Result
1:2
15/03/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ENGLAND: League Two - Round 37
- Referee: Woods M. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.08 | 1.21 |
Ball Possession |
---|
60% | 40% |
Goal Attempts |
---|
11 | 10 |
Shots on Goal |
---|
3 | 7 |
Shots off Goal |
---|
3 | 3 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
5 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 2 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
7 | 8 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
4 | 2 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
1 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
5 | 2 |
Free Kicks |
---|
14 | 8 |
Offsides |
---|
2 | 3 |
Fouls |
---|
8 | 14 |
Yellow Cards |
---|
1 | 2 |
Throw-ins |
---|
21 | 23 |
Touches in the Opposition Box |
---|
17 | 22 |
Passes |
---|
78% (388/496) | 65% (224/342) |
Passes in the final third |
---|
63% (76/121) | 55% (78/141) |
Crosses |
---|
23% (6/26) | 36% (4/11) |
Tackles |
---|
80% (12/15) | 82% (18/22) |
Clearances Total |
---|
45 | 25 |
Interceptions |
---|
3 | 6 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 2', 0 - 1, Maycock C. ⚽, Smith A. (A),
- 15', Furlong J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 50', 0 - 2, Smith A. ⚽, Neufville J. (A),
- 54', Bevan J. ↓, Scott C. ↑,
- 66', Maycock C. ↓, Hippolyte M. ↑,
- 66', Furlong J. ↓, Ogundere I. ↑,
- 66', Guy C. ↓, Whelan C. ↑,
- 66', Vela J. ↓, Wearne S. ↑,
- 67', 1 - 2, Dennis M. ⚽,
- 79', Stevens M. ↓, Kelly J. ↑,
- 86', Jones J. ↓, Kelly G. ↑,
- 86', Dennis M. ↓, Embleton E. ↑,
- 87', Hutchinson S. 🟨,
- 90+1', Lavelle S. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Carlisle United 29.6% | Draw 31.4% | AFC Wimbledon 38.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Carlisle United have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.AFC Wimbledon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carlisle United than the current prediction. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for AFC Wimbledon than the current prediction. (+3%)
Carlisle United - AFC Wimbledon Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.2 ↑ (3.16) |
2.98 ↓ (3.23) |
2.43 ↑ (2.25) |
6% (7.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Carlisle United - AFC Wimbledon?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Wimbledon will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation ~ National League and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Carlisle won 1.
- Recent matches Carlisle is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Wimbledon is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Wimbledon could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
- There will not play in Carlisle: Barclay B.
(Inactive)
Dummett P.
(Inactive)
McGeouch D.
(Inactive)
Williams J.
(Injury)
Wyke Ch.
(Broken ankle)
- There will not play in Wimbledon: Ball J.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Carlisle: Harper C.
(Injury)
McArthur C.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Wimbledon: Hippolyte M.
(Inactive)
- Last 7 head-to-head matches Carlisle won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10:12 (average 1.4:1.7).
- Including matches at home between the teams Carlisle won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7:6 (average 2.3:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Carlisle United won against AFC Wimbledon?
Carlisle United has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has AFC Wimbledon won against Carlisle United?
AFC Wimbledon has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Carlisle United - AFC Wimbledon were as follows:
12.10.2024
AFC Wimbledon
-
Carlisle United
4:0
11.02.2023
AFC Wimbledon
-
Carlisle United
0:0
17.09.2022
Carlisle United
-
AFC Wimbledon
2:1
Latest results of Carlisle United
Latest results of AFC Wimbledon
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Colchester | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Bristol Rovers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Cheltenham | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Crewe | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
5 | Gillingham | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
6 | Oldham | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
7 | Swindon | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
8 | Tranmere | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
9 | Walsall | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
10 | Accrington | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
11 | Barnet | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
12 | Chesterfield | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
13 | Grimsby | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
14 | MK Dons | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
15 | Notts Co | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
16 | Shrewsbury | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
17 | Cambridge Utd | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
18 | Crawley | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
19 | Barrow | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
20 | Bromley | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
21 | Newport | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
22 | Harrogate | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
23 | Fleetwood | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
24 | Salford | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ League Two
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League