Casa Pia vs AVS – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Liga Portugal
Result
3:3
23/01/2026 at 15:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Portugal - Round 19
  • Referee: Baixinho R. (Por)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 7
portugalPortugalSport TV1
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 5, MEGOGO Ukraine

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.573.33
Ball possession
42%58%
Total shots
927
Shots on target
47
Big chances
43
Corner kicks
211
Passes
47% (99/209)50% (137/276)
Yellow cards
35
Expected goals (xG)
1.573.33
xG on target (xGOT)
2.533.32
Total shots
927
Shots on target
47
Shots off target
26
Blocked shots
314
Shots inside the box
714
Shots outside the box
213
Hit the woodwork
01
Headed goals
10
Big chances
43
Corner kicks
211
Touches in opposition box
2351
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
20
Free kicks
1315
Passes
47% (99/209)50% (137/276)
Long passes
20% (17/83)29% (24/83)
Passes in final third
45% (38/85)40% (55/136)
Crosses
24% (4/17)22% (8/36)
Expected assists (xA)
1.402.59
Throw ins
2537
Fouls
1513
Tackles
50% (2/4)67% (10/15)
Duels won
5564
Clearances
8126
Interceptions
84
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
41
xGOT faced
3.322.53
Goals prevented
0.32-0.47

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 5', 1 - 0, Sousa D. ⚽, Brito R. (A),
  • 13', Roni 🟨,
  • 30', Semedo R. 🟨,
  • 44', Pedro Lima 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 3)
  • 50', 2 - 0, Larrazabal G. ⚽,
  • 60', Roni ↓, Duarte D. ↑,
  • 60', Perea O. ↓, Rivas L. ↑,
  • 63', Cassiano 🟨,
  • 64', Morais T. ↓, Osundina K. ↑,
  • 65', 3 - 0, Osundina K. ⚽, Livolant J. (A),
  • 67', Tomane ↓, Nene ↑,
  • 67', Akinsola T. ↓, Neiva G. ↑,
  • 69', Rivas L. 🟨,
  • 74', Conte A. 🟨,
  • 75', 3 - 1, Nene (Penalty Awarded),
  • 80', Brito R. ↓, Ofori L. ↑,
  • 80', Conte A. ↓, Prieto K. ↑,
  • 81', Kiki 🟨,
  • 88', Goulart J. 🟨,
  • 90', 3 - 2, Nene (Penalty Awarded),
  • 90+3', Livolant J. ↓, Mohamed I. ↑,
  • 90+9', 3 - 3, Neiva G. ⚽, Pedro Lima (A),

Chances of winning


Casa Pia
46.1%		Draw
29.7%		AVS
24.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.6% 28.9% 24.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.2% 28.5% 24.1%

Casa Pia - AVS Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)		 2.06 ↓
(2.08)		 3.19 ↓
(3.35)		 3.86 ↓
(3.97)		 5.8%
(3.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Casa Pia - AVS?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • 1X2, 1st Half - draw (votes: 0 - 0%) .
    • AH -0.75 - Casa Pia (2.35) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • AH -1 - Casa Pia (3.07) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.5 - Casa Pia (2.10) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.25 - Casa Pia (1.73) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Casa Pia will win (21 of 25 users predict this - 84%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 69.63% – 98.37%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Casa Pia will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 18 high ROI users predict this event. Casa Pia (votes: 17 - 94.4%). Tie (votes: 1 - 5.6%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 16 in the zone Liga Portugal (Relegation) and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2).
    • Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
    • Casa Pia will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Casa Pia: Kaique Rocha (Injury) Kiki (Knee Injury) Mendes C. (Red Card) Tchamba D. (Injury)
    • There will not play in AVS: Devenish C. (Red Card) Grau J. (Yellow Cards) Molina G. (Leg Injury)
    • There are questionable in Casa Pia: Fonte J. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in AVS: Galletto T. (Coach's decision) Roni (Injury)
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Casa Pia won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).
    • Including home match between the teams, Casa Pia won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Casa Pia - AVS were as follows:
    15.08.2025 AVS - Casa Pia 0:2
    19.04.2025 AVS - Casa Pia 1:1
    08.12.2024 Casa Pia - AVS 1:1
    Latest results of Casa Pia
    16.01.2026 Sporting Lisbon - Casa Pia 3:0 ✺
    04.01.2026 Rio Ave - Casa Pia 3:1 ✺
    28.12.2025 Casa Pia - Vitoria Guimarães 0:0 ✺
    21.12.2025 Tondela - Casa Pia 1:2 ✺
    17.12.2025 Casa Pia - Torreense 1:2 ✺
    Latest results of AVS
    17.01.2026 AVS - Arouca 0:1 ✺
    03.01.2026 AVS - Moreirense 0:2 ✺
    29.12.2025 Porto - AVS 2:0 ✺
    21.12.2025 AVS - Nacional 2:2 ✺
    17.12.2025 Vitoria Guimarães - AVS 0:1 ✺
    Liga Portugal Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Porto21182142:73556
    2Sporting CP21164155:124352
    3Benfica21147044:123249
    4Braga21116444:182639
    5Gil Vicente21107431:171437
    6Famalicao2195727:20732
    7Estoril2186743:35830
    8Moreirense2193927:29-230
    9Vitoria Guimaraes2184923:30-728
    10Alverca21731121:36-1524
    11Estrela2158825:37-1223
    12Arouca21651026:46-2023
    13Nacional21561027:30-321
    14Rio Ave2148922:41-1920
    15Casa Pia21471022:39-1719
    16Santa Clara21451216:26-1017
    17Tondela21351314:35-2114
    18AFS21051615:54-395

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Liga Portugal (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2

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