Result
1:3
21/02/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 26
- Referee: Perenzoni D. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | DAZN Italia, LAB Channel |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.18 | 1.82 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (340/403) | 78% (286/369) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.18 | 1.82 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.16 | 1.38 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 29 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 20 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (340/403) | 78% (286/369) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (23/45) | 34% (20/58) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 77% (97/126) | 63% (50/80) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 32% (6/19) | 25% (3/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.29 | 1.61 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 19 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 20 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (7/14) | 81% (13/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 40 | 52 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 27 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 14 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.38 | 1.16 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.62 | 0.16 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 16', Matias Antonini 🟨,
- 45+2', 0 - 1, Favasuli C. ⚽, Iemmello P. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Matias Antonini ↓, Frosinini R. ↑,
- 62', D'Alessandro M. ↓, Pompetti M. ↑,
- 65', Debenedetti A. ↓, Tirelli M. ↑,
- 65', Marconi I. ↓, Bariti D. ↑,
- 66', Liberali M. ↓, Pittarello F. ↑,
- 68', 0 - 2, Petriccione J. ⚽, Pontisso S. (A),
- 70', 1 - 2, Franzoni A. ⚽,
- 72', Karic N. ↓, Benedetti L. ↑,
- 72', Parodi L. ↓, Guiu B. ↑,
- 74', 1 - 3, Pompetti M. ⚽, Pittarello F. (A),
- 78', Tirelli M. 🟨,
- 79', Cuppone L. 🟨,
- 80', Cuppone L. ↓, Stabile D. P. ↑,
- 82', Pontisso S. ↓, Rispoli F. ↑,
- 82', Nuamah P. ↓, Di Francesco F. ↑,
Chances of winning
Virtus Entella
38.3% | Draw
30.9% | Catanzaro
30.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Virtus Entella has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)The chances for Catanzaro have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Virtus Entella than the current prediction. (-0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Catanzaro than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
Virtus Entella - Catanzaro Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.46 ↓
(2.47) |
3.02 ↑
(2.97) |
3.04
(3.04) |
6.7%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Virtus Entella - Catanzaro?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Virtus Entella will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Catanzaro will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Virtus Entella: 4% – 71%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Serie B (Play Out: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- Virtus Entella has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Catanzaro is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Virtus Entella: Boccadamo A.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Catanzaro: Cisse A.
(Injury)
Oudin R.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Virtus Entella: Tiritiello A.
(Inactive)
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Virtus Entella won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.
How many head-to-head matches has Virtus Entella won against Catanzaro?
Virtus Entella has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Catanzaro won against Virtus Entella?
Catanzaro has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Virtus Entella - Catanzaro were as follows:
29.11.2025
Catanzaro
-
Virtus Entella
3:2
Latest results of Virtus Entella
Latest results of Catanzaro
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Venezia | 26 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 53:24 | 29 | 56 |
| 2 | Monza | 26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 39:20 | 19 | 54 |
| 3 | Frosinone | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 48:24 | 24 | 53 |
| 4 | Palermo | 26 | 14 | 9 | 3 | 45:19 | 26 | 51 |
| 5 | Catanzaro | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 37:27 | 10 | 44 |
| 6 | Modena | 25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 33:19 | 14 | 40 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia | 25 | 9 | 11 | 5 | 30:29 | 1 | 38 |
| 8 | Cesena | 26 | 11 | 4 | 11 | 34:37 | -3 | 37 |
| 9 | Sudtirol | 26 | 7 | 12 | 7 | 26:27 | -1 | 33 |
| 10 | Empoli | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 32:36 | -4 | 30 |
| 11 | Carrarese | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 31:36 | -5 | 30 |
| 12 | Padova | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 26:32 | -6 | 30 |
| 13 | Sampdoria | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 28:34 | -6 | 29 |
| 14 | Avellino | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 29:41 | -12 | 28 |
| 15 | Mantova | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 26:41 | -15 | 26 |
| 16 | Reggiana | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 27:35 | -8 | 25 |
| 17 | Spezia | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 23:34 | -11 | 25 |
| 18 | Entella | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 24:37 | -13 | 25 |
| 19 | Bari | 26 | 4 | 10 | 12 | 21:39 | -18 | 22 |
| 20 | Pescara | 26 | 3 | 9 | 14 | 30:51 | -21 | 18 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
