Result
2:1
17/02/2024 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 2 - ROUND 24
Chances of winning
Mérida AD
17.8% | Draw
27.1% | Castellón
55.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mérida AD has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mérida AD's form might have worsened.Castellón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Castellón's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mérida AD than the current prediction. (+5.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mérida AD, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castellón than the current prediction. (-7.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Castellón, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Mérida AD - Castellón Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.26 ↑
(3.74) |
3.4 ↑
(3) |
1.68 ↓
(1.93) |
8%
(11.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2).
- Recent matches Mérida AD is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Castellón is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- In this match Castellón is a favorite.
- Last 1 head-to-head matches Mérida AD won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-5.
How many head-to-head matches has Mérida AD won against Castellón?
Mérida AD has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Castellón won against Mérida AD?
Castellón has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mérida AD - Castellón were as follows:
30.09.2023
Castellón
-
Mérida AD
5:1
Latest results of Mérida AD
Latest results of Castellón
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | UD Ibiza | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:3 | 2 | 7 |
| 2 | Alcorcon | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Sanluqueno | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5:3 | 2 | 5 |
| 4 | CE Europa | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5:4 | 1 | 5 |
| 5 | Marbella | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 5 |
| 6 | Eldense | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 5 |
| 7 | FC Cartagena SAD | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 8 | Villarreal B | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 4 |
| 9 | Sevilla FC B | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 4 |
| 10 | Algeciras | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 4 |
| 11 | Gimnastic | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:6 | -1 | 4 |
| 12 | Murcia | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 13 | Tarazona | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
| 14 | Hercules | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:3 | -1 | 3 |
| 15 | Sabadell | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 2 |
| 16 | Betis B | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 2 |
| 17 | Teruel | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 2 |
| 18 | Atl. Madrid B | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 1 |
| 19 | Antequera | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 |
| 20 | Torremolinos | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga2
Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1
Relegation
