Result
3:0
29/03/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 39
- Referee: Oldham S. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.32 | 0.55 |
Ball Possession |
---|
49% | 51% |
Total shots |
---|
12 | 8 |
Shots on target |
---|
7 | 4 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 4 |
Passes |
---|
73% (247/338) | 75% (267/355) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 0 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.32 | 0.55 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
2.16 | 0.37 |
Total shots |
---|
12 | 8 |
Shots on target |
---|
7 | 4 |
Shots off target |
---|
0 | 3 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
5 | 1 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
8 | 4 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
4 | 4 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 4 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
24 | 11 |
Offsides |
---|
4 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
11 | 11 |
Passes |
---|
73% (247/338) | 75% (267/355) |
Long passes |
---|
48% (32/67) | 33% (23/70) |
Passes in final third |
---|
63% (102/163) | 65% (55/85) |
Crosses |
---|
11% (2/18) | 12% (2/17) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.82 | 0.28 |
Fouls |
---|
11 | 11 |
Tackles |
---|
67% (12/18) | 75% (15/20) |
Duels won |
---|
57 | 57 |
Clearances Total |
---|
24 | 35 |
Interceptions |
---|
4 | 11 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 1 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
4 | 4 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.37 | 2.16 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.37 | -0.84 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 18', Broadbent G. 🟨,
- 36', 1 - 0, Bailey O. ⚽, Gibson J. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 63', Wearne S. ↓, Kelly G. ↑,
- 63', Dennis M. ↓, Fusire S. ↑,
- 68', 2 - 0, Gibson J. ⚽, Molyneux L. (A),
- 69', Sterry J. 🟨,
- 72', Street R. ↓, Sharp B. ↑,
- 72', Sbarra J. ↓, Clifton H. ↑,
- 74', 3 - 0, Clifton H. ⚽, Bailey O. (A),
- 74', Vela J. ↓, Embleton E. ↑,
- 77', Molyneux L. ↓, Ennis E. ↑,
- 78', Wood R. ↓, Kelly P. ↑,
- 80', Bevan J. ↓, Hugill J. ↑,
- 82', Sterry J. ↓, Nixon T. ↑,
- 88', Harper C. ↓, McArthur C. ↑,
- 88', Broadbent G. ↓, Westbrooke Z. ↑,
Chances of winning
Doncaster Rovers 61.3% | Draw 22.9% | Carlisle United 15.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Doncaster Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)Carlisle United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Doncaster Rovers than the current prediction. (-0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carlisle United than the current prediction. (+1%)
Doncaster Rovers - Carlisle United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.53 ↓ (1.62) |
4.1 ↑ (3.79) |
5.94 ↑ (5.3) |
6.5% (7.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Doncaster Rovers - Carlisle United?
Users Predictions:
Doncaster Rovers will win
(16 of 19 users predict this - 84.21%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.81% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 23 in the zone Relegation ~ National League).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Doncaster won 2.
- Two teams are playing changeable.
- Doncaster could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Recently Carlisle have a series of home games.
- In this match Doncaster is a favorite.
- There will not play in Carlisle: Barclay B.
(Inactive)
Dummett P.
(Hamstring Injury)
McGeouch D.
(Inactive)
Williams J.
(Injury)
Wyke Ch.
(Broken ankle)
- There are questionable in Doncaster: Maxwell J.
(Inactive)
McGrath J.
(Inactive)
Olowu J.
(Inactive)
Sterry J.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Carlisle: Hugill J.
(Inactive)
- Last 8 head-to-head matches Doncaster won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10:12 (average 1.3:1.5).
- Including matches at home between the teams Doncaster won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:5 (average 1.3:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Doncaster Rovers won against Carlisle United?
Doncaster Rovers has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Carlisle United won against Doncaster Rovers?
Carlisle United has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Doncaster Rovers - Carlisle United were as follows:
23.11.2024
Carlisle United
-
Doncaster Rovers
0:0
01.01.2023
Doncaster Rovers
-
Carlisle United
2:1
15.10.2022
Carlisle United
-
Doncaster Rovers
3:0
Latest results of Doncaster Rovers
Latest results of Carlisle United
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Grimsby | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
2 | Crewe | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
3 | Fleetwood | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Walsall | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
5 | Chesterfield | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
6 | Cambridge Utd | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
7 | Harrogate | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
8 | Colchester | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
9 | Gillingham | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
10 | Tranmere | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
11 | Accrington | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
12 | Notts Co | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
13 | Newport | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
14 | Oldham | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
15 | MK Dons | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
16 | Shrewsbury | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
17 | Bromley | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
18 | Swindon | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
19 | Bristol Rovers | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
20 | Cheltenham | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
21 | Barrow | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
22 | Salford | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
23 | Barnet | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
24 | Crawley | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
Promotion ~ League Two
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League