Doncaster Rovers vs Carlisle United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League Two Doncaster Rovers - Carlisle United
Result
3:0
29/03/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League Two - Round 39
  • Referee: Oldham S. (Eng)

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.320.55
Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
128
Shots on target
74
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
54
Passes
73% (247/338)75% (267/355)
Yellow Cards
20
Expected Goals (xG)
1.320.55
xG on target (xGOT)
2.160.37
Total shots
128
Shots on target
74
Shots off target
03
Blocked Shots
51
Shots inside the Box
84
Shots outside the Box
44
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
54
Touches in opposition box
2411
Offsides
41
Free Kicks
1111
Passes
73% (247/338)75% (267/355)
Long passes
48% (32/67)33% (23/70)
Passes in final third
63% (102/163)65% (55/85)
Crosses
11% (2/18)12% (2/17)
Expected assists (xA)
0.820.28
Fouls
1111
Tackles
67% (12/18)75% (15/20)
Duels won
5757
Clearances Total
2435
Interceptions
411
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
44
xGOT faced
0.372.16
Goals prevented
0.37-0.84

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 18', Broadbent G. 🟨,
  • 36', 1 - 0, Bailey O. , Gibson J. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 63', Wearne S. , Kelly G. ,
  • 63', Dennis M. , Fusire S. ,
  • 68', 2 - 0, Gibson J. , Molyneux L. (A),
  • 69', Sterry J. 🟨,
  • 72', Street R. , Sharp B. ,
  • 72', Sbarra J. , Clifton H. ,
  • 74', 3 - 0, Clifton H. , Bailey O. (A),
  • 74', Vela J. , Embleton E. ,
  • 77', Molyneux L. , Ennis E. ,
  • 78', Wood R. , Kelly P. ,
  • 80', Bevan J. , Hugill J. ,
  • 82', Sterry J. , Nixon T. ,
  • 88', Harper C. , McArthur C. ,
  • 88', Broadbent G. , Westbrooke Z. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Doncaster Rovers
61.3%
Draw
22.9%
Carlisle United
15.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.8% 24.6% 17.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.5% 23.5% 16.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Doncaster Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
  • Carlisle United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Doncaster Rovers than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carlisle United than the current prediction. (+1%)
  • Doncaster Rovers - Carlisle United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.53
    (1.62)
    4.1
    (3.79)
    5.94
    (5.3)
    6.5%
    (7.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Doncaster Rovers - Carlisle United?
  • Users Predictions: Doncaster Rovers will win (16 of 19 users predict this - 84.21%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 67.81%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 23 in the zone Relegation ~ National League).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Doncaster won 2.
    • Two teams are playing changeable.
    • Doncaster could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Recently Carlisle have a series of home games.
    • In this match Doncaster is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Carlisle: Barclay B. (Inactive) Dummett P. (Hamstring Injury) McGeouch D. (Inactive) Williams J. (Injury) Wyke Ch. (Broken ankle)
    • There are questionable in Doncaster: Maxwell J. (Inactive) McGrath J. (Inactive) Olowu J. (Inactive) Sterry J. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Carlisle: Hugill J. (Inactive)
    • Last 8 head-to-head matches Doncaster won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10:12 (average 1.3:1.5).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Doncaster won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:5 (average 1.3:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Doncaster Rovers - Carlisle United were as follows:
    23.11.2024 Carlisle United - Doncaster Rovers 0:0
    01.01.2023 Doncaster Rovers - Carlisle United 2:1
    15.10.2022 Carlisle United - Doncaster Rovers 3:0
    Latest results of Doncaster Rovers
    Latest results of Carlisle United
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Crewe540110:3712
    2Chesterfield54019:6312
    3MK Dons532010:2811
    4Grimsby532010:5511
    5Gillingham53208:3511
    6Bromley52308:539
    7Walsall53025:419
    8Swindon53028:809
    9Salford53026:609
    10Tranmere42208:268
    11Harrogate52217:618
    12Fleetwood52218:808
    13Cambridge Utd52126:607
    14Barrow52034:5-16
    15Barnet52034:6-26
    16Notts Co51229:815
    17Colchester51225:6-15
    18Oldham50413:4-14
    19Newport51135:7-24
    20Bristol Rovers51133:6-34
    21Accrington40223:6-32
    22Crawley50142:9-71
    23Shrewsbury50142:12-101
    24Cheltenham50051:11-100

          Promotion ~ League Two
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League