Melbourne Victory vs Central Coast Mariners – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Australian A-League Melbourne Victory - Central Coast Mariners
Result
3:0
08/03/2025 at 03:35 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • AUSTRALIA: A-League - Round 22
  • Referee: Evans S. (Aus)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaSporty TV, StarTimes App
asiaAsiaSPOTV 2 Asia
australiaAustralia10 Bold, 10 Play, Paramount+
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
germanyGermanySportdigital FUSSBALL
hong-kongHong-kongM Plus Live
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode, Vision+
indonesiaIndonesiaVidio
macaoMacaoMacau Cable TV 35 Sports
malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Go
new-zealandNew-zealandSky Sport 4, Sky Sport Select
philippinesPhilippinesCignal Play, Premier Football
singaporeSingaporeStarHub TV+
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV 2, SPOTV Now
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ UK, TNT Sports 1, TNT Sports 5, TNT Sports 8
usaUsaESPN 3, ESPN App

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.110.04
Ball Possession
60%40%
Goal Attempts
241
Shots on Goal
90
Shots off Goal
91
Blocked Shots
60
Big Chances
60
Corner Kicks
102
Shots inside the Box
140
Shots outside the Box
101
Hit the Woodwork
00
Goalkeeper Saves
06
Free Kicks
123
Offsides
11
Fouls
312
Yellow Cards
22
Throw-ins
2024
Touches in the Opposition Box
336
Passes
83% (459/550)79% (287/363)
Passes in the final third
73% (150/205)69% (51/74)
Crosses
18% (3/17)0% (0/8)
Tackles
69% (11/16)55% (11/20)
Clearances Total
1427
Interceptions
716

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 9', 1 - 0, Velupillay N. ,
  • 41', 2 - 0, Fornaroli B. , Hamill B. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Di Pizio M. , Theoharous C. ,
  • 46', Vitor Feijao , Duarte N. ,
  • 46', Roux S. , Kuzevski S. ,
  • 55', Velupillay N. 🟨,
  • 56', Theoharous C. 🟨,
  • 58', Duarte N. 🟨,
  • 65', Arzani D. , Badolato A. ,
  • 65', Roderick , Jackson L. ,
  • 73', Sainsbury T. , Herrington D. ,
  • 73', Mauragis L. , Faisal A. ,
  • 75', Piscopo R. , Clarismario ,
  • 75', Velupillay N. , Machach Z. ,
  • 84', Rawlins J. 🟨,
  • 85', Fornaroli B. , Vergos N. ,
  • 90+2', 3 - 0, Machach Z. , Valadon J. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Melbourne Victory
63.2%
Draw
21.9%
Central Coast Mariners
15%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
69% 18.6% 12.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.5% 17.7% 11.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Melbourne Victory has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Melbourne Victory's form might have worsened.
  • Central Coast Mariners has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melbourne Victory than the current prediction. (+9.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Melbourne Victory, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Central Coast Mariners than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
  • Melbourne Victory - Central Coast Mariners Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.5
    (1.37)
    4.34
    (5.05)
    6.29
    (7.62)
    5.7%
    (6.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Melbourne Victory - Central Coast Mariners?
  • Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Melbourne Victory will win (votes: 14 - 82.4%). Central Coast will win (votes: 1 - 5.9%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Melbourne Victory: 64.3%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 10).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Melbourne Victory won 0.
    • Recent matches Melbourne Victory is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Central Coast has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Central Coast could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Melbourne Victory is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Central Coast: Edmondson R. (Injury) McCalmont A. (Yellow Cards) Tapp B. (Knee Injury) Torres A. (Suspended)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Melbourne Victory won 7 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 33:27 (average 1.7:1.4).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Melbourne Victory won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 20:11 (average 2:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Melbourne Victory - Central Coast Mariners were as follows:
    18.10.2024 Central Coast Mariners - Melbourne Victory 0:0
    25.05.2024 Central Coast Mariners - Melbourne Victory 3:1
    25.02.2024 Melbourne Victory - Central Coast Mariners 0:1
    13.01.2024 Central Coast Mariners - Melbourne Victory 1:1
    02.12.2023 Central Coast Mariners - Melbourne Victory 2:2
    Latest results of Melbourne Victory
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Melbourne City (2)Bye
    2Western United (3)Adelaide United (6)3 : 2
    3Auckland FC (1)Bye
    4WS Wanderers (4)Melbourne Victory (5)1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Melbourne City (2)Western United (3)1 : 1, 3 : 0
    2Auckland FC (1)Melbourne Victory (5)0 : 2, 1 : 0

    Final
    1Melbourne City (2)Melbourne Victory (5)1 : 0