Perth Glory vs Central Coast Mariners – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:0
10/01/2026 at 05:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • A-League - Round 12
  • Referee: Abraham B. (Aus)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaParamount+
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
germanyGermanySportdigital FUSSBALL
hong-kongHong-kongM Plus Live, myTV SUPER
new-zealandNew-zealandSky Sport 5
switzerlandSwitzerlandSunrise TV, Sunrise TV
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 10, TNT Sports 1, TNT Sports Extra
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
2.740.71
Ball possession
54%46%
Total shots
2211
Shots on target
90
Big chances
61
Corner kicks
95
Passes
87% (455/521)85% (362/428)
Yellow cards
13
Expected goals (xG)
2.740.71
xG on target (xGOT)
2.830.00
Total shots
2211
Shots on target
90
Shots off target
76
Blocked shots
65
Shots inside the box
157
Shots outside the box
74
Hit the woodwork
10
Big chances
61
Corner kicks
95
Touches in opposition box
2816
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
00
Free kicks
1310
Passes
87% (455/521)85% (362/428)
Long passes
54% (26/48)40% (17/42)
Passes in final third
73% (74/101)73% (78/107)
Crosses
43% (6/14)17% (3/18)
Expected assists (xA)
1.180.78
Throw ins
1614
Fouls
1013
Tackles
63% (5/8)25% (4/16)
Duels won
4643
Clearances
2723
Interceptions
110
Errors leading to shot
03
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
06
xGOT faced
0.002.83
Goals prevented
0.00-0.17

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 24', 1 - 0, Pennington N. , Shamoon C. A. (A),
  • 32', Roux S. 🟨,
  • 45+1', 2 - 0, Taggart A. , Lawrence T. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 54', 3 - 0, Lawrence T. ,
  • 58', James Ngor S. 🟨,
  • 61', Steele H. , Herrington D. ,
  • 61', Brandtman B. , De Lima A. ,
  • 61', Roux S. , Kennedy W. ,
  • 70', Ostler T. , Sulemani A. ,
  • 70', Lawrence T. , Amos L. ,
  • 74', Sutton S. , Lisolajski Z. ,
  • 84', Kennedy W. 🟨,
  • 84', Taggart A. , Popovic G. ,
  • 84', Bozinovski R. , Kuzamba T. ,
  • 84', Eames H. , Theoharous C. ,
  • 87', Amos L. 🟨,
  • 87', James Ngor S. , Duarte N. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Perth Glory
56.1%
Draw
24.2%
Central Coast Mariners
19.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.8% 25.8% 25.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7% 25.9% 25.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Perth Glory has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Perth Glory's performance.
  • Central Coast Mariners has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Central Coast Mariners might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Perth Glory than the current prediction. (-7.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Perth Glory that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Central Coast Mariners than the current prediction. (+5.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Central Coast Mariners could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Perth Glory - Central Coast Mariners Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.69
    (1.89)
    3.89
    (3.57)
    4.77
    (3.63)
    5.8%
    (8.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Perth Glory - Central Coast Mariners?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS, 2nd Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1 - Central Coast (1.71) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Perth Glory will win (37 of 44 users predict this - 84.09%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 73.28%94.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Perth Glory will win (17 of 19 users predict this - 89.47%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 20 high ROI users predict this event. Perth (votes: 17 - 85%). Central Coast (votes: 2 - 10%). Tie (votes: 1 - 5%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 10 and 11).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Perth won 1.
    • In recent matches, Perth has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Central Coast's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Perth may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Perth is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Perth: Anasmo J. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Cook C. (Knee Injury) Despotovski S. (Calf Injury) Kucharski J. (Injury) Lisolajski Z. (Hamstring Injury) Timmins C. (Injury) Wales L. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Central Coast: Sainsbury T. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Perth won 9 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 35:25. (average 1.8:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Perth won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:11. (average 1.4:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Perth Glory - Central Coast Mariners were as follows:
    07.11.2025 Perth Glory - Central Coast Mariners 0:1
    13.05.2025 Central Coast Mariners - Perth Glory 2:3
    30.03.2025 Central Coast Mariners - Perth Glory 3:1
    07.02.2025 Perth Glory - Central Coast Mariners 1:1
    02.11.2024 Central Coast Mariners - Perth Glory 0:0
    Latest results of Perth Glory
    Latest results of Central Coast Mariners
    Australian A-League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Newcastle Jets22141746:331343
    2Auckland FC22116537:231439
    3Melbourne Victory22105738:281035
    4Adelaide United22105739:32735
    5Sydney FC22103929:23633
    6Macarthur FC2277828:36-828
    7Central Coast Mariners2176829:32-327
    8Wellington Phoenix2276933:41-827
    9Melbourne City2168722:28-626
    10Brisbane Roar22661022:29-724
    11Perth Glory22651125:35-1023
    12WS Wanderers22561126:34-821

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