Result
3:1
25/01/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- PORTUGAL: Liga Portugal - Round 19
- Referee: Nobre A. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | RTP Africa, RTP Africa, RTP Africa, Sport TV Africa, ZAP |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Moja TV, Sportklub 6 |
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 3, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Bulgaria | Ring, Voyo |
 Croatia | SportKlub 6 |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5, Free |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL 2 |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 2 |
 Israel | Sport 4 |
 Italy | DAZN Italia |
 Kazakhstan | Sport+ |
 Montenegro | Sportklub 6 |
 Netherlands | Ziggo Sport 4 |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO, Sportklub 6 |
 Portugal | RTPi, RTP International, Sport TV2 |
 Romania | AntenaPLAY |
 Saudi-arabia | Shahid VIP |
 Serbia | SportKlub 6 |
 Slovakia | Arena sport 2 |
 Slovenia | SportKlub 2 |
 South-america | Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Play Latinoamerica |
 Switzerland | Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1 |
 Turkey | S Sport+ |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 2 |
 World | Disney+, Triller TV+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.25 | 1.93 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 39% | 61% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 8 | 19 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 9 | 20 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 10 | 30 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (269/343) | 84% (442/526) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 51% (28/55) | 70% (108/155) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 30% (3/10) | 27% (8/30) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 36% (4/11) | 77% (10/13) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 48 | 11 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 14', 0 - 1, Di Maria A. (Pen),
- 32', 1 - 1, Cassiano ⚽, Beni (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 60', 2 - 1, Moreira N. ⚽, Larrazabal G. (A),
- 65', Cassiano ↓, Svensson M. ↑,
- 69', Akturkoglu K. ↓, Schjelderup A. ↑,
- 69', Florentino ↓, Pavlidis V. ↑,
- 73', Brito R. ↓, Miguel Sousa ↑,
- 73', Larrazabal G. ↓, Geraldes A. ↑,
- 79', Moreira N. 🟨,
- 81', Cabral A. ↓, Amdouni Z. ↑,
- 81', Di Maria A. ↓, Aursnes F. ↑,
- 81', Barreiro L. ↓, Manu ↑,
- 82', Miguel Sousa 🟨,
- 87', Moreira N. ↓, Pablo Roberto ↑,
- 87', Fonte J. ↓, Kluivert R. ↑,
- 90+4', 3 - 1, Livolant J. ⚽, Svensson M. (A),
Chances of winning
Casa Pia
12.3% | Draw
19.9% | Benfica
67.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Casa Pia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)Benfica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Casa Pia than the current prediction. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Benfica than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
Casa Pia - Benfica Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
7.65 ↓
(7.77) |
4.8 ↑
(4.63) |
1.39 ↓
(1.4) |
5.6%
(6.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Watch this match and Liga Portugal with fubo (for US customers) Network on : RTPi Radio Portuguesa Int'l
What is the prediction for Casa Pia - Benfica?
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Casa Pia will win (votes: 5 - 29.4%). Benfica will win (votes: 10 - 58.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Benfica: 35.4% – 82.2%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 6 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Casa Pia won 0.
- Now both teams are in good shape.
- Benfica could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match Benfica is indisputable favorite.
- There will not play in Casa Pia: Kiki
(Injury)
Kraev A.
(Yellow Cards)
Mendes C.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Benfica: Gouveia T.
(Shoulder Injury)
Sanches R.
(Muscle Injury)
- Last 6 head-to-head matches Casa Pia won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 2:11 (average 0.3:1.8).
- Including matches at home between the teams Casa Pia won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0:2 (average 0:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Casa Pia won against Benfica?
Casa Pia has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Benfica won against Casa Pia?
Benfica has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Casa Pia - Benfica were as follows:
17.08.2024
Benfica
-
Casa Pia
3:0
17.03.2024
Casa Pia
-
Benfica
0:1
28.10.2023
Benfica
-
Casa Pia
1:1
04.02.2023
Benfica
-
Casa Pia
3:0
Latest results of Casa Pia
Latest results of Benfica
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Porto | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 19:1 | 18 | 22 |
| 2 | Benfica | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 18:4 | 14 | 21 |
| 3 | Sporting CP | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 20:5 | 15 | 19 |
| 4 | Gil Vicente | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 14:4 | 10 | 19 |
| 5 | Moreirense | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 12:11 | 1 | 15 |
| 6 | Famalicao | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 8:4 | 4 | 13 |
| 7 | Rio Ave | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 13:14 | -1 | 11 |
| 8 | Santa Clara | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 8:10 | -2 | 11 |
| 9 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9:12 | -3 | 11 |
| 10 | Braga | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 12:8 | 4 | 10 |
| 11 | Nacional | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9:12 | -3 | 10 |
| 12 | Alverca | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 11:16 | -5 | 10 |
| 13 | Arouca | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 10:24 | -14 | 9 |
| 14 | Casa Pia | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:13 | -5 | 8 |
| 15 | Estrela | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 7:10 | -3 | 7 |
| 16 | Estoril | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10:13 | -3 | 6 |
| 17 | Tondela | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4:14 | -10 | 5 |
| 18 | AFS | 9 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5:22 | -17 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
