Norwich City vs Cardiff City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:2
03/05/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Championship - Round 46
  • Referee: Finnie W. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
hungaryHungaryNet4+
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.301.77
Ball Possession
64%36%
Total shots
2219
Shots on target
86
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
79
Passes
91% (507/555)85% (264/310)
Yellow Cards
32
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
2.301.77
xG on target (xGOT)
3.242.31
Total shots
2219
Shots on target
86
Shots off target
105
Blocked Shots
48
Shots inside the Box
1215
Shots outside the Box
104
Hit the Woodwork
20
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
79
Touches in opposition box
3030
Accurate through passes
32
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
913
Passes
91% (507/555)85% (264/310)
Long passes
66% (25/38)49% (19/39)
Passes in final third
84% (143/171)72% (43/60)
Crosses
24% (4/17)25% (4/16)
Expected assists (xA)
2.090.92
Throw-ins
1010
Fouls
139
Tackles
60% (9/15)38% (5/13)
Duels won
2943
Clearances
1628
Interceptions
77
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
44
xGOT faced
2.313.24
Goals prevented
0.31-0.76

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 0)
  • 10', Ralls J. 🟨,
  • 13', 1 - 0, Nunez M. , Stacey J. (A),
  • 16', Chambers C. 🟥,
  • 17', 2 - 0, Nunez M. ,
  • 21', Turnbull D. , Bagan J. ,
  • 23', 3 - 0, Sainz B. , Nunez M. (A),
  • 33', Alves W. , Lawlor D. ,
  • 36', Wright J. 🟨,
  • 42', Stacey J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 46', Ralls J. , Colwill R. ,
  • 56', 3 - 1, Salech Y. (Pen),
  • 59', Stacey J. , Hernandez O. ,
  • 59', McConville R. , Sorensen J. ,
  • 64', Bagan J. 🟨,
  • 67', 4 - 1, Duffy S. ,
  • 68', Forson A. , Schwartau O. ,
  • 69', Robertson A. , Willock C. ,
  • 69', Kpakio R. , Nyakuhwa T. ,
  • 73', Doyle C. 🟨,
  • 84', 4 - 2, Salech Y. ,
  • 90+3', Duffy S. , Cordoba J. ,
  • 90+3', Gunn A. , Reyes V. ,

Chances of winning


Norwich City
61.5%
Draw
21%
Cardiff City
17.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.3% 22.9% 23.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.8% 22.7% 23.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Norwich City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Norwich City's performance.
  • Cardiff City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cardiff City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Norwich City than the current prediction. (-7.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Norwich City that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cardiff City than the current prediction. (+6.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cardiff City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Norwich City - Cardiff City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.56
    (1.77)
    4.52
    (4.12)
    5.44
    (3.97)
    4.6%
    (5.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Norwich City - Cardiff City?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH -1 - Norwich (1.88) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.75 - Cardiff (2.10) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Norwich City will win (10 of 10 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Norwich City will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Norwich (votes: 4 - 80%). Cardiff (votes: 1 - 20%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 and 24 in the zone Relegation ~ League One).
    • Cardiff is Relegated to League One
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Norwich won 3.
    • Neither of the teams is performing well right now.
    • In this match, Norwich is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Norwich: Chrisene B. (Ankle Injury) Dobbin L. (Calf Injury) Fisher K. (Inactive) Forsyth G. (Knee Injury) Mahovo L. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Cardiff: Ralls J. (Calf Injury)
    • There are questionable in Norwich: Crnac A. (Injury) Jurasek M. (Thigh Injury)
    • There are questionable in Cardiff: Alnwick J. (Hamstring Injury) Davies I. (Hamstring Injury)
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Norwich won 10 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 30:21. (average 1.9:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Norwich won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 14:7. (average 2:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Norwich City - Cardiff City were as follows:
    02.11.2024 Cardiff City - Norwich City 2:1
    17.02.2024 Norwich City - Cardiff City 4:1
    11.11.2023 Cardiff City - Norwich City 2:3
    25.02.2023 Norwich City - Cardiff City 2:0
    Latest results of Norwich City
    21.04.2025 Millwall - Norwich City 3:1
    18.04.2025 Norwich City - Portsmouth 3:5
    11.04.2025 Burnley - Norwich City 2:1
    08.04.2025 Norwich City - Sunderland 0:0
    Latest results of Cardiff City
    English League Championship Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coventry462811797:455295
    2Ipswich462315880:473384
    3Millwall4624111164:491583
    4Southampton4622141082:562680
    5Middlesbrough4622141072:472580
    6Hull4621101570:66473
    7Wrexham4619141369:65471
    8Derby462091767:59869
    9Norwich461981963:56765
    10Birmingham4617131657:56164
    11Swansea4618101857:59-264
    12Bristol City4617111859:59062
    13Sheffield Utd461862266:66060
    14Preston4615151655:62-760
    15QPR4616102061:73-1258
    16Watford4614151753:65-1257
    17Stoke4615102151:56-555
    18Portsmouth4614131949:64-1555
    19Charlton4613141944:58-1453
    20Blackburn4613132042:56-1452
    21West Brom4613141948:58-1051
    22Oxford Utd4611142145:59-1447
    23Leicester4612161858:68-1046
    24Sheffield Wed462123229:89-600

          Promotion ~ Premier League
          Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ League One