Carlisle United vs AFC Wimbledon – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League Two Carlisle United - AFC Wimbledon
Result
1:2
15/03/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ENGLAND: League Two - Round 37
  • Referee: Woods M. (Eng)

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.081.21
Ball Possession
60%40%
Goal Attempts
1110
Shots on Goal
37
Shots off Goal
33
Blocked Shots
50
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
52
Shots inside the Box
78
Shots outside the Box
42
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Goalkeeper Saves
52
Free Kicks
148
Offsides
23
Fouls
814
Yellow Cards
12
Throw-ins
2123
Touches in the Opposition Box
1722
Passes
78% (388/496)65% (224/342)
Passes in the final third
63% (76/121)55% (78/141)
Crosses
23% (6/26)36% (4/11)
Tackles
80% (12/15)82% (18/22)
Clearances Total
4525
Interceptions
36

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 2', 0 - 1, Maycock C. , Smith A. (A),
  • 15', Furlong J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 50', 0 - 2, Smith A. , Neufville J. (A),
  • 54', Bevan J. , Scott C. ,
  • 66', Maycock C. , Hippolyte M. ,
  • 66', Furlong J. , Ogundere I. ,
  • 66', Guy C. , Whelan C. ,
  • 66', Vela J. , Wearne S. ,
  • 67', 1 - 2, Dennis M. ,
  • 79', Stevens M. , Kelly J. ,
  • 86', Jones J. , Kelly G. ,
  • 86', Dennis M. , Embleton E. ,
  • 87', Hutchinson S. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Lavelle S. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Carlisle United
29.6%
Draw
31.4%
AFC Wimbledon
38.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
29.6% 28.9% 41.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.3% 29.2% 41.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • The chances for Carlisle United have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • AFC Wimbledon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carlisle United than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for AFC Wimbledon than the current prediction. (+3%)
  • Carlisle United - AFC Wimbledon Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.2
    (3.16)
    2.98
    (3.23)
    2.43
    (2.25)
    6%
    (7.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Carlisle United - AFC Wimbledon?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Wimbledon will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation ~ National League and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Carlisle won 1.
    • Recent matches Carlisle is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Wimbledon is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Wimbledon could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
    • There will not play in Carlisle: Barclay B. (Inactive) Dummett P. (Inactive) McGeouch D. (Inactive) Williams J. (Injury) Wyke Ch. (Broken ankle)
    • There will not play in Wimbledon: Ball J. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Carlisle: Harper C. (Injury) McArthur C. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Wimbledon: Hippolyte M. (Inactive)
    • Last 7 head-to-head matches Carlisle won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10:12 (average 1.4:1.7).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Carlisle won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7:6 (average 2.3:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Carlisle United - AFC Wimbledon were as follows:
    12.10.2024 AFC Wimbledon - Carlisle United 4:0
    11.02.2023 AFC Wimbledon - Carlisle United 0:0
    17.09.2022 Carlisle United - AFC Wimbledon 2:1
    Latest results of Carlisle United
    Latest results of AFC Wimbledon
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Walsall1382319:12726
    2Swindon1381424:19525
    3MK Dons1373326:131324
    4Grimsby1373325:151024
    5Gillingham1364318:12622
    6Chesterfield1364323:20322
    7Salford1371518:17122
    8Notts Co1363423:15821
    9Cambridge Utd1363416:13321
    10Barnet1362516:13320
    11Crewe1361617:16119
    12Fleetwood1354419:19019
    13Bromley1346319:17218
    14Colchester1345421:18317
    15Barrow1352611:13-217
    16Bristol Rovers1352614:21-717
    17Oldham1336410:10015
    18Tranmere1235420:18214
    19Harrogate1342715:20-514
    20Accrington1233611:14-312
    21Shrewsbury1333710:20-1012
    22Cheltenham133289:25-1611
    23Crawley1323810:22-129
    24Newport1322911:23-128

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League