Notts County vs Carlisle United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
28/01/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ENGLAND: League Two - Round 29
  • Referee: Byrne A. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.830.56
Ball Possession
49%51%
Goal Attempts
1110
Shots on Goal
54
Shots off Goal
24
Blocked Shots
42
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
22
Shots inside the Box
65
Shots outside the Box
55
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
10
Goalkeeper Saves
44
Free Kicks
118
Offsides
11
Fouls
811
Yellow Cards
22
Throw-ins
1822
Touches in the Opposition Box
2014
Passes
83% (438/526)85% (460/543)
Passes in the final third
67% (81/121)76% (112/147)
Crosses
15% (2/13)10% (2/21)
Tackles
38% (8/21)53% (9/17)
Clearances Total
3117
Interceptions
126

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 14', McDonald R. 🟨,
  • 15', Fusire S. 🟨,
  • 19', 1 - 0, Jatta A. , Abbott G. (A),
  • 45+2', Hayden A. , Thomas T. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 63', Scott C. , Harris K. ,
  • 64', Fusire S. , Patching W. ,
  • 72', Grant C. , Edwards C. ,
  • 72', McDonald R. , Johnson Z. ,
  • 73', Jones J. , Gordon K. ,
  • 76', McArthur C. 🟨,
  • 81', Embleton E. , Robson E. ,
  • 86', McGoldrick D. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Jatta A. , Jarvis W. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Notts County
59.7%
Draw
22.2%
Carlisle United
18.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.3% 23.7% 20%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.3% 22.5% 19%

Notts County - Carlisle United Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.57
(1.66)
4.24
(3.95)
5.19
(4.66)
6.4%
(7.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Notts County - Carlisle United?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Notts County will win (votes: 6 - 50%). Carlisle will win (votes: 3 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Notts County: 21.7%78.3%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 23 in the zone Relegation ~ National League).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Notts County won 3.
    • Notts County is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Recent matches Carlisle is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • In this match Notts County is a favorite.
    • Last 14 head-to-head matches Notts County won 8 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 23:19 (average 1.6:1.4).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Notts County won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10:11 (average 1.4:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Notts County - Carlisle United were as follows:
    01.10.2024 Carlisle United - Notts County 0:2
    Latest results of Notts County
    Latest results of Carlisle United
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bromley23136440:261445
    2Swindon23134637:261143
    3Walsall23134632:211143
    4MK Dons23117544:251940
    5Salford23124733:30340
    6Notts Co23116636:251139
    7Chesterfield23108539:32738
    8Cambridge Utd23108526:19738
    9Fleetwood2397732:29334
    10Colchester2389637:28933
    11Gillingham23711531:26532
    12Barnet2388730:25532
    13Crewe2395934:31332
    14Oldham23710623:18531
    15Grimsby2387834:30431
    16Accrington2386926:26030
    17Tranmere2378837:37029
    18Cheltenham23831221:37-1627
    19Barrow23661125:33-824
    20Crawley23471227:40-1319
    21Shrewsbury23471221:38-1719
    22Bristol Rovers23531518:44-2618
    23Newport23451423:41-1817
    24Harrogate23451418:37-1917

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League