Result
0:2
29/11/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal - Round 12
- Referee: Baixinho R. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Ukraine |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.17 | 1.42 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (371/458) | 82% (354/431) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.17 | 1.42 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.00 | 1.70 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (371/458) | 82% (354/431) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (41/81) | 40% (17/42) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 56% (53/95) | 73% (102/139) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 15% (3/20) | 18% (3/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.21 | 1.50 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (8/12) | 60% (6/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 27 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.70 | 0.00 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.30 | 0.00 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 43', Cassiano 🟨,
- 45+3', Sequeira P. 🟥,
- 45+3', Fonte J. 🟨,
- 45+7', Cassiano ↓, Batista R. ↑,
- 45+8', Geraldes A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 50', Meupiyou B. 🟨,
- 62', Brito R. ↓, Nhaga R. ↑,
- 62', Conte A. ↓, Benaissa-Yahia F. ↑,
- 62', Nsona K. ↓, Rocha Livramento D. ↑,
- 62', Meupiyou B. ↓, Martinez J. ↑,
- 62', Nuozzi C. ↓, Marezi ↑,
- 72', Larrazabal G. 🟨,
- 76', 0 - 1, Lincoln ⚽, Sandro Lima (A),
- 80', Kaique Rocha ↓, Morais T. ↑,
- 81', Abdulai S. ↓, Figueiredo ↑,
- 82', Sandro Lima ↓, Gui D. ↑,
- 90+1', Gui D. 🟨,
- 90+4', Amorim 🟨,
- 90+6', Marezi 🟨,
- 90+7', Lincoln ↓, James I. ↑,
- 90+9', 0 - 2, Marezi ⚽, Touaizi N. (A),
Chances of winning
Casa Pia
37.4% | Draw
31.5% | Alverca
31.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Casa Pia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)Alverca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
Casa Pia - Alverca Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.54 ↑
(2.5) |
3.02 ↓
(3.04) |
3.06 ↑
(3.03) |
5.1%
(5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Casa Pia - Alverca?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Casa Pia will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Alverca will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Casa Pia: 41.6% – 98.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Casa Pia (votes: 2 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 15 and 14).
- Casa Pia has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Alverca is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Casa Pia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Casa Pia: Kiki
(Knee Injury)
Mendes C.
(Knee Injury)
Sousa D.
(Yellow Cards)
Svensson M.
(Inactive)
Tchamba D.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Alverca: Diarra S.
(Inactive)
James I.
(Inactive)
Leo Chu
(Inactive)
Martinez J.
(Inactive)
Paulo A.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Alverca: Chiquinho
(Injury)
Figueiredo
(Injury)
Mendes T.
(Inactive)
- Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Casa Pia won against Alverca?
Casa Pia has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Alverca won against Casa Pia?
Alverca has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Casa Pia - Alverca were as follows:
Latest results of Casa Pia
Latest results of Alverca
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Porto | 24 | 21 | 2 | 1 | 47:8 | 39 | 65 |
| 2 | Sporting CP | 24 | 19 | 4 | 1 | 62:12 | 50 | 61 |
| 3 | Benfica | 24 | 17 | 7 | 0 | 51:14 | 37 | 58 |
| 4 | Braga | 24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 50:23 | 27 | 45 |
| 5 | Gil Vicente | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 35:23 | 12 | 40 |
| 6 | Famalicao | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 29:21 | 8 | 36 |
| 7 | Moreirense | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 30:34 | -4 | 34 |
| 8 | Estoril | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 46:42 | 4 | 33 |
| 9 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 24 | 9 | 5 | 10 | 28:35 | -7 | 32 |
| 10 | Alverca | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 24:39 | -15 | 27 |
| 11 | Arouca | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 32:52 | -20 | 26 |
| 12 | Estrela | 24 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 26:41 | -15 | 24 |
| 13 | Casa Pia | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 26:44 | -18 | 23 |
| 14 | Nacional | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 28:36 | -8 | 21 |
| 15 | Rio Ave | 24 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 23:44 | -21 | 21 |
| 16 | Santa Clara | 24 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 20:31 | -11 | 19 |
| 17 | Tondela | 24 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 19:38 | -19 | 19 |
| 18 | AFS | 24 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 18:57 | -39 | 9 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
