Result
0:1
25/01/2026 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 21
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Spain | Footballclub, LaLiga+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 41', 🟨,
- 45+2', 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Ferrer P. ↓, Fernandez X. ↑,
- 51', 🟨,
- 56', 0 - 1, Moltenis B. ⚽,
- 57', Samuel ↓, Tavares R. ↑,
- 60', 🟨,
- 66', Munoz P. ↓, Alvarez U. ↑,
- 66', Miki ↓, Neskes ↑,
- 68', 🟨,
- 76', Moran E. ↓, Esquerdo V. ↑,
- 76', Valle B. ↓, Keita A. ↑,
- 78', 🟨,
- 81', Gomez J. ↓, Perero G. ↑,
- 81', Calvo T. ↓, Canizo A. ↑,
- 81', Cortes J. ↓, Sergio Benito ↑,
- 90', San Emeterio F. ↓, Kysil V. ↑,
- 90+2', 🟨,
- 90+7', 🟥,
- 90+7', 🟨,
Chances of winning
CD Guadalajara
35.6% | Draw
31.7% | Ponferradina
32.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
CD Guadalajara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)Ponferradina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for CD Guadalajara than the current prediction. (+2.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ponferradina than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
CD Guadalajara - Ponferradina Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.57 ↑
(2.49) |
2.87 ↓
(2.92) |
2.8 ↑
(2.79) |
9.4%
(10.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for CD Guadalajara - Ponferradina?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 15).
- Guadalajara is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Ponferradina has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Guadalajara may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Guadalajara won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:4. (average 2.3:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Guadalajara won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has CD Guadalajara won against Ponferradina?
CD Guadalajara has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ponferradina won against CD Guadalajara?
Ponferradina has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between CD Guadalajara - Ponferradina were as follows:
19.09.2025
Ponferradina
-
CD Guadalajara
1:3
12.11.2022
CD Guadalajara
-
Ponferradina
2:1
Latest results of CD Guadalajara
Latest results of Ponferradina
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tenerife | 31 | 19 | 8 | 4 | 51:18 | 33 | 65 |
| 2 | Celta Vigo B | 31 | 15 | 9 | 7 | 47:42 | 5 | 54 |
| 3 | Ponferradina | 31 | 13 | 8 | 10 | 35:25 | 10 | 47 |
| 4 | Barakaldo | 31 | 12 | 11 | 8 | 40:32 | 8 | 47 |
| 5 | Real Madrid B | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 46:41 | 5 | 46 |
| 6 | Zamora | 31 | 12 | 10 | 9 | 42:37 | 5 | 46 |
| 7 | Pontevedra | 31 | 11 | 13 | 7 | 35:23 | 12 | 46 |
| 8 | Lugo | 31 | 11 | 12 | 8 | 30:30 | 0 | 45 |
| 9 | Unionistas | 31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 44:42 | 2 | 44 |
| 10 | Ath Bilbao B | 31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 33:35 | -2 | 44 |
| 11 | AD Merida | 31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 41:44 | -3 | 44 |
| 12 | Arenas Getxo | 31 | 13 | 5 | 13 | 38:42 | -4 | 44 |
| 13 | Racing Club Ferrol | 31 | 12 | 6 | 13 | 35:36 | -1 | 42 |
| 14 | Real Aviles | 31 | 10 | 7 | 14 | 45:53 | -8 | 37 |
| 15 | CF Talavera | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 32:40 | -8 | 35 |
| 16 | Guadalajara | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 35:46 | -11 | 35 |
| 17 | Ourense CF | 31 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 32:35 | -3 | 34 |
| 18 | Cacereno | 31 | 6 | 13 | 12 | 29:41 | -12 | 31 |
| 19 | Osasuna B | 31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 23:37 | -14 | 30 |
| 20 | Arenteiro | 31 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 28:42 | -14 | 26 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga2
Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1
Relegation
