Result
2:1
17/02/2024 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 2 - ROUND 24
Chances of winning
Mérida AD 17.8% | Draw 27.1% | Castellón 55.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mérida AD has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mérida AD's form might have worsened.Castellón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Castellón's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mérida AD than the current prediction. (+5.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mérida AD, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castellón than the current prediction. (-7.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Castellón, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Mérida AD - Castellón Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
5.26 ↑ (3.74) |
3.4 ↑ (3) |
1.68 ↓ (1.93) |
8% (11.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2).
- Recent matches Mérida AD is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Castellón is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- In this match Castellón is a favorite.
- Last 1 head-to-head matches Mérida AD won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-5.
How many head-to-head matches has Mérida AD won against Castellón?
Mérida AD has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Castellón won against Mérida AD?
Castellón has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mérida AD - Castellón were as follows:
30.09.2023
Castellón
-
Mérida AD
5:1
Latest results of Mérida AD
Latest results of Castellón
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Cartagena SAD | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 10:6 | 4 | 16 |
| 2 | Teruel | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 8:5 | 3 | 16 |
| 3 | Sabadell | 9 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 8:3 | 5 | 15 |
| 4 | CE Europa | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 13:9 | 4 | 15 |
| 5 | Atl. Madrid B | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13:9 | 4 | 14 |
| 6 | Gimnastic | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 13:11 | 2 | 14 |
| 7 | Tarazona | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 6:8 | -2 | 13 |
| 8 | Torremolinos | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13:11 | 2 | 12 |
| 9 | Alcorcon | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 7:9 | -2 | 12 |
| 10 | Antequera | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 10:8 | 2 | 11 |
| 11 | Marbella | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 7:8 | -1 | 11 |
| 12 | Algeciras | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 8:10 | -2 | 11 |
| 13 | Eldense | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 8:10 | -2 | 11 |
| 14 | UD Ibiza | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 8:12 | -4 | 11 |
| 15 | Hercules | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9:8 | 1 | 10 |
| 16 | Sanluqueno | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 10:10 | 0 | 10 |
| 17 | Villarreal B | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 12:13 | -1 | 9 |
| 18 | Murcia | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 6:10 | -4 | 7 |
| 19 | Betis B | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 6:12 | -6 | 7 |
| 20 | Sevilla FC B | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4:7 | -3 | 6 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga2
Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1
Relegation