Result
2:2
09/11/2025 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal - Round 11
- Referee: Correia G. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | ZAP |
 Albania | Tring Sport 3 |
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Xsports |
 Bulgaria | Ring, Voyo |
 Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 7, Cytavision Sports 7 |
 Denmark | Bold+ |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 6, Free |
 Georgia | Silk Universal |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL 2 |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 3 |
 Italy | DAZN Italia |
 Kazakhstan | Sport+ |
 Lithuania | Sport 1 |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Norway | VG+ |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 4 |
 Portugal | Benfica TV |
 Russia | TV Start |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 1 |
 Slovakia | Arena sport 1 |
 Slovenia | Sportklub |
 South-america | Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Play Latinoamerica |
 Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Turkey | S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 4 |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Inter |
 World | Triller TV+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.06 | 1.27 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 66% | 34% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (488/564) | 77% (220/286) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.06 | 1.27 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.61 | 1.41 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 0 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 37 | 7 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (488/564) | 77% (220/286) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 61% (30/49) | 48% (20/42) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 76% (173/228) | 63% (19/30) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (4/18) | 33% (2/6) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.09 | 0.19 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (9/15) | 27% (4/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 37 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 9 | 38 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.41 | 2.61 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.41 | 0.61 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 13', Sousa D. 🟨,
- 17', 1 - 0, Sudakov G. ⚽, Pavlidis V. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Barrenechea E. ↓, Prestianni G. ↑,
- 53', Sudakov G. 🟨,
- 60', 2 - 0, Pavlidis V. (Pen),
- 63', Silva A. 🟨,
- 63', Mourinho J. 🟨,
- 65', Cassiano (Pen),
- 65', 2 - 1, Araujo T. (Own goal),
- 66', Cassiano ↓, Rocha Livramento D. ↑,
- 66', Nsona K. ↓, Miguel Sousa ↑,
- 76', Brito R. ↓, Nhaga R. ↑,
- 79', Sudakov G. ↓, Barreiro L. ↑,
- 84', Perez S. ↓, Morais T. ↑,
- 84', Kaique Rocha ↓, Prieto K. ↑,
- 87', Rios R. 🟨,
- 89', Pavlidis V. ↓, Ivanovic F. ↑,
- 89', Lukebakio D. ↓, Rego J. ↑,
- 90+1', 2 - 2, Nhaga R. ⚽,
- 90+5', Rios R. ↓, Araujo H. ↑,
- 90+6', Sequeira P. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Benfica
80.8% | Draw
12.6% | Casa Pia
6.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Benfica - Casa Pia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.18 ↑
(1.18) |
7.53 ↑
(7.31) |
14.17 ↑
(12.93) |
5.2%
(6.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Benfica - Casa Pia?
Users Predictions:
28 users predict this event. Benfica will win (votes: 26 - 92.9%). Casa Pia will win (votes: 1 - 3.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 3.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Benfica: 83.4% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Benfica (votes: 2 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 7.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- 1X2, 1st Half - Benfica (1.56) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- 1X2, 2nd Half - Benfica (1.48) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Benfica (votes: 5 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: ) and 16 in the zone Liga Portugal (Relegation)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Benfica won 3.
- Benfica has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Casa Pia is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Casa Pia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Benfica is the clear favorite.
- There will not play in Benfica: Bah A.
(Knee Injury)
Bruma
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Felix N.
(Knee Injury)
Manu
(Knee Injury)
Otamendi N.
(Yellow Cards)
Santos L.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Casa Pia: Conte A.
(Inactive)
Kiki
(Knee Injury)
Mendes C.
(Knee Injury)
Tchamba D.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Casa Pia: Mandic I.
(Inactive)
Prieto K.
(Inactive)
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Benfica won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 12:5. (average 1.7:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Benfica won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:2. (average 2.3:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Benfica won against Casa Pia?
Benfica has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Casa Pia won against Benfica?
Casa Pia has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Benfica - Casa Pia were as follows:
25.01.2025
Casa Pia
-
Benfica
3:1
17.08.2024
Benfica
-
Casa Pia
3:0
17.03.2024
Casa Pia
-
Benfica
0:1
28.10.2023
Benfica
-
Casa Pia
1:1
04.02.2023
Benfica
-
Casa Pia
3:0
Latest results of Benfica
Latest results of Casa Pia
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Porto | 18 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 37:4 | 33 | 52 |
| 2 | Sporting CP | 18 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 50:9 | 41 | 45 |
| 3 | Benfica | 18 | 12 | 6 | 0 | 38:11 | 27 | 42 |
| 4 | Gil Vicente | 18 | 8 | 7 | 3 | 24:13 | 11 | 31 |
| 5 | Braga | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 32:18 | 14 | 30 |
| 6 | Moreirense | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 25:26 | -1 | 27 |
| 7 | Famalicao | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 21:14 | 7 | 26 |
| 8 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 18:23 | -5 | 25 |
| 9 | Estoril | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 33:29 | 4 | 23 |
| 10 | Alverca | 18 | 7 | 2 | 9 | 19:28 | -9 | 23 |
| 11 | Rio Ave | 18 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 22:31 | -9 | 20 |
| 12 | Estrela | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 23:32 | -9 | 19 |
| 13 | Santa Clara | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 14:20 | -6 | 17 |
| 14 | Nacional | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 22:28 | -6 | 17 |
| 15 | Arouca | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 19:42 | -23 | 17 |
| 16 | Casa Pia | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 17:35 | -18 | 14 |
| 17 | Tondela | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 12:30 | -18 | 12 |
| 18 | AFS | 18 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 11:44 | -33 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
