in Norwich: Crnac A. (Injury) Jurasek M. (Thigh Injury)
    • There are questionable in Cardiff: Alnwick J. (Hamstring Injury) Davies I. (Hamstring Injury)
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Norwich won 10 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 30:21. (average 1.9:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Norwich won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 14:7. (average 2:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Norwich City - Cardiff City were as follows:
    02.11.2024 Cardiff City - Norwich City 2:1
    17.02.2024 Norwich City - Cardiff City 4:1
    11.11.2023 Cardiff City - Norwich City 2:3
    25.02.2023 Norwich City - Cardiff City 2:0
    Latest results of Norwich City
    21.04.2025 Millwall - Norwich City 3:1
    18.04.2025 Norwich City - Portsmouth 3:5
    11.04.2025 Burnley - Norwich City 2:1
    08.04.2025 Norwich City - Sunderland 0:0
    Latest results of Cardiff City
    English League Championship Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coventry422510784:424285
    2Ipswich402112771:403175
    3Millwall4221101156:47973
    4Middlesbrough4220121062:422072
    5Southampton4119121070:502069
    6Hull422081464:60468
    7Wrexham4217131263:60364
    8Derby421891561:53863
    9Norwich421771855:50558
    10Bristol City4216101652:51158
    11QPR4216101658:63-558
    12Watford4214151352:51157
    13Preston4214151350:53-357
    14Swansea421691750:54-457
    15Birmingham4215111651:52-156
    16Stoke4215101749:46355
    17Sheffield Utd421662059:59054
    18Charlton4212131739:51-1249
    19Blackburn4212121838:50-1248
    20West Brom4211131842:56-1446
    21Portsmouth4111121841:57-1645
    22Oxford Utd4210141841:54-1344
    23Leicester4211141754:64-1041
    24Sheffield Wed ✔ 421113025:82-57-4

          Promotion ~ Premier League
          Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ League One

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Sheffield Wed is Relegated to League One