Spezia vs Virtus Entella – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

07/02/2026 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Stadio Alberto Picco (La Spezia).

Serie B - Round 23
Referee: Ayroldi G. (Ita)
Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia, LAB Channel
World	Onefootball

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
0.67	0.32
Ball possession
62%	38%
Total shots
11	11
Shots on target
4	3
Big chances
0	0
Corner kicks
6	6
Passes
85% (364/427)	67% (177/263)
Yellow cards
2	3
Red cards
0	1
Expected goals (xG)
0.67	0.32
xG on target (xGOT)
1.12	0.17
Total shots
11	11
Shots on target
4	3
Shots off target
5	5
Blocked shots
2	3
Shots inside the box
5	6
Shots outside the box
6	5
Hit the woodwork
0	0
Big chances
0	0
Corner kicks
6	6
Touches in opposition box
20	12
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
2	1
Free kicks
11	14
Passes
85% (364/427)	67% (177/263)
Long passes
43% (15/35)	29% (15/51)
Passes in final third
84% (122/146)	53% (51/96)
Crosses
27% (8/30)	31% (5/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.95	0.33
Throw ins
29	22
Fouls
14	11
Tackles
48% (11/23)	54% (7/13)
Duels won
59	45
Clearances
23	31
Interceptions
7	4
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
2	3
xGOT faced
0.17	1.12
Goals prevented
-0.83	0.12

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
2', Marconi I. 🟨,
18', 1 - 0, Artistico G. ⚽, Valoti M. (A),
24', Cassata F. 🟨,
24', Squizzato N. 🟨,
30', 1 - 1, Cuppone L. ⚽, Guiu B. (A),
33', Guiu B. 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
49', Cassata F. ↓, Comotto C. ↑,
50', Ruggero M. ↓, Adamo E. ↑,
60', Beruatto P. 🟨,
63', Di Serio G. ↓, Skjellerup L. ↑,
67', Squizzato N. ↓, Dalla Vecchia M. ↑,
73', Cuppone L. ↓, Tirelli M. ↑,
78', Dalla Vecchia M. 🟨,
90', Di Mario S. ↓, Turicchia R. ↑,
90', Mezzoni F. ↓, Del Lungo T. ↑,
90+1', Karic N. ↓, Nichetti M. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Spezia
42.7%

Draw
32.2%

Virtus Entella
25.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.5%

32.8%

25.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.2%

31.5%

24.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Spezia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Virtus Entella has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spezia than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Virtus Entella than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Spezia - Virtus Entella Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↓ (2.25)	2.93 ↑ (2.85)	3.72 ↑ (3.63)	6.8% (7.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Spezia - Virtus Entella?

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Spezia will win (votes: 7 - 43.8%). Virtus Entella will win (votes: 1 - 6.3%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 25.5% – 74.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 17 in the zone Serie B (Play Out: ) and 16 in the zone Serie B (Play Out: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Spezia won 3.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Spezia might have a minor edge in this game.
There will not play in Spezia: Lapadula G. (Inactive) Sarr M. (Ankle Injury) Vlahovic V. (Red Card) Zurkowski S. (Knee Injury)
There will not play in Virtus Entella: Boccadamo A. (Inactive)
There are questionable in Spezia: Bandinelli F. (Injury) Mateju A. (Injury)
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Spezia won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:6. (average 0.9:0.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Spezia won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 1:0.2).

How many head-to-head matches has Spezia won against Virtus Entella?

Spezia has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Virtus Entella won against Spezia?

Virtus Entella has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Spezia - Virtus Entella were as follows:

08.12.2025 Virtus Entella - Spezia 0:1

Latest results of Spezia

31.01.2026 Sampdoria - Spezia 1:0 ✺

24.01.2026 Spezia - Avellino 1:0 ✺

18.01.2026 Palermo - Spezia 1:0 ✺

10.01.2026 Südtirol-Alto Adige - Spezia 2:1 ✺

27.12.2025 Spezia - Pescara 2:1 ✺

Latest results of Virtus Entella

31.01.2026 Virtus Entella - Frosinone 1:1 ✺

24.01.2026 Juve Stabia - Virtus Entella 1:0 ✺

16.01.2026 Sampdoria - Virtus Entella 1:1 ✺

10.01.2026 Virtus Entella - Monza 1:0 ✺

27.12.2025 Venezia - Virtus Entella 1:0 ✺

Italian Serie B Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Venezia ✔	37	23	10	4	75:31	44	79
2	Frosinone	37	22	12	3	71:34	37	78
3	Monza	37	22	9	6	59:30	29	75
4	Palermo	37	20	12	5	61:31	30	72
5	Catanzaro ✔	37	15	14	8	60:48	12	59
6	Modena ✔	37	15	10	12	49:35	14	55
7	Juve Stabia ✔	37	11	17	9	43:44	-1	50
8	Avellino	37	12	10	15	42:55	-13	46
9	Cesena	37	12	10	15	42:52	-10	46
10	Mantova	37	13	7	17	45:52	-7	46
11	Carrarese	37	10	14	13	46:50	-4	44
12	Sampdoria	37	11	11	15	35:47	-12	44
13	Padova	37	11	10	16	35:46	-11	43
14	Empoli	37	9	13	15	45:52	-7	40
15	Sudtirol	37	8	16	13	37:47	-10	40
16	Entella	37	9	12	16	34:50	-16	39
17	Bari	37	9	10	18	35:58	-23	37
18	Pescara	37	7	13	17	50:65	-15	34
19	Spezia	37	8	10	19	42:58	-16	34
20	Reggiana	37	8	10	19	35:56	-21	34

      Promotion ~ Serie A
      Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
      Serie B (Play Out: )
      Relegation

Clinched Spots for Teams

Venezia is Qualified for Serie A
Catanzaro is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Modena is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Juve Stabia is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)