Result
2:0
08/02/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 3 - Round 21
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 69', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 82', 2 - 0, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Castro
28.5% | Draw
29.5% | Cayón
42.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Castro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)Cayón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castro than the current prediction. (+2.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cayón than the current prediction. (-1%)
Castro - Cayón Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.22 ↑
(2.84) |
3.1 ↓
(3.25) |
2.18 ↓
(2.28) |
9.3%
(9.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 11 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 3 (Play Offs: )).
- Castro is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Cayón is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Cayón may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Castro has had a series of away games.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Castro won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:8. (average 0.8:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Castro won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Castro won against Cayón?
Castro has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cayón won against Castro?
Cayón has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Castro - Cayón were as follows:
27.09.2025
Cayón
-
Castro
1:1
30.03.2025
Castro
-
Cayón
0:0
26.03.2023
Cayón
-
Castro
2:0
26.11.2022
Castro
-
Cayón
2:2
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Torrelavega | 30 | 22 | 5 | 3 | 70:12 | 58 | 71 |
| 2 | Laredo | 30 | 19 | 6 | 5 | 56:24 | 32 | 63 |
| 3 | Tropezon | 30 | 19 | 3 | 8 | 45:24 | 21 | 60 |
| 4 | Atletico Albericia | 30 | 17 | 4 | 9 | 54:33 | 21 | 55 |
| 5 | Guarnizo | 29 | 16 | 7 | 6 | 38:22 | 16 | 55 |
| 6 | Escobedo | 30 | 18 | 1 | 11 | 53:38 | 15 | 55 |
| 7 | Vimenor | 30 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 42:29 | 13 | 55 |
| 8 | Cayon | 29 | 14 | 5 | 10 | 41:33 | 8 | 47 |
| 9 | Torina | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 33:36 | -3 | 46 |
| 10 | Bezana | 30 | 12 | 6 | 12 | 37:34 | 3 | 42 |
| 11 | Castro | 29 | 10 | 7 | 12 | 41:39 | 2 | 37 |
| 12 | CD Barquereno | 29 | 8 | 4 | 17 | 33:52 | -19 | 28 |
| 13 | UC Cartes | 30 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 24:46 | -22 | 26 |
| 14 | Revilla | 29 | 6 | 6 | 17 | 31:57 | -26 | 24 |
| 15 | CD Colindres | 29 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 21:38 | -17 | 24 |
| 16 | Selaya | 29 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 21:38 | -17 | 21 |
| 17 | Montanas | 30 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 29:78 | -49 | 20 |
| 18 | Noja | 29 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 17:53 | -36 | 17 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 3 (Play Offs: )
Relegation
