Result
1:4
13/03/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 28
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Spain | CMM TV, Footballclub, LaLiga+, Movistar Plus+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 15', Tavares R. 🟨,
- 33', El Ftouhi S. 🟨,
- 34', Gomez J. 🟨,
- 38', 0 - 1, Alvarez U. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 3)
- 61', 0 - 2, Alvarez U. ⚽,
- 63', Beneit R. ↓, Jacobo R. ↑,
- 63', Martinez G. ↓, Geovanny ↑,
- 63', Hallsson S. ↓, Gomes R. ↑,
- 64', Doncel C. 🟨,
- 71', Neskes ↓, Amigo D. ↑,
- 73', Doncel C. ↓, Areso J. ↑,
- 73', Solar M. ↓, Dibrani B. ↑,
- 76', 1 - 2, El Ftouhi S. ⚽,
- 78', Calvo T. ↓, Rojo P. ↑,
- 78', Munoz P. ↓, Exposito R. ↑,
- 78', Alvarez U. ↓, Mayo N. ↑,
- 90+1', Zarco A. 🟨,
- 90+4', 1 - 3, Amigo D. ⚽,
- 90+6', Gomez J. ↓, Martinez J. ↑,
- 90+6', 1 - 4, Casado J. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Mérida AD
52.9% | Draw
25.4% | CD Guadalajara
21.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mérida AD has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)CD Guadalajara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mérida AD than the current prediction. (+1.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for CD Guadalajara than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
Mérida AD - CD Guadalajara Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.74 ↑
(1.64) |
3.64 ↑
(3.5) |
4.17 ↓
(5.15) |
9%
(9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Mérida AD - CD Guadalajara?
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Mérida AD (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -1 - Guadalajara (1.66) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Mérida AD will win
(4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Mérida AD (votes: 1 - 50%). Guadalajara (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 6 and 18 in the zone Relegation).
- Recent performances by Mérida AD have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Guadalajara is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, Mérida AD is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Mérida AD won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Mérida AD won against CD Guadalajara?
Mérida AD has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has CD Guadalajara won against Mérida AD?
CD Guadalajara has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mérida AD - CD Guadalajara were as follows:
01.11.2025
CD Guadalajara
-
Mérida AD
0:2
Latest results of Mérida AD
Latest results of CD Guadalajara
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tenerife | 32 | 19 | 9 | 4 | 52:19 | 33 | 66 |
| 2 | Celta Vigo B | 32 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 52:42 | 10 | 57 |
| 3 | Real Madrid B | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 51:41 | 10 | 49 |
| 4 | Zamora | 32 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 43:37 | 6 | 49 |
| 5 | Pontevedra | 32 | 12 | 13 | 7 | 38:24 | 14 | 49 |
| 6 | Barakaldo | 32 | 12 | 12 | 8 | 41:33 | 8 | 48 |
| 7 | Ponferradina | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 36:28 | 8 | 47 |
| 8 | Unionistas | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 45:42 | 3 | 47 |
| 9 | Lugo | 32 | 11 | 12 | 9 | 32:34 | -2 | 45 |
| 10 | AD Merida | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 42:45 | -3 | 45 |
| 11 | Arenas Getxo | 32 | 13 | 5 | 14 | 38:47 | -9 | 44 |
| 12 | Ath Bilbao B | 32 | 12 | 8 | 12 | 33:36 | -3 | 44 |
| 13 | Racing Club Ferrol | 32 | 12 | 6 | 14 | 35:41 | -6 | 42 |
| 14 | Real Aviles | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 46:53 | -7 | 40 |
| 15 | Ourense CF | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 36:37 | -1 | 37 |
| 16 | CF Talavera | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 32:41 | -9 | 35 |
| 17 | Guadalajara | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 35:47 | -12 | 35 |
| 18 | Cacereno | 32 | 7 | 13 | 12 | 30:41 | -11 | 34 |
| 19 | Osasuna B | 32 | 7 | 9 | 16 | 23:38 | -15 | 30 |
| 20 | Arenteiro | 32 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 29:43 | -14 | 27 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga2
Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1
Relegation
