Result
0:0
01/05/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 37
- Referee: Perenzoni D. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | DAZN Italia, LAB Channel |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.14 | 0.45 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 59% | 41% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 23 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (403/477) | 75% (261/348) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.14 | 0.45 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.76 | 0.47 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 23 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 11 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 12 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 52 | 10 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (403/477) | 75% (261/348) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (20/44) | 39% (22/57) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 81% (174/216) | 53% (39/74) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 34% (15/44) | 25% (2/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.75 | 0.48 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 21 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (10/16) | 45% (5/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 38 | 39 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 7 | 34 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.47 | 0.76 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.47 | 0.76 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 24', Parlanti G. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Parlanti G. ↓, Zuelli E. ↑,
- 46', Torregrossa E. ↓, Rubino T. ↑,
- 55', Abiuso F. 🟨,
- 58', Frabotta G. ↓, Corazza T. ↑,
- 58', Ciervo R. ↓, Castrovilli G. ↑,
- 65', Schiavi N. ↓, Melegoni F. ↑,
- 72', Calabrese N. 🟨,
- 76', Zanon S. ↓, Bouah D. ↑,
- 78', Shpendi C. ↓, Castagnetti M. ↑,
- 83', Abiuso F. ↓, Finotto M. ↑,
- 85', Mangraviti M. ↓, Piacentini M. ↑,
- 85', Cerri A. ↓, Vrioni G. ↑,
Chances of winning
Carrarese
39.8% | Draw
27.8% | Cesena
32.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Carrarese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)Cesena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carrarese than the current prediction. (+2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cesena than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
Carrarese - Cesena Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.36 ↑
(2.3) |
3.37 ↑
(3.13) |
2.93 ↓
(3.16) |
6.3%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Carrarese - Cesena?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Carrarese will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Cesena will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Carrarese: 9.6% – 70.4%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- DC - Cesena (1.62) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Cesena (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 10 and 9).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Carrarese won 2.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Carrarese: Imperiale M.
(Inactive)
Salamon B.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Cesena: Klinsmann J.
(Neck Injury)
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Carrarese won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:17. (average 1.3:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Carrarese won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:4. (average 1.8:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Carrarese won against Cesena?
Carrarese has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cesena won against Carrarese?
Cesena has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Carrarese - Cesena were as follows:
28.10.2025
Cesena
-
Carrarese
2:1
29.12.2024
Carrarese
-
Cesena
2:0
18.08.2024
Cesena
-
Carrarese
2:1
05.03.2024
Carrarese
-
Cesena
3:2
30.10.2023
Cesena
-
Carrarese
2:1
Latest results of Carrarese
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Venezia ✔ | 37 | 23 | 10 | 4 | 75:31 | 44 | 79 |
| 2 | Frosinone | 37 | 22 | 12 | 3 | 71:34 | 37 | 78 |
| 3 | Monza | 37 | 22 | 9 | 6 | 59:30 | 29 | 75 |
| 4 | Palermo | 37 | 20 | 12 | 5 | 61:31 | 30 | 72 |
| 5 | Catanzaro ✔ | 37 | 15 | 14 | 8 | 60:48 | 12 | 59 |
| 6 | Modena ✔ | 37 | 15 | 10 | 12 | 49:35 | 14 | 55 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia ✔ | 37 | 11 | 17 | 9 | 43:44 | -1 | 50 |
| 8 | Avellino | 37 | 12 | 10 | 15 | 42:55 | -13 | 46 |
| 9 | Cesena | 37 | 12 | 10 | 15 | 42:52 | -10 | 46 |
| 10 | Mantova | 37 | 13 | 7 | 17 | 45:52 | -7 | 46 |
| 11 | Carrarese | 37 | 10 | 14 | 13 | 46:50 | -4 | 44 |
| 12 | Sampdoria | 37 | 11 | 11 | 15 | 35:47 | -12 | 44 |
| 13 | Padova | 37 | 11 | 10 | 16 | 35:46 | -11 | 43 |
| 14 | Empoli | 37 | 9 | 13 | 15 | 45:52 | -7 | 40 |
| 15 | Sudtirol | 37 | 8 | 16 | 13 | 37:47 | -10 | 40 |
| 16 | Entella | 37 | 9 | 12 | 16 | 34:50 | -16 | 39 |
| 17 | Bari | 37 | 9 | 10 | 18 | 35:58 | -23 | 37 |
| 18 | Pescara | 37 | 7 | 13 | 17 | 50:65 | -15 | 34 |
| 19 | Spezia | 37 | 8 | 10 | 19 | 42:58 | -16 | 34 |
| 20 | Reggiana | 37 | 8 | 10 | 19 | 35:56 | -21 | 34 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Venezia is Qualified for Serie A
Catanzaro is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Modena is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Juve Stabia is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
