Chesterfield vs Carlisle United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League Two Chesterfield - Carlisle United
Result
2:1
01/04/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League Two - Round 40
  • Referee: Humphries A. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
3.780.44
Ball Possession
81%19%
Total shots
384
Shots on target
153
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
165
Passes
89% (605/678)49% (77/156)
Yellow Cards
02
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
3.780.44
xG on target (xGOT)
3.040.97
Total shots
384
Shots on target
153
Shots off target
141
Blocked Shots
90
Shots inside the Box
271
Shots outside the Box
113
Hit the Woodwork
20
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
165
Touches in opposition box
584
Offsides
42
Free Kicks
53
Passes
89% (605/678)49% (77/156)
Long passes
61% (52/85)28% (19/69)
Passes in final third
85% (207/244)30% (15/50)
Crosses
35% (9/26)14% (1/7)
Expected assists (xA)
2.830.07
Fouls
35
Tackles
75% (15/20)64% (16/25)
Duels won
5542
Clearances Total
1336
Interceptions
511
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
213
xGOT faced
0.973.04
Goals prevented
-0.031.04

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 29', Fusire S. , Embleton E. ,
  • 40', Embleton E. 🟥,
  • 45+4', Lavelle S. , Ellis J. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Kelly G. , Bevan J. ,
  • 70', Hugill J. 🟨,
  • 73', 1 - 0, Mandeville L. ,
  • 75', Grigg W. , Madden P. ,
  • 75', Fleck J. , Oldaker D. ,
  • 75', Whelan C. , Guy C. ,
  • 76', Vela J. , Barclay B. ,
  • 81', 2 - 0, Madden P. ,
  • 84', Dobra A. , Colclough R. ,
  • 84', Banks O. , Jacobs M. ,
  • 84', Olakigbe M. , Duffy D. ,
  • 89', 2 - 1, Hugill J. ,
  • 90+3', Thomas T. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Chesterfield
54%
Draw
26.2%
Carlisle United
19.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.4% 24.2% 23.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.5% 23.7% 22.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Chesterfield has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
  • Carlisle United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chesterfield than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carlisle United than the current prediction. (+3%)
  • Chesterfield - Carlisle United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.75
    (1.78)
    3.6
    (3.85)
    4.71
    (4)
    6.2%
    (7.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Chesterfield - Carlisle United?
  • Users Predictions: Chesterfield will win (10 of 10 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 11 and 24 in the zone Relegation ~ National League).
    • Chesterfield in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Carlisle is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Chesterfield could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Chesterfield is a favorite.
    • Our prediction for today's Chesterfield to win the game is with odds 1.75.
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Chesterfield won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5:7 (average 1:1.4).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Chesterfield won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:2
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Chesterfield - Carlisle United were as follows:
    14.12.2024 Carlisle United - Chesterfield 0:2
    Latest results of Chesterfield
    Latest results of Carlisle United
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Walsall1071215:8722
    2Swindon1070321:13821
    3Gillingham1063115:7821
    4Salford1061317:13419
    5Grimsby1053221:13818
    6Chesterfield1053218:13518
    7Bristol Rovers1052312:11117
    8Crewe1051414:11316
    9MK Dons1043316:10615
    10Cambridge Utd1043311:9215
    11Fleetwood1043315:14115
    12Notts Co1042417:12514
    13Oldham103529:6314
    14Bromley1035214:12214
    15Barnet1042412:12014
    16Harrogate1042411:12-114
    17Barrow104069:12-312
    18Tranmere924313:12110
    19Accrington92347:11-49
    20Colchester1015410:14-48
    21Crawley102268:17-98
    22Newport1012710:20-105
    23Shrewsbury101277:20-135
    24Cheltenham101184:24-204

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League