Result
1:0
28/01/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- ENGLAND: League Two - Round 29
- Referee: Byrne A. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.83 | 0.56 |
Ball Possession |
---|
49% | 51% |
Goal Attempts |
---|
11 | 10 |
Shots on Goal |
---|
5 | 4 |
Shots off Goal |
---|
2 | 4 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
4 | 2 |
Big Chances |
---|
3 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
2 | 2 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
6 | 5 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
5 | 5 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 1 |
Headed Goals |
---|
1 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
4 | 4 |
Free Kicks |
---|
11 | 8 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 1 |
Fouls |
---|
8 | 11 |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 2 |
Throw-ins |
---|
18 | 22 |
Touches in the Opposition Box |
---|
20 | 14 |
Passes |
---|
83% (438/526) | 85% (460/543) |
Passes in the final third |
---|
67% (81/121) | 76% (112/147) |
Crosses |
---|
15% (2/13) | 10% (2/21) |
Tackles |
---|
38% (8/21) | 53% (9/17) |
Clearances Total |
---|
31 | 17 |
Interceptions |
---|
12 | 6 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 14', McDonald R. 🟨,
- 15', Fusire S. 🟨,
- 19', 1 - 0, Jatta A. ⚽, Abbott G. (A),
- 45+2', Hayden A. ↓, Thomas T. ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 63', Scott C. ↓, Harris K. ↑,
- 64', Fusire S. ↓, Patching W. ↑,
- 72', Grant C. ↓, Edwards C. ↑,
- 72', McDonald R. ↓, Johnson Z. ↑,
- 73', Jones J. ↓, Gordon K. ↑,
- 76', McArthur C. 🟨,
- 81', Embleton E. ↓, Robson E. ↑,
- 86', McGoldrick D. 🟨,
- 90+2', Jatta A. ↓, Jarvis W. ↑,
Chances of winning
Notts County 59.7% | Draw 22.2% | Carlisle United 18.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Notts County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)Carlisle United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Notts County than the current prediction. (-0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carlisle United than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
Notts County - Carlisle United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.57 ↓ (1.66) |
4.24 ↑ (3.95) |
5.19 ↑ (4.66) |
6.4% (7.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Notts County - Carlisle United?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Notts County will win (votes: 6 - 50%). Carlisle will win (votes: 3 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Notts County: 21.7% – 78.3%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 23 in the zone Relegation ~ National League).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Notts County won 3.
- Notts County is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Recent matches Carlisle is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- In this match Notts County is a favorite.
- Last 14 head-to-head matches Notts County won 8 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 23:19 (average 1.6:1.4).
- Including matches at home between the teams Notts County won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10:11 (average 1.4:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Notts County won against Carlisle United?
Notts County has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Carlisle United won against Notts County?
Carlisle United has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Notts County - Carlisle United were as follows:
01.10.2024
Carlisle United
-
Notts County
0:2
Latest results of Notts County
Latest results of Carlisle United
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Grimsby | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
2 | Crewe | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
3 | Fleetwood | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Walsall | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
5 | Chesterfield | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
6 | Cambridge Utd | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
7 | Harrogate | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
8 | Colchester | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
9 | Gillingham | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
10 | Tranmere | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
11 | Accrington | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
12 | Notts Co | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
13 | Newport | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
14 | Oldham | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
15 | MK Dons | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
16 | Shrewsbury | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
17 | Bromley | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
18 | Swindon | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
19 | Bristol Rovers | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
20 | Cheltenham | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
21 | Barrow | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
22 | Salford | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
23 | Barnet | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
24 | Crawley | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
Promotion ~ League Two
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League