Result
2:1
17/02/2024 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 2 - ROUND 24
Chances of winning
Mérida AD
17.8% | Draw
27.1% | Castellón
55.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mérida AD has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mérida AD's form might have worsened.Castellón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Castellón's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mérida AD than the current prediction. (+5.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mérida AD, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castellón than the current prediction. (-7.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Castellón, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Mérida AD - Castellón Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.26 ↑
(3.74) |
3.4 ↑
(3) |
1.68 ↓
(1.93) |
8%
(11.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2).
- Recent matches Mérida AD is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Castellón is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- In this match Castellón is a favorite.
- Last 1 head-to-head matches Mérida AD won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-5.
How many head-to-head matches has Mérida AD won against Castellón?
Mérida AD has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Castellón won against Mérida AD?
Castellón has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mérida AD - Castellón were as follows:
30.09.2023
Castellón
-
Mérida AD
5:1
Latest results of Mérida AD
Latest results of Castellón
Draw
Promotion - Play OffsSemi-finals| 1 | Antequera | Ponferradina | 1 : 2, 1 : 0 |
| 2 | Andorra | UD Ibiza | 1 : 0, 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Gimnastic | Murcia | 1 : 0, 1 : 1 |
| 4 | Merida AD | Real Sociedad B | 1 : 0, 0 : 1 |
Final| 1 | Ponferradina | Andorra | 0 : 1, 1 : 1 |
| 2 | Gimnastic | Real Sociedad B | 2 : 1, 1 : 3 |
