Result
2:1
31/01/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 22
- Referee: Caputi M. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | DAZN Italia, LAB Channel |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.20 | 0.57 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 70% | 30% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (534/607) | 67% (176/262) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.20 | 0.57 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.96 | 1.87 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 29 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 19 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (534/607) | 67% (176/262) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 48% (21/44) | 34% (23/67) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 86% (165/192) | 55% (36/65) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (5/17) | 8% (1/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.89 | 0.13 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 16 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 19 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (10/15) | 57% (8/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 63 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 12 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 16 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.87 | 0.96 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.87 | -1.04 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 25', 1 - 0, Busio G. ⚽, Schingtienne J. (A),
- 40', Rubino T. 🟨,
- 45+1', Yeboah J. 🟨,
- 45+2', Illanes J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 53', 1 - 1, Hasa L. ⚽,
- 59', Sagrado R. ↓, Compagnon M. ↑,
- 62', Rubino T. ↓, Melegoni F. ↑,
- 76', Hasa L. ↓, Di Stefano F. ↑,
- 76', Belloni N. ↓, Imperiale M. ↑,
- 77', Calabrese N. 🟨,
- 79', Adorante A. ↓, Casas A. ↑,
- 82', 2 - 1, Schingtienne J. ⚽,
- 85', Zuelli E. ↓, Finotto M. ↑,
- 86', Calabrese N. ↓, Sekulov N. ↑,
- 90+1', Franjic B. ↓, Haps R. ↑,
- 90+1', Doumbia I. ↓, Korac S. ↑,
- 90+1', Yeboah J. ↓, Duncan A. ↑,
- 90+3', Oliana F. 🟨,
- 90+4', Duncan A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Venezia
68.3% | Draw
19.1% | Carrarese
12.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Venezia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)Carrarese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Venezia than the current prediction. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carrarese than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
Venezia - Carrarese Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.38 ↓
(1.43) |
4.89 ↑
(4.44) |
7.43 ↑
(6.56) |
6.4%
(7.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Venezia - Carrarese?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Venezia will win (votes: 8 - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Venezia: 100% – 100%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH -1.25 - Carrarese (2.02) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Venezia will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Venezia (votes: 6 - 75%). Carrarese (votes: 2 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A and 9).
- Venezia is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Carrarese is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Venezia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Venezia is the undisputed favorite.
- There will not play in Venezia: Bjarkason B.
(Inactive)
Plizzari A.
(Inactive)
Sverko M.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Carrarese: Accornero F.
(Inactive)
Bouah D.
(Inactive)
Salamon B.
(Inactive)
- We predict that Venezia will win today's game, with odds of 1.39.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Venezia won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:5. (average 1.5:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Venezia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Venezia won against Carrarese?
Venezia has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Carrarese won against Venezia?
Carrarese has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Venezia - Carrarese were as follows:
25.10.2025
Carrarese
-
Venezia
3:2
Latest results of Venezia
Latest results of Carrarese
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Venezia ✔ | 37 | 23 | 10 | 4 | 75:31 | 44 | 79 |
| 2 | Frosinone | 37 | 22 | 12 | 3 | 71:34 | 37 | 78 |
| 3 | Monza | 37 | 22 | 9 | 6 | 59:30 | 29 | 75 |
| 4 | Palermo | 37 | 20 | 12 | 5 | 61:31 | 30 | 72 |
| 5 | Catanzaro ✔ | 37 | 15 | 14 | 8 | 60:48 | 12 | 59 |
| 6 | Modena ✔ | 37 | 15 | 10 | 12 | 49:35 | 14 | 55 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia ✔ | 37 | 11 | 17 | 9 | 43:44 | -1 | 50 |
| 8 | Avellino | 37 | 12 | 10 | 15 | 42:55 | -13 | 46 |
| 9 | Cesena | 37 | 12 | 10 | 15 | 42:52 | -10 | 46 |
| 10 | Mantova | 37 | 13 | 7 | 17 | 45:52 | -7 | 46 |
| 11 | Carrarese | 37 | 10 | 14 | 13 | 46:50 | -4 | 44 |
| 12 | Sampdoria | 37 | 11 | 11 | 15 | 35:47 | -12 | 44 |
| 13 | Padova | 37 | 11 | 10 | 16 | 35:46 | -11 | 43 |
| 14 | Empoli | 37 | 9 | 13 | 15 | 45:52 | -7 | 40 |
| 15 | Sudtirol | 37 | 8 | 16 | 13 | 37:47 | -10 | 40 |
| 16 | Entella | 37 | 9 | 12 | 16 | 34:50 | -16 | 39 |
| 17 | Bari | 37 | 9 | 10 | 18 | 35:58 | -23 | 37 |
| 18 | Pescara | 37 | 7 | 13 | 17 | 50:65 | -15 | 34 |
| 19 | Spezia | 37 | 8 | 10 | 19 | 42:58 | -16 | 34 |
| 20 | Reggiana | 37 | 8 | 10 | 19 | 35:56 | -21 | 34 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Venezia is Qualified for Serie A
Catanzaro is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Modena is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Juve Stabia is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
