Result
0:3
07/02/2026 at 10:01 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 31
- Referee: Stockbridge S. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.77 | 0.98 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (305/385) | 81% (290/356) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.77 | 0.98 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.31 | 0.95 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 26 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (305/385) | 81% (290/356) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 53% (32/60) | 54% (37/68) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (86/125) | 76% (79/104) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 11% (2/19) | 25% (3/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.50 | 0.97 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 19 | 26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (12/19) | 47% (7/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 39 | 37 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 13 | 31 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.95 | 0.31 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -2.05 | 0.31 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 11', Tanner O. 🟨,
- 21', Wintle R. 🟥,
- 41', Fish W. 🟨,
- 43', 0 - 1, Kellyman O. ⚽, Tanner O. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Rafferty J. ↓, Cover B. ↑,
- 46', Powell J. ↓, Martha A. ↑,
- 58', 0 - 2, Willock C. ⚽, Tanner O. (A),
- 65', Willock C. ↓, Ashford C. ↑,
- 65', Kellyman O. ↓, Turnbull D. ↑,
- 65', Adegboyega E. ↓, Biancheri G. ↑,
- 72', Martha A. 🟨,
- 74', Spence K. ↓, Yearwood D. ↑,
- 76', Robertson A. ↓, Kpakio R. ↑,
- 77', Tanner O. ↓, Davies I. ↑,
- 79', Nombe S. 🟨,
- 86', Turnbull D. 🟨,
- 90', Osho G. ↓, Chambers C. ↑,
- 90+2', Gray H. ↓, Watmore D. ↑,
- 90+3', Baptiste J. 🟨,
- 90+5', 0 - 3, Davies I. ⚽, Turnbull D. (A),
Chances of winning
Rotherham United
27% | Draw
27.5% | Cardiff City
45.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rotherham United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)Cardiff City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cardiff City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rotherham United than the current prediction. (-5.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rotherham United that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cardiff City than the current prediction. (+7.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cardiff City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Rotherham United - Cardiff City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.48 ↓
(4.15) |
3.39 ↓
(3.59) |
2.06 ↑
(1.77) |
6.8%
(8.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Rotherham United - Cardiff City?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Cardiff City will win
(9 of 9 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Cardiff City will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rotherham won 1.
- Rotherham has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Cardiff is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, Cardiff is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Rotherham: Benson J.
(Injury)
Hall D.
(Inactive)
Hatton B.
(Inactive)
Kayode J.
(Knee Injury)
Watmore D.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Cardiff: Colwill R.
(Ankle Injury)
King E.
(Knee Injury)
Salech Y.
(Inactive)
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Rotherham won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 16:27. (average 1.1:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Rotherham won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:13. (average 1.9:1.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Rotherham United won against Cardiff City?
Rotherham United has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cardiff City won against Rotherham United?
Cardiff City has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Rotherham United - Cardiff City were as follows:
16.08.2025
Cardiff City
-
Rotherham United
3:0
04.05.2024
Rotherham United
-
Cardiff City
5:2
30.09.2023
Cardiff City
-
Rotherham United
2:0
29.10.2022
Cardiff City
-
Rotherham United
1:0
Latest results of Rotherham United
Latest results of Cardiff City
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lincoln | 39 | 25 | 9 | 5 | 74:34 | 40 | 84 |
| 2 | Cardiff | 39 | 23 | 8 | 8 | 73:41 | 32 | 77 |
| 3 | Bolton | 39 | 17 | 15 | 7 | 55:39 | 16 | 66 |
| 4 | Bradford City | 39 | 19 | 8 | 12 | 49:44 | 5 | 65 |
| 5 | Stockport County | 37 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 51:48 | 3 | 60 |
| 6 | Stevenage | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 41:38 | 3 | 60 |
| 7 | Plymouth | 39 | 18 | 5 | 16 | 60:54 | 6 | 59 |
| 8 | Reading | 39 | 15 | 13 | 11 | 57:51 | 6 | 58 |
| 9 | Huddersfield | 39 | 16 | 9 | 14 | 59:51 | 8 | 57 |
| 10 | Wycombe | 39 | 15 | 11 | 13 | 55:43 | 12 | 56 |
| 11 | Luton | 39 | 15 | 10 | 14 | 52:49 | 3 | 55 |
| 12 | Peterborough | 38 | 15 | 5 | 18 | 57:52 | 5 | 50 |
| 13 | Barnsley | 37 | 13 | 11 | 13 | 59:60 | -1 | 50 |
| 14 | AFC Wimbledon | 38 | 14 | 8 | 16 | 49:55 | -6 | 50 |
| 15 | Mansfield | 37 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 47:41 | 6 | 49 |
| 16 | Leyton Orient | 38 | 14 | 6 | 18 | 55:62 | -7 | 48 |
| 17 | Doncaster | 38 | 13 | 8 | 17 | 41:59 | -18 | 47 |
| 18 | Burton | 39 | 12 | 10 | 17 | 44:54 | -10 | 46 |
| 19 | Wigan | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 41:51 | -10 | 45 |
| 20 | Exeter | 39 | 11 | 9 | 19 | 42:52 | -10 | 42 |
| 21 | Blackpool | 39 | 11 | 9 | 19 | 46:63 | -17 | 42 |
| 22 | Rotherham | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 35:58 | -23 | 36 |
| 23 | Northampton | 39 | 9 | 8 | 22 | 33:56 | -23 | 35 |
| 24 | Port Vale | 36 | 7 | 10 | 19 | 29:49 | -20 | 31 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
