Result
3:0
25/04/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 36
- Referee: Rapuano A. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 4 |
 Israel | 5 SPORT Israel |
 Italy | DAZN Italia, LAB Channel |
 Russia | Telekanal Futbol |
 Switzerland | Blue Sport 3, Blue Sport 3 |
 Ukraine | Maincast Sport |
 Usa | FOX One, Fox Soccer Plus |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.54 | 1.21 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (306/365) | 76% (207/271) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.54 | 1.21 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.82 | 0.69 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 28 | 27 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (306/365) | 76% (207/271) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 39% (15/38) | 38% (20/52) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 78% (104/134) | 75% (65/87) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 36% (9/25) | 29% (8/28) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.42 | 1.25 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 26 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (5/8) | 74% (14/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 40 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 39 | 30 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.69 | 1.82 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.69 | -1.18 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 26', Ghedjemis F. 🟨,
- 42', Bouah D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 54', 1 - 0, Calo G. (Penalty Awarded),
- 56', Schiavi N. 🟨,
- 59', Schiavi N. ↓, Zuelli E. ↑,
- 59', Bouah D. ↓, Calabrese N. ↑,
- 59', Rubino T. ↓, Abiuso F. ↑,
- 69', Kvernadze G. 🟨,
- 70', Kvernadze G. ↓, Fiori A. ↑,
- 70', Ghedjemis F. ↓, Fini S. ↑,
- 71', 2 - 0, Fiori A. ⚽, Calo G. (A),
- 73', Belloni N. ↓, Rouhi J. ↑,
- 77', Finotto M. ↓, Di Stefano F. ↑,
- 80', Raimondo A. ↓, Zilli M. ↑,
- 80', Gelli F. ↓, Kone B. L. ↑,
- 90', Abiuso F. 🟨,
- 90+1', Calo G. ↓, Gelli J. ↑,
- 90+6', 3 - 0, Kone B. L. (Penalty Awarded),
Chances of winning
Frosinone
58.2% | Draw
22.4% | Carrarese
19.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Frosinone has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)Carrarese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Frosinone than the current prediction. (+5.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Frosinone, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carrarese than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
Frosinone - Carrarese Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.61 ↑
(1.53) |
4.17 ↓
(4.38) |
4.81 ↓
(5.29) |
6.9%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Frosinone - Carrarese?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Frosinone will win
(9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Frosinone will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A and 9).
- Frosinone has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Carrarese is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Frosinone may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Frosinone is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Frosinone: Cittadini G.
(Yellow Cards)
Corrado N.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Carrarese: Imperiale M.
(Inactive)
Ruggeri F.
(Yellow Cards)
Salamon B.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Frosinone: Koutsoupias I.
(Inactive)
Marchizza R.
(Inactive)
- We predict that Frosinone will win today's game, with odds of 1.6.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Frosinone won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:1. (average 1.6:0.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Frosinone won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Frosinone won against Carrarese?
Frosinone has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Carrarese won against Frosinone?
Carrarese has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Frosinone - Carrarese were as follows:
01.11.2025
Carrarese
-
Frosinone
0:2
08.03.2025
Carrarese
-
Frosinone
0:1
05.10.2024
Frosinone
-
Carrarese
0:1
Latest results of Frosinone
Latest results of Carrarese
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Venezia | 36 | 23 | 9 | 4 | 73:29 | 44 | 78 |
| 2 | Monza | 36 | 22 | 9 | 5 | 57:27 | 30 | 75 |
| 3 | Frosinone | 36 | 21 | 12 | 3 | 70:34 | 36 | 75 |
| 4 | Palermo | 36 | 19 | 12 | 5 | 58:29 | 29 | 69 |
| 5 | Catanzaro ✔ | 36 | 15 | 14 | 7 | 58:45 | 13 | 59 |
| 6 | Modena ✔ | 36 | 14 | 10 | 12 | 47:34 | 13 | 52 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia | 36 | 11 | 17 | 8 | 43:43 | 0 | 50 |
| 8 | Avellino | 36 | 12 | 10 | 14 | 42:54 | -12 | 46 |
| 9 | Cesena | 36 | 12 | 9 | 15 | 42:52 | -10 | 45 |
| 10 | Carrarese | 36 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 46:50 | -4 | 43 |
| 11 | Mantova | 36 | 12 | 7 | 17 | 42:50 | -8 | 43 |
| 12 | Sampdoria | 36 | 10 | 11 | 15 | 34:47 | -13 | 41 |
| 13 | Sudtirol | 36 | 8 | 16 | 12 | 37:46 | -9 | 40 |
| 14 | Padova | 36 | 10 | 10 | 16 | 34:46 | -12 | 40 |
| 15 | Entella | 36 | 9 | 12 | 15 | 34:48 | -14 | 39 |
| 16 | Empoli | 36 | 8 | 13 | 15 | 44:52 | -8 | 37 |
| 17 | Pescara | 36 | 7 | 13 | 16 | 50:64 | -14 | 34 |
| 18 | Bari | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 33:58 | -25 | 34 |
| 19 | Reggiana | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 34:54 | -20 | 34 |
| 20 | Spezia | 36 | 8 | 9 | 19 | 40:56 | -16 | 33 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Catanzaro is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Modena is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
