Result
2:1
01/04/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 40
- Referee: Humphries A. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.78 | 0.44 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 81% | 19% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 38 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 15 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (605/678) | 49% (77/156) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.78 | 0.44 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.04 | 0.97 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 38 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 15 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 14 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 9 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 27 | 1 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 58 | 4 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (605/678) | 49% (77/156) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 61% (52/85) | 28% (19/69) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 85% (207/244) | 30% (15/50) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 35% (9/26) | 14% (1/7) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.83 | 0.07 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (15/20) | 64% (16/25) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 55 | 42 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 13 | 36 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 13 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.97 | 3.04 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.03 | 1.04 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 29', Fusire S. ↓, Embleton E. ↑,
- 40', Embleton E. 🟥,
- 45+4', Lavelle S. ↓, Ellis J. ↑,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Kelly G. ↓, Bevan J. ↑,
- 70', Hugill J. 🟨,
- 73', 1 - 0, Mandeville L. ⚽,
- 75', Grigg W. ↓, Madden P. ↑,
- 75', Fleck J. ↓, Oldaker D. ↑,
- 75', Whelan C. ↓, Guy C. ↑,
- 76', Vela J. ↓, Barclay B. ↑,
- 81', 2 - 0, Madden P. ⚽,
- 84', Dobra A. ↓, Colclough R. ↑,
- 84', Banks O. ↓, Jacobs M. ↑,
- 84', Olakigbe M. ↓, Duffy D. ↑,
- 89', 2 - 1, Hugill J. ⚽,
- 90+3', Thomas T. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Chesterfield
54% | Draw
26.2% | Carlisle United
19.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chesterfield has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)Carlisle United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chesterfield than the current prediction. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carlisle United than the current prediction. (+3%)
Chesterfield - Carlisle United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.75 ↓
(1.78) |
3.6 ↓
(3.85) |
4.71 ↑
(4) |
6.2%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Chesterfield - Carlisle United?
Users Predictions:
Chesterfield will win
(10 of 10 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 11 and 24 in the zone Relegation ~ National League).
- Chesterfield in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Carlisle is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Chesterfield could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Chesterfield is a favorite.
- Our prediction for today's Chesterfield to win the game is with odds 1.75.
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Chesterfield won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5:7 (average 1:1.4).
- Including matches at home between the teams Chesterfield won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:2
How many head-to-head matches has Chesterfield won against Carlisle United?
Chesterfield has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Carlisle United won against Chesterfield?
Carlisle United has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Chesterfield - Carlisle United were as follows:
14.12.2024
Carlisle United
-
Chesterfield
0:2
Latest results of Chesterfield
Latest results of Carlisle United
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bromley | 43 | 23 | 14 | 6 | 68:43 | 25 | 83 |
| 2 | MK Dons | 43 | 22 | 13 | 8 | 79:43 | 36 | 79 |
| 3 | Cambridge Utd | 42 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 62:31 | 31 | 77 |
| 4 | Notts Co | 43 | 23 | 7 | 13 | 71:49 | 22 | 76 |
| 5 | Swindon | 43 | 22 | 8 | 13 | 67:51 | 16 | 74 |
| 6 | Salford | 43 | 23 | 5 | 15 | 57:50 | 7 | 74 |
| 7 | Chesterfield | 42 | 18 | 15 | 9 | 64:53 | 11 | 69 |
| 8 | Grimsby | 41 | 19 | 11 | 11 | 62:45 | 17 | 68 |
| 9 | Barnet | 43 | 18 | 13 | 12 | 60:49 | 11 | 67 |
| 10 | Crewe | 43 | 19 | 9 | 15 | 63:53 | 10 | 66 |
| 11 | Oldham | 42 | 17 | 14 | 11 | 52:36 | 16 | 65 |
| 12 | Walsall | 43 | 17 | 11 | 15 | 52:50 | 2 | 62 |
| 13 | Colchester | 42 | 16 | 12 | 14 | 56:45 | 11 | 60 |
| 14 | Fleetwood | 43 | 15 | 13 | 15 | 53:54 | -1 | 58 |
| 15 | Bristol Rovers | 43 | 17 | 4 | 22 | 49:63 | -14 | 55 |
| 16 | Accrington | 42 | 14 | 9 | 19 | 41:48 | -7 | 51 |
| 17 | Gillingham | 42 | 12 | 14 | 16 | 48:60 | -12 | 50 |
| 18 | Shrewsbury | 43 | 13 | 8 | 22 | 40:66 | -26 | 47 |
| 19 | Cheltenham | 41 | 12 | 10 | 19 | 48:67 | -19 | 46 |
| 20 | Tranmere | 42 | 9 | 10 | 23 | 49:72 | -23 | 37 |
| 21 | Crawley | 43 | 8 | 13 | 22 | 41:65 | -24 | 37 |
| 22 | Newport | 43 | 10 | 7 | 26 | 43:73 | -30 | 37 |
| 23 | Barrow | 42 | 8 | 9 | 25 | 40:68 | -28 | 33 |
| 24 | Harrogate | 43 | 8 | 9 | 26 | 35:66 | -31 | 33 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
