Burton Albion vs Carlisle United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League One Burton Albion - Carlisle United
Result
0:1
27/02/2024 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ENGLAND: LEAGUE ONE - ROUND 33
  • Referee: Hicks C. (Eng)

Highlights

Chances of winning


Burton Albion
45.8%
Draw
29%
Carlisle United
25.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.4% 28.7% 27%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.9% 24.5% 31.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Burton Albion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
  • Carlisle United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burton Albion than the current prediction. (-7.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Burton Albion that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carlisle United than the current prediction. (+6.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Carlisle United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Burton Albion - Carlisle United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.05
    (2.12)
    3.22
    (3.28)
    3.75
    (3.48)
    6.4%
    (6.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Burton Albion - Carlisle United?
  • Users Predictions: Burton Albion will win (102 of 112 users predict this - 91.07%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 85.79%96.35%. The data is statistically significant.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 17 and 24 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two).
    • Recent matches Burton is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Carlisle has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Burton will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches Burton won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-6.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Burton won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Burton Albion - Carlisle United were as follows:
    24.10.2023 Carlisle United - Burton Albion 2:1
    Latest results of Burton Albion
    Latest results of Carlisle United
    English League One Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cardiff651011:11016
    2Doncaster75119:5416
    3Huddersfield750214:8615
    4Stevenage65019:4515
    5Bradford City742111:9214
    6Barnsley641111:7413
    7Luton64028:3512
    8Lincoln733110:8212
    9Stockport County732212:11111
    10Bolton72419:6310
    11Mansfield731311:9210
    12Leyton Orient73139:12-310
    13Exeter73049:729
    14Wigan723210:919
    15AFC Wimbledon73048:9-19
    16Northampton62134:6-27
    17Rotherham62135:8-37
    18Plymouth72058:15-76
    19Wycombe71247:9-25
    20Reading61235:9-45
    21Burton51135:9-44
    22Blackpool61147:13-64
    23Port Vale70254:9-52
    24Peterborough70164:14-101

          Promotion ~ Championship
          Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ League Two