Castuera vs Puebla de la Calzada – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14 Castuera - Puebla de la Calzada
Result
1:2
17/04/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Round 31

Match Stats

Red Cards
11

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 15', 1 - 0, Canero A. ,
  • 29', 1 - 1, ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 61', 🟥,
  • 75', 🟥,
  • 78', 1 - 2, ,

Chances of winning


Castuera
41.9%
Draw
27.6%
Puebla de la Calzada
30.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42% 27.9% 30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.2% 27.1% 29.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Castuera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • Puebla de la Calzada has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castuera than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Puebla de la Calzada than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
  • Castuera - Puebla de la Calzada Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.17
    (2.16)
    3.3
    (3.25)
    2.98
    (3.02)
    9.9%
    (10.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • Preview Facts
    • In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 14 and 15).
    • Both teams are now playing unstable.
    • Puebla could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Castuera will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of Castuera
    11.04.2025 CD Extremadura - Castuera 2:0
    30.03.2025 Arroyo - Castuera 2:2
    21.03.2025 Castuera - Llerenense 3:1
    16.03.2025 Olivenza - Castuera 2:1
    09.03.2025 Castuera - Jerez 4:2
    Latest results of Puebla de la Calzada
    Draw
    Promotion - Play Offs

    Final
    1SocuellamosCayon2 : 0, 1 : 1
    2CastellonenseBurgos CF B0 : 2, 1 : 0
    3CortesBeasain0 : 2, 1 : 2
    4Girona BSan Fernando2 : 0, 1 : 0
    5PulpilenoSarriana2 : 3, 0 : 0
    6LlerenenseLealtad1 : 3, 1 : 0
    7Atletico CentralJaen1 : 2, 0 : 1
    8PorreresAtletico Monzon2 : 0, 0 : 1
    9VareaRayo Vallecano B0 : 3, 1 : 2