Doncaster Rovers vs Carlisle United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:0
29/03/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League Two - Round 39
  • Referee: Oldham S. (Eng)

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.320.55
Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
128
Shots on target
74
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
54
Passes
73% (247/338)75% (267/355)
Yellow Cards
20
Expected Goals (xG)
1.320.55
xG on target (xGOT)
2.160.37
Total shots
128
Shots on target
74
Shots off target
03
Blocked Shots
51
Shots inside the Box
84
Shots outside the Box
44
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
54
Touches in opposition box
2411
Offsides
41
Free Kicks
1111
Passes
73% (247/338)75% (267/355)
Long passes
48% (32/67)33% (23/70)
Passes in final third
63% (102/163)65% (55/85)
Crosses
11% (2/18)12% (2/17)
Expected assists (xA)
0.820.28
Fouls
1111
Tackles
67% (12/18)75% (15/20)
Duels won
5757
Clearances Total
2435
Interceptions
411
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
44
xGOT faced
0.372.16
Goals prevented
0.37-0.84

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 18', Broadbent G. 🟨,
  • 36', 1 - 0, Bailey O. , Gibson J. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 63', Wearne S. , Kelly G. ,
  • 63', Dennis M. , Fusire S. ,
  • 68', 2 - 0, Gibson J. , Molyneux L. (A),
  • 69', Sterry J. 🟨,
  • 72', Street R. , Sharp B. ,
  • 72', Sbarra J. , Clifton H. ,
  • 74', 3 - 0, Clifton H. , Bailey O. (A),
  • 74', Vela J. , Embleton E. ,
  • 77', Molyneux L. , Ennis E. ,
  • 78', Wood R. , Kelly P. ,
  • 80', Bevan J. , Hugill J. ,
  • 82', Sterry J. , Nixon T. ,
  • 88', Harper C. , McArthur C. ,
  • 88', Broadbent G. , Westbrooke Z. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Doncaster Rovers
61.3%
Draw
22.9%
Carlisle United
15.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.8% 24.6% 17.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.5% 23.5% 16.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Doncaster Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
  • Carlisle United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Doncaster Rovers than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carlisle United than the current prediction. (+1%)
  • Doncaster Rovers - Carlisle United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.53
    (1.62)
    4.1
    (3.79)
    5.94
    (5.3)
    6.5%
    (7.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Doncaster Rovers - Carlisle United?
  • Users Predictions: Doncaster Rovers will win (16 of 19 users predict this - 84.21%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 67.81%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 23 in the zone Relegation ~ National League).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Doncaster won 2.
    • Two teams are playing changeable.
    • Doncaster could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Recently Carlisle have a series of home games.
    • In this match Doncaster is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Carlisle: Barclay B. (Inactive) Dummett P. (Hamstring Injury) McGeouch D. (Inactive) Williams J. (Injury) Wyke Ch. (Broken ankle)
    • There are questionable in Doncaster: Maxwell J. (Inactive) McGrath J. (Inactive) Olowu J. (Inactive) Sterry J. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Carlisle: Hugill J. (Inactive)
    • Last 8 head-to-head matches Doncaster won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10:12 (average 1.3:1.5).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Doncaster won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:5 (average 1.3:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Doncaster Rovers - Carlisle United were as follows:
    23.11.2024 Carlisle United - Doncaster Rovers 0:0
    01.01.2023 Doncaster Rovers - Carlisle United 2:1
    15.10.2022 Carlisle United - Doncaster Rovers 3:0
    Latest results of Doncaster Rovers
    Latest results of Carlisle United
    English League Two Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bromley ✔ 462415771:462587
    2MK Dons ✔ 462414886:454186
    3Cambridge Utd462216866:333382
    4Salford462561561:511081
    5Notts Co462481474:522280
    6Chesterfield462116971:561579
    7Grimsby4622121274:502478
    8Barnet4621131270:531776
    9Swindon462291570:591175
    10Oldham4618141460:441668
    11Crewe4619101764:58667
    12Colchester4618121662:491366
    13Walsall4618111756:56065
    14Bristol Rovers461952256:65-962
    15Fleetwood4615161557:58-161
    16Accrington4614112147:58-1153
    17Gillingham4613141953:72-1953
    18Cheltenham4614102253:79-2652
    19Shrewsbury4613102342:69-2749
    20Newport461272748:77-2943
    21Tranmere4610112554:79-2541
    22Crawley468162244:68-2440
    23Harrogate461092739:68-2939
    24Barrow46992845:78-3336

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Bromley is Qualified for League One
    MK Dons is Qualified for League One