Burton Albion vs Carlisle United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League One Burton Albion - Carlisle United
Result
0:1
27/02/2024 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ENGLAND: LEAGUE ONE - ROUND 33
  • Referee: Hicks C. (Eng)

Highlights

Chances of winning


Burton Albion
45.8%
Draw
29%
Carlisle United
25.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.4% 28.7% 27%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.9% 24.5% 31.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Burton Albion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
  • Carlisle United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burton Albion than the current prediction. (-7.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Burton Albion that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carlisle United than the current prediction. (+6.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Carlisle United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Burton Albion - Carlisle United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.05
    (2.12)
    3.22
    (3.28)
    3.75
    (3.48)
    6.4%
    (6.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Burton Albion - Carlisle United?
  • Users Predictions: Burton Albion will win (102 of 112 users predict this - 91.07%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 85.79%96.35%. The data is statistically significant.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 17 and 24 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two).
    • Recent matches Burton is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Carlisle has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Burton will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches Burton won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-6.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Burton won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Burton Albion - Carlisle United were as follows:
    24.10.2023 Carlisle United - Burton Albion 2:1
    Latest results of Burton Albion
    Latest results of Carlisle United
    English League One Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cardiff1282221:101126
    2Stevenage1181217:9825
    3Bradford City1274122:15725
    4Stockport County1374219:14525
    5AFC Wimbledon1381419:14525
    6Lincoln1273218:10824
    7Bolton1355318:15320
    8Huddersfield1261518:15319
    9Mansfield1253418:14418
    10Barnsley1153318:16218
    11Northampton1352610:12-217
    12Doncaster1352612:18-617
    13Exeter1451814:14016
    14Wigan1344516:17-116
    15Luton1251614:15-116
    16Leyton Orient1342720:23-314
    17Reading1335514:18-414
    18Rotherham1242612:16-414
    19Wycombe1334615:16-113
    20Port Vale1334611:12-113
    21Plymouth1341817:23-613
    22Burton1233610:16-612
    23Peterborough123189:20-1110
    24Blackpool1323811:21-109

          Promotion ~ Championship
          Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ League Two