Result
3:0
29/03/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 39
- Referee: Oldham S. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.32 | 0.55 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (247/338) | 75% (267/355) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.32 | 0.55 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.16 | 0.37 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 11 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (247/338) | 75% (267/355) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 48% (32/67) | 33% (23/70) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (102/163) | 65% (55/85) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 11% (2/18) | 12% (2/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.82 | 0.28 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (12/18) | 75% (15/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 57 | 57 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 24 | 35 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.37 | 2.16 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.37 | -0.84 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 18', Broadbent G. 🟨,
- 36', 1 - 0, Bailey O. ⚽, Gibson J. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 63', Wearne S. ↓, Kelly G. ↑,
- 63', Dennis M. ↓, Fusire S. ↑,
- 68', 2 - 0, Gibson J. ⚽, Molyneux L. (A),
- 69', Sterry J. 🟨,
- 72', Street R. ↓, Sharp B. ↑,
- 72', Sbarra J. ↓, Clifton H. ↑,
- 74', 3 - 0, Clifton H. ⚽, Bailey O. (A),
- 74', Vela J. ↓, Embleton E. ↑,
- 77', Molyneux L. ↓, Ennis E. ↑,
- 78', Wood R. ↓, Kelly P. ↑,
- 80', Bevan J. ↓, Hugill J. ↑,
- 82', Sterry J. ↓, Nixon T. ↑,
- 88', Harper C. ↓, McArthur C. ↑,
- 88', Broadbent G. ↓, Westbrooke Z. ↑,
Chances of winning
Doncaster Rovers
61.3% | Draw
22.9% | Carlisle United
15.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Doncaster Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)Carlisle United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Doncaster Rovers than the current prediction. (-0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carlisle United than the current prediction. (+1%)
Doncaster Rovers - Carlisle United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.53 ↓
(1.62) |
4.1 ↑
(3.79) |
5.94 ↑
(5.3) |
6.5%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Doncaster Rovers - Carlisle United?
Users Predictions:
Doncaster Rovers will win
(16 of 19 users predict this - 84.21%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.81% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 23 in the zone Relegation ~ National League).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Doncaster won 2.
- Two teams are playing changeable.
- Doncaster could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Recently Carlisle have a series of home games.
- In this match Doncaster is a favorite.
- There will not play in Carlisle: Barclay B.
(Inactive)
Dummett P.
(Hamstring Injury)
McGeouch D.
(Inactive)
Williams J.
(Injury)
Wyke Ch.
(Broken ankle)
- There are questionable in Doncaster: Maxwell J.
(Inactive)
McGrath J.
(Inactive)
Olowu J.
(Inactive)
Sterry J.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Carlisle: Hugill J.
(Inactive)
- Last 8 head-to-head matches Doncaster won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10:12 (average 1.3:1.5).
- Including matches at home between the teams Doncaster won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:5 (average 1.3:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Doncaster Rovers won against Carlisle United?
Doncaster Rovers has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Carlisle United won against Doncaster Rovers?
Carlisle United has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Doncaster Rovers - Carlisle United were as follows:
23.11.2024
Carlisle United
-
Doncaster Rovers
0:0
01.01.2023
Doncaster Rovers
-
Carlisle United
2:1
15.10.2022
Carlisle United
-
Doncaster Rovers
3:0
Latest results of Doncaster Rovers
Latest results of Carlisle United
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Walsall | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 19:13 | 6 | 26 |
| 2 | Swindon | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 24:19 | 5 | 26 |
| 3 | Salford | 14 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 20:18 | 2 | 25 |
| 4 | MK Dons | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 27:15 | 12 | 24 |
| 5 | Notts Co | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 25:15 | 10 | 24 |
| 6 | Grimsby | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 27:18 | 9 | 24 |
| 7 | Chesterfield | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 24:21 | 3 | 23 |
| 8 | Gillingham | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 19:14 | 5 | 22 |
| 9 | Crewe | 14 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 20:18 | 2 | 22 |
| 10 | Fleetwood | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 21:20 | 1 | 22 |
| 11 | Bromley | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 21:18 | 3 | 21 |
| 12 | Barnet | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 18:15 | 3 | 21 |
| 13 | Cambridge Utd | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 16:15 | 1 | 21 |
| 14 | Colchester | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 21:18 | 3 | 18 |
| 15 | Barrow | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 13:15 | -2 | 18 |
| 16 | Bristol Rovers | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 14:25 | -11 | 17 |
| 17 | Oldham | 14 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 12:12 | 0 | 16 |
| 18 | Tranmere | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 21:19 | 2 | 15 |
| 19 | Harrogate | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 15:23 | -8 | 14 |
| 20 | Cheltenham | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 10:25 | -15 | 14 |
| 21 | Shrewsbury | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 12:22 | -10 | 13 |
| 22 | Accrington | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 12:16 | -4 | 12 |
| 23 | Crawley | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 14:22 | -8 | 12 |
| 24 | Newport | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 14:23 | -9 | 11 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
