Result
1:1
06/04/2026 at 15:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal - Round 28
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | ZAP |
 Albania | Tring Sport 2 |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Bulgaria | Ring, Voyo |
 Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 6, Cytavision Sports 6 |
 Denmark | Sport Live |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free |
 Germany | DAZN Deutsch, Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 7 |
 Israel | Sport 2 |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 4 |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 3 |
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 4 |
 Slovakia | Arena sport 1 |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Turkey | S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 2 |
 Uruguay | Antel TV |
 Usa | Fubo Latino |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.36 | 1.68 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 22% | 78% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 45% (73/164) | 86% (522/605) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.36 | 1.68 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.67 | 1.34 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 12 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 10 | 44 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 19 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 45% (73/164) | 86% (522/605) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 33% (18/55) | 50% (18/36) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 36% (20/56) | 76% (151/200) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 0% (0/10) | 18% (5/28) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.15 | 2.18 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 18 | 27 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 19 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 42% (5/12) | 38% (5/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 60 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 43 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.34 | 0.67 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.34 | -0.33 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Morais T. ↓, Osundina K. ↑,
- 58', Lukebakio D. ↓, Prestianni G. ↑,
- 68', 0 - 1, Rios R. ⚽, Schjelderup A. (A),
- 70', Cassiano ↓, Mendes C. ↑,
- 70', Rafa Silva ↓, Sudakov G. ↑,
- 78', 1 - 1, Brito R. ⚽,
- 81', Barrenechea E. ↓, Anisio ↑,
- 81', Bah A. ↓, Ivanovic F. ↑,
- 85', Sequeira P. 🟨,
- 87', Brito R. ↓, Marques J. ↑,
- 87', Rosas P. ↓, Conte A. ↑,
- 90+3', Livolant J. ↓, Nsona K. ↑,
Chances of winning
Casa Pia
7.1% | Draw
14.6% | Benfica
78.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Casa Pia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)Benfica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
Casa Pia - Benfica Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
13.32 ↑
(12.04) |
6.47 ↑
(6.04) |
1.21 ↓
(1.24) |
5.5%
(5.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Casa Pia - Benfica?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Casa Pia will win (votes: 2 - 20%). Benfica will win (votes: 6 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Benfica: 29.6% – 90.4%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Benfica (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- DNB - Benfica (1.05) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- EH -1 - Benfica (1.05) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Benfica (1.04) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH 0 - Benfica (1.04) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.25 - Benfica (1.04) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.5 - Benfica (1.04) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 0.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 3 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Benfica (votes: 7 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Liga Portugal (Relegation) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Casa Pia won 1.
- In recent matches, Casa Pia has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Benfica is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, Benfica is the clear favorite.
- There will not play in Casa Pia: Kiki
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Benfica: Bruma
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Felix N.
(Knee Injury)
Veloso J.
(Shoulder Injury)
- There are questionable in Casa Pia: Batista R.
(Injury)
Ofori L.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Benfica: Aursnes F.
(Rest)
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Casa Pia won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 7:14. (average 0.9:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Casa Pia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Casa Pia won against Benfica?
Casa Pia has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Benfica won against Casa Pia?
Benfica has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Casa Pia - Benfica were as follows:
09.11.2025
Benfica
-
Casa Pia
2:2
25.01.2025
Casa Pia
-
Benfica
3:1
17.08.2024
Benfica
-
Casa Pia
3:0
17.03.2024
Casa Pia
-
Benfica
0:1
28.10.2023
Benfica
-
Casa Pia
1:1
Latest results of Casa Pia
Latest results of Benfica
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Porto | 29 | 24 | 4 | 1 | 59:14 | 45 | 76 |
| 2 | Sporting CP | 28 | 22 | 5 | 1 | 73:17 | 56 | 71 |
| 3 | Benfica | 29 | 20 | 9 | 0 | 61:18 | 43 | 69 |
| 4 | Braga | 28 | 15 | 7 | 6 | 55:27 | 28 | 52 |
| 5 | Famalicao | 29 | 13 | 8 | 8 | 36:25 | 11 | 47 |
| 6 | Gil Vicente | 28 | 12 | 9 | 7 | 42:28 | 14 | 45 |
| 7 | Estoril | 29 | 10 | 7 | 12 | 51:50 | 1 | 37 |
| 8 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | 35:43 | -8 | 36 |
| 9 | Moreirense | 29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | 32:41 | -9 | 36 |
| 10 | Alverca | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 32:47 | -15 | 35 |
| 11 | Rio Ave | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 31:48 | -17 | 33 |
| 12 | Arouca | 29 | 9 | 5 | 15 | 37:58 | -21 | 32 |
| 13 | Santa Clara | 29 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 26:37 | -11 | 28 |
| 14 | Estrela | 29 | 6 | 10 | 13 | 33:48 | -15 | 28 |
| 15 | Nacional | 29 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 31:41 | -10 | 25 |
| 16 | Casa Pia | 28 | 5 | 10 | 13 | 28:52 | -24 | 25 |
| 17 | Tondela | 27 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 19:44 | -25 | 20 |
| 18 | AFS | 29 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 19:62 | -43 | 12 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
