Cerezo Osaka vs Vissel Kobe – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Japan J1 League Cerezo Osaka - Vissel Kobe
Result
1:1
23/08/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • J1 League - Round 27
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
chinaChinaK-Ball
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
japanJapanDAZN Japan
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaTDM Desporto

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.371.35
Ball Possession
62%38%
Total shots
1514
Shots on target
23
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
65
Passes
78% (337/432)69% (176/254)
Yellow Cards
13
Expected Goals (xG)
1.371.35
xG on target (xGOT)
1.001.57
Total shots
1514
Shots on target
23
Shots off target
87
Blocked Shots
54
Shots inside the Box
128
Shots outside the Box
36
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
65
Touches in opposition box
3122
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
13
Free Kicks
1312
Passes
78% (337/432)69% (176/254)
Long passes
45% (28/62)42% (28/67)
Passes in final third
71% (99/139)52% (54/103)
Crosses
36% (5/14)15% (4/27)
Expected assists (xA)
2.251.43
Throw-ins
1526
Fouls
1313
Tackles
64% (9/14)55% (11/20)
Duels won
6156
Clearances
5122
Interceptions
310
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
21
xGOT faced
1.571.00
Goals prevented
0.570.00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 22', Ideguchi Y. 🟨,
  • 25', Ogihara T. 🟨,
  • 35', 1 - 0, Kagawa S. , Homma S. (A),
  • 42', Hatanaka S. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Jean Patric , Erik ,
  • 46', Ide H. , Osako Y. ,
  • 47', 1 - 1, Erik , Osako Y. (A),
  • 60', Kuwasaki Y. , Sakai G. ,
  • 67', Homma S. , Thiago Andrade ,
  • 76', Ohata A. , Okuda H. ,
  • 76', Yoshino K. , Kida H. ,
  • 79', Muto Y. , Yuruki K. ,
  • 84', Nagato K. , Honda Y. ,
  • 89', Kagawa S. , Shibayama M. ,
  • 90+2', Erik 🟨,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Cerezo Osaka
30.1%
Draw
28.3%
Vissel Kobe
41.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.3% 28.3% 29.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.4% 27.6% 28.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cerezo Osaka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cerezo Osaka's form might have worsened.
  • Vissel Kobe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Vissel Kobe's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cerezo Osaka than the current prediction. (+13.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cerezo Osaka, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vissel Kobe than the current prediction. (-12.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Vissel Kobe, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Cerezo Osaka - Vissel Kobe Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.12
    (2.22)
    3.34
    (3.31)
    2.27
    (3.2)
    6.1%
    (6.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Cerezo Osaka - Vissel Kobe?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Cerezo Osaka will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%). Vissel Kobe will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Vissel Kobe: 19.1%73.3%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Vissel Kobe (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 9 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cerezo Osaka won 2.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Cerezo Osaka may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in Cerezo Osaka: Hirano Y. (Knee Injury) Noborizato K. (Knee Injury) Rafael Ratao (Yellow Cards) Takahashi N. (Foot Injury) Uejo S. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Vissel Kobe: Hamasaki K. (Shoulder Injury) Sasaki D. (Injury) Tominaga N. (Inactive)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cerezo Osaka won 10 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 25:18. (average 1.3:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Cerezo Osaka won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:8. (average 1.4:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cerezo Osaka - Vissel Kobe were as follows:
    06.05.2025 Vissel Kobe - Cerezo Osaka 1:3
    13.09.2024 Vissel Kobe - Cerezo Osaka 2:1
    11.05.2024 Cerezo Osaka - Vissel Kobe 1:4
    23.09.2023 Vissel Kobe - Cerezo Osaka 1:0
    10.06.2023 Cerezo Osaka - Vissel Kobe 2:1
    Latest results of Cerezo Osaka
    Latest results of Vissel Kobe
    Japan J1 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Kashima Antlers27163840:261451
    2Machida28155842:261650
    3Kashiwa Reysol27148540:271350
    4Vissel Kobe28155836:261050
    5Sanfrecce Hiroshima28154933:191449
    6Kyoto26146643:301348
    7Urawa Reds27128738:30844
    8Kawasaki Frontale27119745:351042
    9Okayama271161026:23339
    10Cerezo Osaka27108941:38338
    11Avispa Fukuoka27910827:26137
    12Gamba Osaka281141333:40-737
    13Shimizu S-Pulse27881130:35-532
    14Verdy27871216:28-1231
    15FC Tokyo26861229:37-830
    16Nagoya Grampus27771333:41-828
    17Yokohama F. Marinos27671426:34-825
    18Shonan Bellmare27671422:42-2025
    19Yokohama FC27641718:35-1722
    20Albirex Niigata27481527:47-2020

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Relegation ~ J2 League