Result
2:1 penalties
22/03/2026 at 02:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 8
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | K-Ball |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.53 | 0.56 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (354/453) | 80% (349/437) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.53 | 0.56 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.60 | 0.77 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 10 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (354/453) | 80% (349/437) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 48% (22/46) | 48% (30/63) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (84/128) | 69% (101/146) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (4/17) | 8% (2/25) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.05 | 0.32 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 24 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 40% (4/10) | 50% (6/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 31 | 33 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.77 | 0.60 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.23 | -0.40 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 12', 1 - 0, Inoue R. ⚽, Shibayama M. (A),
- 33', Caetano 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Caetano ↓, Yamakawa T. ↑,
- 46', Yamada K. ↓, Hamasaki K. ↑,
- 46', Inui T. ↓, Hidaka M. ↑,
- 46', Noborizato K. ↓, Ohata A. ↑,
- 56', Ogihara T. 🟨,
- 59', Homma S. ↓, Sakuragawa S. ↑,
- 67', 1 - 1, Hidaka M. ⚽,
- 68', Diego ↓, Jean Patric ↑,
- 75', Sakata R. ↓, Cools D. ↑,
- 75', Thiago Andrade ↓, Yokoyama Y. ↑,
- 76', Ishiwatari N. ↓, Kagawa S. ↑,
- 80', Sakuragawa S. 🟨,
- 81', Komatsu R. ↓, Uchino K. ↑,
- Penalties (6 - 5)
- 1, Kagawa S. (Penalty Awarded),
- 1, Ogihara T. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2, Cools D. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2, Uchino K. (Penalty Awarded),
- 3, Tanaka S. (Penalty Awarded),
- 3, Nagato K. (Penalty Awarded),
- 4, Hatanaka S. (Penalty Awarded),
- 4, Hidaka M. (Penalty Awarded),
- 5, Inoue R. (Penalty Awarded),
- 5, Jean Patric (Penalty Awarded),
- 6, Shibayama M. (Penalty Awarded),
- 6, Hamasaki K. (Penalty Awarded),
Chances of winning
Cerezo Osaka
33.6% | Draw
27.7% | Vissel Kobe
38.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cerezo Osaka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)Vissel Kobe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vissel Kobe might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cerezo Osaka than the current prediction. (-4.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vissel Kobe than the current prediction. (+5.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vissel Kobe could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Cerezo Osaka - Vissel Kobe Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.8 ↓
(3.24) |
3.39 ↓
(3.58) |
2.41 ↑
(2.13) |
6.7%
(5.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Cerezo Osaka - Vissel Kobe?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Cerezo Osaka will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Vissel Kobe will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Cerezo Osaka (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +0.25 - Cerezo Osaka (1.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Cerezo Osaka (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 17th place) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cerezo Osaka won 1.
- In recent matches, Cerezo Osaka has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Vissel Kobe is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Vissel Kobe may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Vissel Kobe might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Cerezo Osaka: Fernandes L.
(Knee Injury)
Kim Jin-Hyeon
(Ankle Injury)
Takahashi T.
(Back Injury)
Uejo S.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Vissel Kobe: Arai S.
(Knee Injury)
Iwanami T.
(Leg Injury)
- There are questionable in Cerezo Osaka: Yengi K.
(Muscle Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cerezo Osaka won 9 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 24:18. (average 1.2:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cerezo Osaka won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:9. (average 1.4:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Cerezo Osaka won against Vissel Kobe?
Cerezo Osaka has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vissel Kobe won against Cerezo Osaka?
Vissel Kobe has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cerezo Osaka - Vissel Kobe were as follows:
23.08.2025
Cerezo Osaka
-
Vissel Kobe
1:1
06.05.2025
Vissel Kobe
-
Cerezo Osaka
1:3
13.09.2024
Vissel Kobe
-
Cerezo Osaka
2:1
11.05.2024
Cerezo Osaka
-
Vissel Kobe
1:4
23.09.2023
Vissel Kobe
-
Cerezo Osaka
1:0
Latest results of Cerezo Osaka
Latest results of Vissel Kobe
Japan J1 League Table
2026East | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Kashima Antlers | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15:5 | 22 |
| 2 | FC Tokyo | 8 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 13:8 | 16 |
| 3 | Machida | 7 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13:12 | 15 |
| 4 | Verdy | 8 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12:11 | 13 |
| 5 | Urawa Reds | 8 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 11:10 | 11 |
| 6 | Kawasaki Frontale | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12:13 | 10 |
| 7 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 12:12 | 9 |
| 8 | Kashiwa Reysol | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 12:13 | 8 |
| 9 | Mito | 8 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 9:17 | 8 |
| 10 | Chiba | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6:14 | 5 |
West | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Kyoto | 8 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 12:9 | 14 |
| 2 | Gamba Osaka | 8 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 14:13 | 14 |
| 3 | Vissel Kobe | 7 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 12:8 | 13 |
| 4 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 8 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 11:10 | 13 |
| 5 | Nagoya Grampus | 8 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 12:12 | 13 |
| 6 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10:11 | 12 |
| 7 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12:10 | 11 |
| 8 | Cerezo Osaka | 8 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9:8 | 11 |
| 9 | Okayama | 8 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 9:11 | 11 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 8 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 8:17 | 5 |
Promotion ~ J1 League (Play Offs: )
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)
