Burton Albion vs Carlisle United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
27/02/2024 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ENGLAND: LEAGUE ONE - ROUND 33
  • Referee: Hicks C. (Eng)

Highlights

Chances of winning


Burton Albion
45.8%
Draw
29%
Carlisle United
25.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.4% 28.7% 27%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.9% 24.5% 31.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Burton Albion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
  • Carlisle United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burton Albion than the current prediction. (-7.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Burton Albion that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carlisle United than the current prediction. (+6.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Carlisle United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Burton Albion - Carlisle United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.05
    (2.12)
    3.22
    (3.28)
    3.75
    (3.48)
    6.4%
    (6.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Burton Albion - Carlisle United?
  • Users Predictions: Burton Albion will win (102 of 112 users predict this - 91.07%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 85.79%96.35%. The data is statistically significant.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 17 and 24 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two).
    • Recent matches Burton is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Carlisle has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Burton will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches Burton won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-6.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Burton won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Burton Albion - Carlisle United were as follows:
    24.10.2023 Carlisle United - Burton Albion 2:1
    Latest results of Burton Albion
    Latest results of Carlisle United
    English League One Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cardiff34226668:363272
    2Lincoln34218563:313271
    3Bolton351613650:341661
    4Bradford City341771043:38558
    5Stockport County341681047:43456
    6Wycombe3514111050:361453
    7Huddersfield351571355:46952
    8Reading341312950:44651
    9Stevenage331491037:35251
    10Luton341381343:41247
    11Peterborough351441750:49146
    12Plymouth341441649:50-146
    13Barnsley321281253:54-144
    14AFC Wimbledon331271441:48-743
    15Exeter341191439:40-142
    16Mansfield3310111239:37241
    17Burton3510101539:50-1140
    18Doncaster331161636:55-1939
    19Wigan339101435:46-1137
    20Blackpool341071740:54-1437
    21Leyton Orient331061744:56-1236
    22Rotherham34981733:47-1435
    23Northampton35981831:47-1635
    24Port Vale32691726:44-1827

          Promotion ~ Championship
          Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ League Two