Carlisle United vs Milton Keynes Dons – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
25/03/2025 at 15:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ENGLAND: League Two - Round 26
  • Referee: Bannister A. (Eng)

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.191.67
Ball Possession
42%58%
Total shots
118
Shots on target
34
Shots off target
32
Blocked Shots
52
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
72
Shots inside the Box
88
Shots outside the Box
30
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Goalkeeper Saves
21
Free Kicks
912
Offsides
03
Fouls
129
Yellow Cards
11
Throw-ins
1721
Touches in opposition box
2326
Passes
75% (300/402)85% (507/593)
Passes in the final third
62% (81/130)71% (90/126)
Crosses
28% (8/29)13% (2/15)
Tackles
73% (11/15)83% (10/12)
Clearances Total
2530
Interceptions
65

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 2)
  • 3', Vela J. 🟨,
  • 6', 0 - 1, Tomlinson J. , Nemane A. (A),
  • 8', Nemane A. 🟨,
  • 26', 1 - 1, Dennis M. , Davies A. (A),
  • 37', 1 - 2, Gilbey A. ,
  • 45+4', 2 - 2, Harris K. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 55', White J. , Kelly L. ,
  • 74', Nemane A. , Leko J. ,
  • 77', Vela J. , Kelly G. ,
  • 87', Wearne S. , Guy C. ,
  • 87', Whelan C. , Fusire S. ,
  • 87', Jones J. , Bevan J. ,
  • 88', Crowley D. , O'Reilly T. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Carlisle United
39.1%
Draw
27.5%
Milton Keynes Dons
33.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.2% 27% 42.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.1% 25.4% 40.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Carlisle United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Carlisle United's performance.
  • Milton Keynes Dons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Milton Keynes Dons might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carlisle United than the current prediction. (-7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Carlisle United that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Milton Keynes Dons than the current prediction. (+6.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Milton Keynes Dons could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Carlisle United - Milton Keynes Dons Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.41
    (3.1)
    3.42
    (3.47)
    2.8
    (2.19)
    6.4%
    (6.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Carlisle United - Milton Keynes Dons?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Carlisle will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). MK Dons will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 11.9%76.9%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Postponed due to unsuitable ground.
    • An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation ~ National League and 11).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Carlisle won 2.
    • The competitors look crappy now.
    • The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
    • Last 8 head-to-head matches Carlisle won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 7:11 (average 0.9:1.4).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Carlisle won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:4 (average 2:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Carlisle United - Milton Keynes Dons were as follows:
    24.08.2024 Milton Keynes Dons - Carlisle United 3:0
    Latest results of Carlisle United
    Latest results of Milton Keynes Dons
    English League Two Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bromley ✔ 462415771:462587
    2MK Dons ✔ 462414886:454186
    3Cambridge Utd462216866:333382
    4Salford462561561:511081
    5Notts Co462481474:522280
    6Chesterfield462116971:561579
    7Grimsby4622121274:502478
    8Barnet4621131270:531776
    9Swindon462291570:591175
    10Oldham4618141460:441668
    11Crewe4619101764:58667
    12Colchester4618121662:491366
    13Walsall4618111756:56065
    14Bristol Rovers461952256:65-962
    15Fleetwood4615161557:58-161
    16Accrington4614112147:58-1153
    17Gillingham4613141953:72-1953
    18Cheltenham4614102253:79-2652
    19Shrewsbury4613102342:69-2749
    20Newport461272748:77-2943
    21Tranmere4610112554:79-2541
    22Crawley468162244:68-2440
    23Harrogate461092739:68-2939
    24Barrow46992845:78-3336

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Bromley is Qualified for League One
    MK Dons is Qualified for League One