Result
1:1
19/04/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal - Round 30
- Referee: Ramalho P. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Portugal | Sport TV2 |
 Romania | AntenaPLAY |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 5 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.01 | 1.26 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 33% | 67% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 64% (139/216) | 81% (343/426) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.01 | 1.26 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.29 | 1.62 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 19 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 64% (139/216) | 81% (343/426) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 50% (30/60) | 54% (33/61) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 49% (40/81) | 55% (62/112) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (3/11) | 26% (7/27) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.26 | 0.94 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (10/15) | 18% (2/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 45 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 35 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.62 | 1.29 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.62 | -0.04 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 2', 1 - 0, Tunde Akinsola ⚽,
- 16', Grau J. 🟨,
- 40', Larrazabal G. 🟨,
- 41', Ze Luis 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 62', Mendonca G. 🟨,
- 66', Pereira H. ↓, Miguel Sousa ↑,
- 66', Larrazabal G. ↓, Benaissa-Yahia F. ↑,
- 66', Goulart J. ↓, Caue ↑,
- 74', Lelo L. ↓, Tiago Dias ↑,
- 76', Mendonca G. ↓, Galletto T. ↑,
- 83', Ochoa G. 🟨,
- 84', Fonseca F. ↓, Tavares T. ↑,
- 84', Ze Luis ↓, Ribeiro R. ↑,
- 85', Rodrigues R. ↓, Kiki ↑,
- 85', Rodrigues R. 🟨,
- 87', Galletto T. 🟨,
- 89', Livolant J. ↓, Kraev A. ↑,
- 90+1', Tunde Akinsola ↓, Lopes V. ↑,
- 90+4', Mercado J. 🟨,
- 90+5', 1 - 1, Caue ⚽,
- 90+7', Kluivert R. 🟨,
Chances of winning
AVS
31.9% | Draw
30.2% | Casa Pia
37.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
AVS has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)Casa Pia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for AVS than the current prediction. (+0.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Casa Pia than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
AVS - Casa Pia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.96 ↓
(3.03) |
3.1 ↓
(3.13) |
2.49 ↑
(2.45) |
6.3%
(5.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for AVS - Casa Pia?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. AVS will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Casa Pia will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Liga Portugal (Relegation) and 8).
- AVS has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Casa Pia is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- AVS could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
- There will not play in AVS: Assuncao G. A.
(Yellow Cards)
Lucas Piazon
(Inactive)
Rodrigues G.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Casa Pia: Fonte J.
(Yellow Cards)
Kiki
(Injury)
Mendes C.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Casa Pia: Tchamba D.
(Inactive)
- Last 1 head-to-head matches AVS won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1
How many head-to-head matches has AVS won against Casa Pia?
AVS has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Casa Pia won against AVS?
Casa Pia has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between AVS - Casa Pia were as follows:
08.12.2024
Casa Pia
-
AVS
1:1
Latest results of Casa Pia
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Estrela | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Estoril | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Gil Vicente | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Rio Ave | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Santa Clara | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Moreirense | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | FC Porto | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Sporting CP | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Benfica | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Braga | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Nacional | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | Arouca | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | Casa Pia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | Tondela | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | Alverca | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | Famalicao | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | AFS | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
