Notts County vs Carlisle United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
28/01/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ENGLAND: League Two - Round 29
  • Referee: Byrne A. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.830.56
Ball Possession
49%51%
Goal Attempts
1110
Shots on Goal
54
Shots off Goal
24
Blocked Shots
42
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
22
Shots inside the Box
65
Shots outside the Box
55
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
10
Goalkeeper Saves
44
Free Kicks
118
Offsides
11
Fouls
811
Yellow Cards
22
Throw-ins
1822
Touches in the Opposition Box
2014
Passes
83% (438/526)85% (460/543)
Passes in the final third
67% (81/121)76% (112/147)
Crosses
15% (2/13)10% (2/21)
Tackles
38% (8/21)53% (9/17)
Clearances Total
3117
Interceptions
126

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 14', McDonald R. 🟨,
  • 15', Fusire S. 🟨,
  • 19', 1 - 0, Jatta A. , Abbott G. (A),
  • 45+2', Hayden A. , Thomas T. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 63', Scott C. , Harris K. ,
  • 64', Fusire S. , Patching W. ,
  • 72', Grant C. , Edwards C. ,
  • 72', McDonald R. , Johnson Z. ,
  • 73', Jones J. , Gordon K. ,
  • 76', McArthur C. 🟨,
  • 81', Embleton E. , Robson E. ,
  • 86', McGoldrick D. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Jatta A. , Jarvis W. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Notts County
59.7%
Draw
22.2%
Carlisle United
18.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.3% 23.7% 20%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.3% 22.5% 19%

Notts County - Carlisle United Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.57
(1.66)
4.24
(3.95)
5.19
(4.66)
6.4%
(7.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Notts County - Carlisle United?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Notts County will win (votes: 6 - 50%). Carlisle will win (votes: 3 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Notts County: 21.7%78.3%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 23 in the zone Relegation ~ National League).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Notts County won 3.
    • Notts County is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Recent matches Carlisle is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • In this match Notts County is a favorite.
    • Last 14 head-to-head matches Notts County won 8 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 23:19 (average 1.6:1.4).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Notts County won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10:11 (average 1.4:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Notts County - Carlisle United were as follows:
    01.10.2024 Carlisle United - Notts County 0:2
    Latest results of Notts County
    Latest results of Carlisle United
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bromley26157444:271752
    2Swindon25144741:291246
    3Walsall25144735:241146
    4Salford25144738:33546
    5MK Dons26128648:282044
    6Cambridge Utd25128530:201044
    7Notts Co25126738:271142
    8Chesterfield261011542:35741
    9Colchester25109639:281139
    10Crewe26116942:34839
    11Grimsby25107836:30637
    12Oldham25811626:20635
    13Barnet2598832:27535
    14Gillingham25811634:30435
    15Fleetwood2597933:32134
    16Accrington25961027:28-133
    17Tranmere26881040:42-232
    18Cheltenham26931426:43-1730
    19Barrow25661327:38-1124
    20Shrewsbury25571322:41-1922
    21Bristol Rovers25631621:45-2421
    22Crawley26471529:47-1819
    23Harrogate26461619:41-2218
    24Newport25451626:46-2017

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League