Casa Pia vs Alverca – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
29/11/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Portugal - Round 12
  • Referee: Baixinho R. (Por)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
portugalPortugalSport TV1
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Ukraine

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.171.42
Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
510
Shots on target
05
Big Chances
04
Corner Kicks
64
Passes
81% (371/458)82% (354/431)
Yellow Cards
44
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
0.171.42
xG on target (xGOT)
0.001.70
Total shots
510
Shots on target
05
Shots off target
24
Blocked Shots
31
Shots inside the Box
36
Shots outside the Box
24
Hit the Woodwork
11
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
04
Corner Kicks
64
Touches in opposition box
1214
Accurate through passes
02
Offsides
04
Free Kicks
179
Passes
81% (371/458)82% (354/431)
Long passes
51% (41/81)40% (17/42)
Passes in final third
56% (53/95)73% (102/139)
Crosses
15% (3/20)18% (3/17)
Expected assists (xA)
0.211.50
Throw-ins
2315
Fouls
917
Tackles
67% (8/12)60% (6/10)
Duels won
4143
Clearances
2728
Interceptions
117
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
30
xGOT faced
1.700.00
Goals prevented
-0.300.00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 43', Cassiano 🟨,
  • 45+3', Sequeira P. 🟥,
  • 45+3', Fonte J. 🟨,
  • 45+7', Cassiano , Batista R. ,
  • 45+8', Geraldes A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 50', Meupiyou B. 🟨,
  • 62', Brito R. , Nhaga R. ,
  • 62', Conte A. , Benaissa-Yahia F. ,
  • 62', Nsona K. , Rocha Livramento D. ,
  • 62', Meupiyou B. , Martinez J. ,
  • 62', Nuozzi C. , Marezi ,
  • 72', Larrazabal G. 🟨,
  • 76', 0 - 1, Lincoln , Sandro Lima (A),
  • 80', Kaique Rocha , Morais T. ,
  • 81', Abdulai S. , Figueiredo ,
  • 82', Sandro Lima , Gui D. ,
  • 90+1', Gui D. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Amorim 🟨,
  • 90+6', Marezi 🟨,
  • 90+7', Lincoln , James I. ,
  • 90+9', 0 - 2, Marezi , Touaizi N. (A),

Chances of winning


Casa Pia
37.4%
Draw
31.5%
Alverca
31.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.8% 31.1% 31.2%

Casa Pia - Alverca Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.54
(2.5)
3.02
(3.04)
3.06
(3.03)
5.1%
(5.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Casa Pia - Alverca?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Casa Pia will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Alverca will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Casa Pia: 41.6%98.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Casa Pia (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 15 and 14).
    • Casa Pia has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Alverca is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Casa Pia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Casa Pia: Kiki (Knee Injury) Mendes C. (Knee Injury) Sousa D. (Yellow Cards) Svensson M. (Inactive) Tchamba D. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Alverca: Diarra S. (Inactive) James I. (Inactive) Leo Chu (Inactive) Martinez J. (Inactive) Paulo A. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Alverca: Chiquinho (Injury) Figueiredo (Injury) Mendes T. (Inactive)
    • Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Casa Pia
    22.11.2025 Alpendorada - Casa Pia 0:3
    09.11.2025 Benfica - Casa Pia 2:2
    26.10.2025 Braga - Casa Pia 4:0
    03.10.2025 Casa Pia - Estoril Praia 2:2
    Latest results of Alverca
    08.11.2025 Alverca - Rio Ave 1:1
    31.10.2025 Sporting Lisbon - Alverca 2:0
    28.10.2025 Sporting Lisbon - Alverca 5:1
    24.10.2025 Alverca - Gil Vicente 0:4
    18.10.2025 Leiria - Alverca 3:2
    Liga Portugal Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Porto21182142:73556
    2Sporting CP21164155:124352
    3Benfica21147044:123249
    4Braga21116444:182639
    5Gil Vicente21107431:171437
    6Famalicao2195727:20732
    7Estoril2186743:35830
    8Moreirense2193927:29-230
    9Vitoria Guimaraes2184923:30-728
    10Alverca21731121:36-1524
    11Estrela2158825:37-1223
    12Arouca21651026:46-2023
    13Nacional21561027:30-321
    14Rio Ave2148922:41-1920
    15Casa Pia21471022:39-1719
    16Santa Clara21451216:26-1017
    17Tondela21351314:35-2114
    18AFS21051615:54-395

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