Ponferradina vs CD Guadalajara – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Ponferradina - CD Guadalajara
Result
1:3
19/09/2025 at 13:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 4
  • Where to Watch on TV:
spainSpainCMM TV, Footballclub, LaLiga+

Match Stats

Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
106
Shots on target
53
Corner Kicks
65
Yellow Cards
32
Total shots
106
Shots on target
53
Shots off target
53
Corner Kicks
65

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 8', Casado J. , Cera ,
  • 29', Andujar D. 🟨,
  • 35', 0 - 1, Samuel ,
  • 38', San Emeterio F. 🟨,
  • 41', Diaz B. 🟨,
  • 43', Samuel 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 46', Diaz B. , Canizo A. ,
  • 46', Aguilar Elizalde E. , Sergio Benito ,
  • 46', Vazquez B. , Frimpong E. ,
  • 59', 1 - 1, Sergio Benito ,
  • 67', Valle B. , Fernandez X. ,
  • 71', Gil A. , Munoz P. ,
  • 71', Neskes , Alvarez U. ,
  • 72', Lopez A. 🟨,
  • 73', Cortes J. , Ferrer P. ,
  • 73', San Emeterio F. , Novoa G. ,
  • 83', 1 - 2, Munoz P. ,
  • 86', Samuel , Rojo P. ,
  • 90+5', 1 - 3, Caropitche S. M. ,

Chances of winning


Ponferradina
47.7%
Draw
30.1%
CD Guadalajara
22.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.8% 28.9% 21.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.6% 31.1% 19.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ponferradina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
  • CD Guadalajara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ponferradina than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ponferradina, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for CD Guadalajara than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
  • Ponferradina - CD Guadalajara Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.96
    (1.8)
    3.11
    (3.1)
    4.28
    (4.2)
    6.5%
    (11.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Ponferradina - CD Guadalajara?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Ponferradina will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Guadalajara will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Ponferradina is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Guadalajara has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Ponferradina could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Ponferradina won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 1:2).
    • Including home match between the teams, Ponferradina won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ponferradina - CD Guadalajara were as follows:
    12.11.2022 CD Guadalajara - Ponferradina 2:1
    Latest results of Ponferradina
    14.09.2025 Ferrol - Ponferradina 2:1
    06.09.2025 Ponferradina - Pontevedra 0:1
    16.08.2025 Ferrol - Ponferradina 1:1
    Latest results of CD Guadalajara
    Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tenerife660016:21418
    2Celta Vigo B641110:4613
    3Racing Club Ferrol63217:5211
    4Guadalajara63129:7210
    5Barakaldo72418:7110
    6Real Aviles631211:11010
    7Pontevedra63126:6010
    8Zamora62316:429
    9Ath Bilbao B72326:609
    10Osasuna B62313:309
    11Arenteiro62226:518
    12CF Talavera62227:708
    13Lugo62134:5-17
    14Arenas Getxo62137:11-47
    15Cacereno61326:8-26
    16Real Madrid B62046:9-36
    17Merida AD62047:12-56
    18Ponferradina61147:9-24
    19Ourense CF60334:9-53
    20Unionistas61054:10-63

          Promotion ~ LaLiga2
          Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1
          Relegation