Result
1:3
19/09/2025 at 13:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 4
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Spain | CMM TV, Footballclub, LaLiga+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 8', Casado J. ↓, Cera ↑,
- 29', Andujar D. 🟨,
- 35', 0 - 1, Samuel ⚽,
- 38', San Emeterio F. 🟨,
- 41', Diaz B. 🟨,
- 43', Samuel 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Diaz B. ↓, Canizo A. ↑,
- 46', Aguilar Elizalde E. ↓, Sergio Benito ↑,
- 46', Vazquez B. ↓, Frimpong E. ↑,
- 59', 1 - 1, Sergio Benito ⚽,
- 67', Valle B. ↓, Fernandez X. ↑,
- 71', Gil A. ↓, Munoz P. ↑,
- 71', Neskes ↓, Alvarez U. ↑,
- 72', Lopez A. 🟨,
- 73', Cortes J. ↓, Ferrer P. ↑,
- 73', San Emeterio F. ↓, Novoa G. ↑,
- 83', 1 - 2, Munoz P. ⚽,
- 86', Samuel ↓, Rojo P. ↑,
- 90+5', 1 - 3, Caropitche S. M. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Ponferradina
47.7% | Draw
30.1% | CD Guadalajara
22.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ponferradina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)CD Guadalajara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ponferradina than the current prediction. (+5.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ponferradina, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for CD Guadalajara than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
Ponferradina - CD Guadalajara Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.96 ↑
(1.8) |
3.11 ↑
(3.1) |
4.28 ↑
(4.2) |
6.5%
(11.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Ponferradina - CD Guadalajara?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Ponferradina will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Guadalajara will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Ponferradina is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Guadalajara has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Ponferradina could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Ponferradina won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 1:2).
- Including home match between the teams, Ponferradina won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Ponferradina won against CD Guadalajara?
Ponferradina has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has CD Guadalajara won against Ponferradina?
CD Guadalajara has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ponferradina - CD Guadalajara were as follows:
12.11.2022
CD Guadalajara
-
Ponferradina
2:1
Latest results of Ponferradina
Latest results of CD Guadalajara
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tenerife | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7:0 | 7 | 9 |
| 2 | Guadalajara | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6:3 | 3 | 9 |
| 3 | Racing Club Ferrol | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5:2 | 3 | 9 |
| 4 | Ath Bilbao B | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 8 |
| 5 | Arenteiro | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4:2 | 2 | 7 |
| 6 | Zamora | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 6 |
| 7 | Cacereno | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5:6 | -1 | 5 |
| 8 | Celta Vigo B | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 4 |
| 9 | Arenas Getxo | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 4 |
| 10 | CF Talavera | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 4 |
| 11 | Barakaldo | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 4 |
| 12 | Osasuna B | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 4 |
| 13 | Real Aviles | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 4 |
| 14 | Pontevedra | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2:4 | -2 | 4 |
| 15 | Ponferradina | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5:6 | -1 | 3 |
| 16 | Real Madrid B | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:3 | -1 | 3 |
| 17 | Merida AD | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:9 | -5 | 3 |
| 18 | Ourense CF | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 2 |
| 19 | Lugo | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 |
| 20 | Unionistas | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga2
Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1
Relegation
