Cádiz vs Castellón – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

21/12/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Estadio Nuevo Mirandilla (Cadiz).

LaLiga2 - Round 19
Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Mexico	Sky Sport
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
Peru	Disney+
Spain	DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion, LaLiga TV Bar 2
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.30	1.36
Ball Possession
33%	67%
Total shots
10	18
Shots on target
4	2
Big Chances
3	2
Corner Kicks
6	12
Passes
71% (180/253)	86% (448/520)
Yellow Cards
4	2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.30	1.36
xG on target (xGOT)
1.96	0.32
Total shots
10	18
Shots on target
4	2
Shots off target
3	6
Blocked Shots
3	10
Shots inside the Box
7	8
Shots outside the Box
3	10
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Big Chances
3	2
Corner Kicks
6	12
Touches in opposition box
17	39
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
1	1
Free Kicks
13	11
Passes
71% (180/253)	86% (448/520)
Long passes
40% (25/63)	57% (27/47)
Passes in final third
47% (35/75)	83% (168/202)
Crosses
13% (2/16)	24% (8/34)
Expected assists (xA)
0.50	1.67
Throw-ins
22	16
Fouls
11	13
Tackles
56% (5/9)	53% (8/15)
Duels won
45	47
Clearances
35	26
Interceptions
11	5
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	2
xGOT faced
0.32	1.96
Goals prevented
-0.68	-0.04

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
9', Carcelen I. 🟨,
39', Diakite M. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
53', de la Rosa J. ↓, Tabatadze I. ↑,
53', Marti R. ↓, Pascual A. ↑,
64', Santiago P. ↓, Suero I. ↑,
66', Camara O. 🟨,
67', Suero I. 🟨,
69', 1 - 0, Camara D. ⚽, Pascual A. (A),
71', Ocampo B. ↓, Ontiveros J. ↑,
73', Gerenabarrena B. ↓, Doue M. ↑,
73', Sienra A. ↓, Mamah K. ↑,
78', Pereira R. 🟨,
82', 2 - 0, Camara D. ⚽, Pascual A. (A),
86', Barri ↓, Tincho ↑,
86', Mabil A. ↓, Markanich N. ↑,
87', Ortuno S. ↓, Fernandez A. ↑,
87', Camara D. ↓, Diarra Y. ↑,
88', Ontiveros J. 🟨,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/mry9hhjv

Chances of winning

Cádiz
24.9%

Draw
27.6%

Castellón
47.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34%

27.7%

38.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.4%

27.2%

39%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cádiz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cádiz's form might have worsened.

Castellón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Castellón's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cádiz than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cádiz, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castellón than the current prediction. (-8.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Castellón, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Cádiz - Castellón Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.75 ↑ (2.75)	3.39 ↑ (3.37)	1.99 ↓ (2.43)	6.5% (7.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Cádiz - Castellón?

Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Cádiz will win (votes: 6 - 26.1%). Castellón will win (votes: 15 - 65.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 8.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Castellón: 45.7% – 84.7%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Cádiz (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Castellón (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

AH 0 - Cádiz (2.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Cádiz (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Castellón (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.

Preview Facts

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 8 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
Recent performances by Cádiz have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Castellón is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).
Cádiz may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Castellón will hold a modest advantage in this match.
There will not play in Cádiz: Climent M. (Yellow Cards) Fali (Knee Injury) Gonzalez J. (Ankle Injury) Kovacevic B. (Injury) Suso (Injury)
There will not play in Castellón: Cipenga B. (International duty)
There are questionable in Castellón: Jakobsen A. (Injury)
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Cádiz won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).
Including home match between the teams, Cádiz won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

How many head-to-head matches has Cádiz won against Castellón?

Cádiz has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Castellón won against Cádiz?

Castellón has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Cádiz - Castellón were as follows:

23.02.2025 Cádiz - Castellón 0:0

09.09.2024 Castellón - Cádiz 1:3

Latest results of Cádiz

13.12.2025 Zaragoza - Cádiz 1:2 ✺

07.12.2025 Cádiz - Racing Santander 2:3 ✺

03.12.2025 Real Murcia - Cádiz 3:2 ✺

30.11.2025 Córdoba - Cádiz 1:2 ✺

23.11.2025 Cádiz - Leonesa 1:2 ✺

Latest results of Castellón

15.12.2025 Castellón - Mirandés 3:1 ✺

07.12.2025 Deportivo La Coruña - Castellón 1:3 ✺

30.11.2025 Castellón - Las Palmas 1:0 ✺

22.11.2025 FC Andorra - Castellón 1:3 ✺

15.11.2025 Castellón - Real Sociedad B 5:4 ✺

Spanish LaLiga2 Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Racing Santander	31	18	5	8	62:44	18	59
2	Dep. La Coruna	31	16	7	8	48:35	13	55
3	Almeria	31	16	7	8	59:43	16	55
4	Malaga	31	16	6	9	52:37	15	54
5	Las Palmas	31	13	12	6	40:24	16	51
6	Castellon	31	14	8	9	50:38	12	50
7	Burgos CF	31	14	8	9	36:26	10	50
8	Eibar	31	12	9	10	33:30	3	45
9	Gijon	31	13	6	12	42:39	3	45
10	Ceuta	31	13	5	13	39:50	-11	44
11	Albacete	31	11	9	11	39:40	-1	42
12	Cordoba	31	11	8	12	41:47	-6	41
13	Real Sociedad B	31	11	7	13	44:43	1	40
14	Granada CF	31	9	12	10	37:34	3	39
15	Andorra	31	10	9	12	37:42	-5	39
16	Cadiz CF	31	10	8	13	31:39	-8	38
17	Leganes	31	9	10	12	36:34	2	37
18	Valladolid	31	9	9	13	36:45	-9	36
19	Huesca	31	8	7	16	30:45	-15	31
20	Zaragoza	31	7	9	15	27:43	-16	30
21	Cultural Leonesa	31	7	7	17	29:50	-21	28
22	Mirandes	31	7	6	18	30:50	-20	27

      Promotion ~ LaLiga
      Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation