Result
1:1
10/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 26
- Referee: Oldham S. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Usa | CBS Sports Network, Paramount+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.43 | 0.97 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 39% | 61% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 66% (178/271) | 78% (346/442) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.43 | 0.97 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.19 | 1.18 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 66% (178/271) | 78% (346/442) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 37% (31/83) | 49% (36/73) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 46% (46/101) | 66% (105/159) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (4/17) | 24% (4/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.85 | 0.99 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 25 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (10/16) | 65% (13/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 71 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 27 | 33 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.18 | 1.19 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.18 | 0.19 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 12', 1 - 0, Ballard D. ⚽,
- 33', 1 - 1, Salech Y. ⚽,
- 42', Kellyman O. ↓, Turnbull D. ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 55', Archibald T. 🟨,
- 55', Tanner O. 🟨,
- 60', Bagan J. ↓, Kpakio R. ↑,
- 61', Tanner O. ↓, Davies I. ↑,
- 61', Craig M. ↓, Abdulai A. ↑,
- 75', Lloyd A. ↓, Koroma J. ↑,
- 86', Robertson A. ↓, Robinson C. ↑,
Chances of winning
Leyton Orient
24.7% | Draw
24.4% | Cardiff City
50.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Leyton Orient has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)Cardiff City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cardiff City's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leyton Orient than the current prediction. (+2.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cardiff City than the current prediction. (-5.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cardiff City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Leyton Orient - Cardiff City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.75 ↑
(3.4) |
3.83 ↑
(3.45) |
1.84 ↓
(2.08) |
7.3%
(6.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Leyton Orient - Cardiff City?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- 1X2, 2nd Half - Cardiff (2.16) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- 1X2, 1st Half - Cardiff (2.36) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Cardiff City will win
(16 of 20 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.47% – 97.53%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Cardiff City will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Cardiff (votes: 9 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 20 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship).
- Recent form of Leyton Orient has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Cardiff is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Leyton Orient may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Cardiff is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Leyton Orient: Connolly A.
(Injury)
Edmonds-Green R.
(Inactive)
El Mizouni I.
(Injury)
Graham J.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Cardiff: Colwill R.
(Ankle Injury)
King E.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Leyton Orient: James T.
(Injury)
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Leyton Orient won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4.
How many head-to-head matches has Leyton Orient won against Cardiff City?
Leyton Orient has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cardiff City won against Leyton Orient?
Cardiff City has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Leyton Orient - Cardiff City were as follows:
04.10.2025
Cardiff City
-
Leyton Orient
4:3
Latest results of Leyton Orient
Latest results of Cardiff City
English League One Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lincoln ✔ | 46 | 31 | 10 | 5 | 89:41 | 48 | 103 |
| 2 | Cardiff ✔ | 46 | 27 | 10 | 9 | 90:50 | 40 | 91 |
| 3 | Stockport County | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 71:58 | 13 | 77 |
| 4 | Bradford City | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 58:51 | 7 | 77 |
| 5 | Bolton ✔ | 46 | 19 | 18 | 9 | 70:52 | 18 | 75 |
| 6 | Stevenage | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 49:46 | 3 | 75 |
| 7 | Luton | 46 | 21 | 11 | 14 | 68:56 | 12 | 74 |
| 8 | Plymouth | 46 | 22 | 7 | 17 | 75:63 | 12 | 73 |
| 9 | Huddersfield | 46 | 18 | 13 | 15 | 74:64 | 10 | 67 |
| 10 | Mansfield | 46 | 16 | 17 | 13 | 62:50 | 12 | 65 |
| 11 | Wycombe | 46 | 17 | 12 | 17 | 69:58 | 11 | 63 |
| 12 | Reading | 46 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 64:60 | 4 | 63 |
| 13 | Blackpool | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 54:65 | -11 | 60 |
| 14 | Doncaster | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 50:69 | -19 | 60 |
| 15 | Barnsley | 46 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 68:73 | -5 | 59 |
| 16 | Wigan | 46 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 49:58 | -9 | 56 |
| 17 | Burton | 46 | 13 | 15 | 18 | 50:60 | -10 | 54 |
| 18 | Peterborough | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 64:68 | -4 | 53 |
| 19 | AFC Wimbledon | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 51:72 | -21 | 53 |
| 20 | Leyton Orient | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 59:71 | -12 | 52 |
| 21 | Exeter | 46 | 12 | 13 | 21 | 52:61 | -9 | 49 |
| 22 | Port Vale ✔ | 46 | 10 | 12 | 24 | 36:61 | -25 | 42 |
| 23 | Rotherham ✔ | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 41:71 | -30 | 41 |
| 24 | Northampton ✔ | 46 | 9 | 8 | 29 | 39:74 | -35 | 35 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
Clinched Spots for Teams
Lincoln is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Championship
Cardiff is Qualified for Championship
Bolton is Qualified for League One (Play Offs )
Port Vale is Relegated to League Two
Rotherham is Relegated to League Two
Northampton is Relegated to League Two
