Result
0:3
18/10/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Nacional - Apertura - Round 15
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 45+1', Flores A. ↓, Miranda J. ↑,
- 45+2', 0 - 1, Vega Orellana A. N. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 62', Anderson I. 🟨,
- 64', Sorto Caballero T. A. ↓, Ramirez D. ↑,
- 67', Fonseca C. ↓, Arzu Zapata C. I. ↑,
- 69', Ramos O. ↓, Fernandez J. ↑,
- 72', Anderson I. 🟨,
- 76', Castillo I. ↓, Orellana A. ↑,
- 77', Vega Orellana A. N. ↓, Elvir S. ↑,
- 77', Messiniti N. ↓, Castillo R. ↑,
- 78', Moncada W. ↓, Salazar K. ↑,
- 82', Rivera J. 🟨,
- 83', 0 - 2, Elvir S. ⚽,
- 84', Rodriguez M. ↓, Nieto J. ↑,
- 86', 0 - 3, Castillo R. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Génesis PN
22.3% | Draw
26.4% | CD Marathón
51.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Génesis PN has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)CD Marathón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Génesis PN than the current prediction. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for CD Marathón than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
Génesis PN - CD Marathón Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.1 ↑
(4.09) |
3.47 ↓
(3.5) |
1.79 ↑
(1.75) |
9.2%
(10.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Génesis PN - CD Marathón?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Marathón (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 10 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Apertura ~ Triangulares: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Génesis won 0.
- Génesis has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Marathón is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Génesis may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Marathón is a strong favorite.
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Génesis won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 5:14. (average 0.5:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Génesis won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 0.6:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Génesis PN won against CD Marathón?
Génesis PN has won 1 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has CD Marathón won against Génesis PN?
CD Marathón has won 7 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Génesis PN - CD Marathón were as follows:
09.08.2025
CD Marathón
-
Génesis PN
1:0
19.04.2025
CD Marathón
-
Génesis PN
0:0
17.02.2025
Génesis PN
-
CD Marathón
1:1
23.11.2024
CD Marathón
-
Génesis PN
1:1
18.09.2024
Génesis PN
-
CD Marathón
1:2
Latest results of Génesis PN
Latest results of CD Marathón
Honduras Liga Nacional Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Olimpia | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 34:17 | 17 | 34 |
| 2 | Marathon | 15 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 30:11 | 19 | 30 |
| 3 | Olancho | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 28:20 | 8 | 22 |
| 4 | Real Espana | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 22:16 | 6 | 22 |
| 5 | UPNFM | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 22:27 | -5 | 20 |
| 6 | Platense | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 23:16 | 7 | 19 |
| 7 | Motagua | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 23:22 | 1 | 19 |
| 8 | Juticalpa | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 18:25 | -7 | 17 |
| 9 | Choloma | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 19:38 | -19 | 11 |
| 10 | Genesis | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 18:27 | -9 | 10 |
| 11 | Victoria | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 12:30 | -18 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Apertura ~ Triangulares: )
