Result
3:1
23/09/2025 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 31
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | Stan Sport |
 Brazil | Canal GOAT |
 China | K-Ball |
 Hong-kong | myTV SUPER |
 India | FanCode, FanCode |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.92 | 1.36 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (358/454) | 85% (440/518) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.92 | 1.36 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.21 | 1.17 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (358/454) | 85% (440/518) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 38% (23/61) | 39% (18/46) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (96/139) | 69% (81/117) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 46% (6/13) | 20% (2/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.79 | 0.55 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 59% (10/17) | 50% (7/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 38 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 15 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.17 | 2.21 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.17 | -0.79 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 8', Kim Tae-Hyeon 🟨,
- 11', Kida H. 🟨,
- 28', 0 - 1, Vitor Bueno (Pen),
- 31', 1 - 1, Chinen K. ⚽, Ueda N. (A),
- 41', Yoshino K. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Shibasaki G. ↓, Funabashi Y. ↑,
- 46', Talles Brener ↓, Suzuki Y. ↑,
- 46', Takahashi N. ↓, Ohata A. ↑,
- 51', Chinen K. 🟨,
- 53', 2 - 1, Leo Ceara ⚽, Ueda N. (A),
- 62', Sakata R. ↓, Fernandes L. ↑,
- 62', Kida H. ↓, Tanaka S. ↑,
- 62', Yoshino K. ↓, Kagawa S. ↑,
- 64', Hatanaka S. 🟨,
- 68', Nono K. ↓, Matsumura Y. ↑,
- 68', Elber ↓, Cavric A. ↑,
- 68', 3 - 1, Matsumura Y. ⚽,
- 71', Chinen K. ↓, Misao K. ↑,
- 74', Homma S. ↓, Thiago Andrade ↑,
Chances of winning
Kashima Antlers
50.6% | Draw
25.1% | Cerezo Osaka
24.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kashima Antlers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kashima Antlers's performance.Cerezo Osaka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cerezo Osaka might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kashima Antlers than the current prediction. (-11.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kashima Antlers that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cerezo Osaka than the current prediction. (+10.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cerezo Osaka could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Kashima Antlers - Cerezo Osaka Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.91 ↓
(2.38) |
3.76 ↑
(3.71) |
3.82 ↑
(2.68) |
5%
(6.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Kashima Antlers - Cerezo Osaka?
Users Predictions:
Kashima Antlers will win
(27 of 32 users predict this - 84.38%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.8% – 96.96%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Kashima Antlers will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: ) and 9).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kashima won 3.
- Kashima is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Cerezo Osaka has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Recently, Kashima has had a series of away games.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Kashima: Anzai K.
(Knee Injury)
Morooka S.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Sekigawa I.
(Knee Injury)
Shimoda Y.
(Foot Injury)
Tokuda H.
(Broken ankle)
- There will not play in Cerezo Osaka: Hirano Y.
(Knee Injury)
Noborizato K.
(Knee Injury)
Takahashi N.
(Foot Injury)
Uejo S.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kashima won 14 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 31:12. (average 1.6:0.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Kashima won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:7. (average 1.1:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Kashima Antlers won against Cerezo Osaka?
Kashima Antlers has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cerezo Osaka won against Kashima Antlers?
Cerezo Osaka has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Kashima Antlers - Cerezo Osaka were as follows:
12.04.2025
Cerezo Osaka
-
Kashima Antlers
1:0
30.11.2024
Cerezo Osaka
-
Kashima Antlers
0:2
02.03.2024
Kashima Antlers
-
Cerezo Osaka
1:1
16.09.2023
Kashima Antlers
-
Cerezo Osaka
1:0
07.05.2023
Cerezo Osaka
-
Kashima Antlers
0:1
Latest results of Kashima Antlers
Latest results of Cerezo Osaka
Japan J1 League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Kashima Antlers | 33 | 20 | 5 | 8 | 52:28 | 24 | 65 |
| 2 | Kyoto | 33 | 17 | 9 | 7 | 57:35 | 22 | 60 |
| 3 | Kashiwa Reysol | 33 | 16 | 12 | 5 | 48:33 | 15 | 60 |
| 4 | Vissel Kobe | 33 | 18 | 6 | 9 | 43:28 | 15 | 60 |
| 5 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 33 | 17 | 7 | 9 | 39:23 | 16 | 58 |
| 6 | Machida | 33 | 16 | 7 | 10 | 49:35 | 14 | 55 |
| 7 | Kawasaki Frontale | 33 | 14 | 11 | 8 | 60:45 | 15 | 53 |
| 8 | Urawa Reds | 33 | 14 | 10 | 9 | 40:32 | 8 | 52 |
| 9 | Gamba Osaka | 33 | 15 | 5 | 13 | 46:47 | -1 | 50 |
| 10 | Cerezo Osaka | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 50:49 | 1 | 43 |
| 11 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 35:39 | -4 | 41 |
| 12 | Okayama | 33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | 29:35 | -6 | 41 |
| 13 | FC Tokyo | 33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | 36:46 | -10 | 41 |
| 14 | Avispa Fukuoka | 33 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 32:37 | -5 | 40 |
| 15 | Nagoya Grampus | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 40:48 | -8 | 39 |
| 16 | Verdy | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 21:35 | -14 | 39 |
| 17 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 32:44 | -12 | 31 |
| 18 | Yokohama FC | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 21:37 | -16 | 31 |
| 19 | Shonan Bellmare | 33 | 6 | 7 | 20 | 28:57 | -29 | 25 |
| 20 | Albirex Niigata | 33 | 4 | 10 | 19 | 30:55 | -25 | 22 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ J2 League
