Result
2:1
01/04/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 40
- Referee: Humphries A. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
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Expected Goals (xG) |
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3.78 | 0.44 |
Ball Possession |
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81% | 19% |
Total shots |
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38 | 4 |
Shots on target |
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15 | 3 |
Big Chances |
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2 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
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16 | 5 |
Passes |
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89% (605/678) | 49% (77/156) |
Yellow Cards |
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0 | 2 |
Red Cards |
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0 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
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3.78 | 0.44 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
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3.04 | 0.97 |
Total shots |
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38 | 4 |
Shots on target |
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15 | 3 |
Shots off target |
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14 | 1 |
Blocked Shots |
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9 | 0 |
Shots inside the Box |
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27 | 1 |
Shots outside the Box |
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11 | 3 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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2 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
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1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
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2 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
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16 | 5 |
Touches in opposition box |
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58 | 4 |
Offsides |
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4 | 2 |
Free Kicks |
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5 | 3 |
Passes |
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89% (605/678) | 49% (77/156) |
Long passes |
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61% (52/85) | 28% (19/69) |
Passes in final third |
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85% (207/244) | 30% (15/50) |
Crosses |
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35% (9/26) | 14% (1/7) |
Expected assists (xA) |
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2.83 | 0.07 |
Fouls |
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3 | 5 |
Tackles |
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75% (15/20) | 64% (16/25) |
Duels won |
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55 | 42 |
Clearances Total |
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13 | 36 |
Interceptions |
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5 | 11 |
Errors leading to shot |
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0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
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1 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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2 | 13 |
xGOT faced |
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0.97 | 3.04 |
Goals prevented |
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-0.03 | 1.04 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 29', Fusire S. ↓, Embleton E. ↑,
- 40', Embleton E. 🟥,
- 45+4', Lavelle S. ↓, Ellis J. ↑,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Kelly G. ↓, Bevan J. ↑,
- 70', Hugill J. 🟨,
- 73', 1 - 0, Mandeville L. ⚽,
- 75', Grigg W. ↓, Madden P. ↑,
- 75', Fleck J. ↓, Oldaker D. ↑,
- 75', Whelan C. ↓, Guy C. ↑,
- 76', Vela J. ↓, Barclay B. ↑,
- 81', 2 - 0, Madden P. ⚽,
- 84', Dobra A. ↓, Colclough R. ↑,
- 84', Banks O. ↓, Jacobs M. ↑,
- 84', Olakigbe M. ↓, Duffy D. ↑,
- 89', 2 - 1, Hugill J. ⚽,
- 90+3', Thomas T. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Chesterfield 54% | Draw 26.2% | Carlisle United 19.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chesterfield has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)Carlisle United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chesterfield than the current prediction. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carlisle United than the current prediction. (+3%)
Chesterfield - Carlisle United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.75 ↓ (1.78) |
3.6 ↓ (3.85) |
4.71 ↑ (4) |
6.2% (7.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Chesterfield - Carlisle United?
Users Predictions:
Chesterfield will win
(10 of 10 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 11 and 24 in the zone Relegation ~ National League).
- Chesterfield in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Carlisle is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Chesterfield could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Chesterfield is a favorite.
- Our prediction for today's Chesterfield to win the game is with odds 1.75.
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Chesterfield won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5:7 (average 1:1.4).
- Including matches at home between the teams Chesterfield won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:2
How many head-to-head matches has Chesterfield won against Carlisle United?
Chesterfield has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Carlisle United won against Chesterfield?
Carlisle United has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Chesterfield - Carlisle United were as follows:
14.12.2024
Carlisle United
-
Chesterfield
0:2
Latest results of Chesterfield
Latest results of Carlisle United
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Colchester | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Bristol Rovers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Cheltenham | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Crewe | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
5 | Gillingham | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
6 | Oldham | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
7 | Swindon | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
8 | Tranmere | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
9 | Walsall | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
10 | Accrington | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
11 | Barnet | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
12 | Chesterfield | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
13 | Grimsby | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
14 | MK Dons | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
15 | Notts Co | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
16 | Shrewsbury | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
17 | Cambridge Utd | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
18 | Crawley | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
19 | Barrow | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
20 | Bromley | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
21 | Newport | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
22 | Harrogate | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
23 | Fleetwood | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
24 | Salford | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ League Two
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League