Result
1:4
13/03/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 28
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Spain | CMM TV, Footballclub, LaLiga+, Movistar Plus+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 15', Tavares R. 🟨,
- 33', El Ftouhi S. 🟨,
- 34', Gomez J. 🟨,
- 38', 0 - 1, Alvarez U. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 3)
- 61', 0 - 2, Alvarez U. ⚽,
- 63', Beneit R. ↓, Jacobo R. ↑,
- 63', Martinez G. ↓, Geovanny ↑,
- 63', Hallsson S. ↓, Gomes R. ↑,
- 64', Doncel C. 🟨,
- 71', Neskes ↓, Amigo D. ↑,
- 73', Doncel C. ↓, Areso J. ↑,
- 73', Solar M. ↓, Dibrani B. ↑,
- 76', 1 - 2, El Ftouhi S. ⚽,
- 78', Calvo T. ↓, Rojo P. ↑,
- 78', Munoz P. ↓, Exposito R. ↑,
- 78', Alvarez U. ↓, Mayo N. ↑,
- 90+1', Zarco A. 🟨,
- 90+4', 1 - 3, Amigo D. ⚽,
- 90+6', Gomez J. ↓, Martinez J. ↑,
- 90+6', 1 - 4, Casado J. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Mérida AD
52.9% | Draw
25.4% | CD Guadalajara
21.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mérida AD has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)CD Guadalajara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mérida AD than the current prediction. (+1.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for CD Guadalajara than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
Mérida AD - CD Guadalajara Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.74 ↑
(1.64) |
3.64 ↑
(3.5) |
4.17 ↓
(5.15) |
9%
(9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Mérida AD - CD Guadalajara?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Mérida AD (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -1 - Guadalajara (1.66) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Mérida AD will win
(4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Mérida AD (votes: 1 - 50%). Guadalajara (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 6 and 18 in the zone Relegation).
- Recent performances by Mérida AD have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Guadalajara is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, Mérida AD is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Mérida AD won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Mérida AD won against CD Guadalajara?
Mérida AD has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has CD Guadalajara won against Mérida AD?
CD Guadalajara has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mérida AD - CD Guadalajara were as follows:
01.11.2025
CD Guadalajara
-
Mérida AD
0:2
Latest results of Mérida AD
Latest results of CD Guadalajara
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tenerife | 29 | 19 | 6 | 4 | 50:17 | 33 | 63 |
| 2 | Celta Vigo B | 29 | 14 | 9 | 6 | 44:36 | 8 | 51 |
| 3 | Ath Bilbao B | 29 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 31:31 | 0 | 44 |
| 4 | Barakaldo | 29 | 11 | 11 | 7 | 38:29 | 9 | 44 |
| 5 | Pontevedra | 28 | 10 | 13 | 5 | 32:20 | 12 | 43 |
| 6 | Ponferradina | 29 | 12 | 7 | 10 | 31:24 | 7 | 43 |
| 7 | Zamora | 29 | 11 | 10 | 8 | 38:33 | 5 | 43 |
| 8 | Real Madrid B | 29 | 12 | 7 | 10 | 40:38 | 2 | 43 |
| 9 | Lugo | 29 | 10 | 12 | 7 | 28:28 | 0 | 42 |
| 10 | Racing Club Ferrol | 29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 34:33 | 1 | 42 |
| 11 | AD Merida | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 38:39 | -1 | 41 |
| 12 | Unionistas | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 38:39 | -1 | 38 |
| 13 | Arenas Getxo | 28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | 32:39 | -7 | 35 |
| 14 | Real Aviles | 29 | 9 | 7 | 13 | 41:49 | -8 | 34 |
| 15 | Ourense CF | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 31:33 | -2 | 33 |
| 16 | Guadalajara | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 31:42 | -11 | 32 |
| 17 | CF Talavera | 29 | 8 | 7 | 14 | 30:39 | -9 | 31 |
| 18 | Cacereno | 29 | 6 | 12 | 11 | 27:38 | -11 | 30 |
| 19 | Arenteiro | 29 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 26:37 | -11 | 26 |
| 20 | Osasuna B | 29 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 18:34 | -16 | 24 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga2
Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1
Relegation
