Result
1:1
23/08/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 27
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | Stan Sport |
 China | K-Ball |
 India | FanCode, FanCode |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 North-macedonia | TDM Desporto |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.37 | 1.35 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 62% | 38% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (337/432) | 69% (176/254) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.37 | 1.35 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.00 | 1.57 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 31 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (337/432) | 69% (176/254) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (28/62) | 42% (28/67) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (99/139) | 52% (54/103) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 36% (5/14) | 15% (4/27) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.25 | 1.43 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (9/14) | 55% (11/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 61 | 56 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 51 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.57 | 1.00 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.57 | 0.00 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 22', Ideguchi Y. 🟨,
- 25', Ogihara T. 🟨,
- 35', 1 - 0, Kagawa S. ⚽, Homma S. (A),
- 42', Hatanaka S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Jean Patric ↓, Erik ↑,
- 46', Ide H. ↓, Osako Y. ↑,
- 47', 1 - 1, Erik ⚽, Osako Y. (A),
- 60', Kuwasaki Y. ↓, Sakai G. ↑,
- 67', Homma S. ↓, Thiago Andrade ↑,
- 76', Ohata A. ↓, Okuda H. ↑,
- 76', Yoshino K. ↓, Kida H. ↑,
- 79', Muto Y. ↓, Yuruki K. ↑,
- 84', Nagato K. ↓, Honda Y. ↑,
- 89', Kagawa S. ↓, Shibayama M. ↑,
- 90+2', Erik 🟨,
Chances of winning
Cerezo Osaka
30.1% | Draw
28.3% | Vissel Kobe
41.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cerezo Osaka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cerezo Osaka's form might have worsened.Vissel Kobe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Vissel Kobe's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cerezo Osaka than the current prediction. (+13.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cerezo Osaka, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vissel Kobe than the current prediction. (-12.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Vissel Kobe, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Cerezo Osaka - Vissel Kobe Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.12 ↑
(2.22) |
3.34 ↑
(3.31) |
2.27 ↓
(3.2) |
6.1%
(6.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Cerezo Osaka - Vissel Kobe?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Cerezo Osaka will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%). Vissel Kobe will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vissel Kobe: 19.1% – 73.3%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Vissel Kobe (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 9 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cerezo Osaka won 2.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Cerezo Osaka may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Cerezo Osaka: Hirano Y.
(Knee Injury)
Noborizato K.
(Knee Injury)
Rafael Ratao
(Yellow Cards)
Takahashi N.
(Foot Injury)
Uejo S.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Vissel Kobe: Hamasaki K.
(Shoulder Injury)
Sasaki D.
(Injury)
Tominaga N.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cerezo Osaka won 10 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 25:18. (average 1.3:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cerezo Osaka won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:8. (average 1.4:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Cerezo Osaka won against Vissel Kobe?
Cerezo Osaka has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vissel Kobe won against Cerezo Osaka?
Vissel Kobe has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cerezo Osaka - Vissel Kobe were as follows:
06.05.2025
Vissel Kobe
-
Cerezo Osaka
1:3
13.09.2024
Vissel Kobe
-
Cerezo Osaka
2:1
11.05.2024
Cerezo Osaka
-
Vissel Kobe
1:4
23.09.2023
Vissel Kobe
-
Cerezo Osaka
1:0
10.06.2023
Cerezo Osaka
-
Vissel Kobe
2:1
Latest results of Cerezo Osaka
Latest results of Vissel Kobe
Japan J1 League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Kyoto | 29 | 16 | 7 | 6 | 53:31 | 22 | 55 |
| 2 | Kashima Antlers | 29 | 17 | 4 | 8 | 44:27 | 17 | 55 |
| 3 | Kashiwa Reysol | 29 | 15 | 9 | 5 | 42:28 | 14 | 54 |
| 4 | Vissel Kobe | 30 | 16 | 6 | 8 | 37:26 | 11 | 54 |
| 5 | Machida | 30 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 46:32 | 14 | 51 |
| 6 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 30 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 35:21 | 14 | 51 |
| 7 | Kawasaki Frontale | 29 | 13 | 9 | 7 | 53:38 | 15 | 48 |
| 8 | Urawa Reds | 29 | 13 | 8 | 8 | 39:31 | 8 | 47 |
| 9 | Gamba Osaka | 30 | 13 | 4 | 13 | 39:44 | -5 | 43 |
| 10 | Cerezo Osaka | 29 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 46:41 | 5 | 42 |
| 11 | Okayama | 29 | 11 | 6 | 12 | 26:29 | -3 | 39 |
| 12 | Avispa Fukuoka | 29 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 30:32 | -2 | 37 |
| 13 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 32:36 | -4 | 36 |
| 14 | Nagoya Grampus | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 35:42 | -7 | 32 |
| 15 | Verdy | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 16:28 | -12 | 32 |
| 16 | FC Tokyo | 28 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 30:42 | -12 | 31 |
| 17 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 29 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 26:38 | -12 | 25 |
| 18 | Shonan Bellmare | 29 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 26:50 | -24 | 25 |
| 19 | Yokohama FC | 29 | 6 | 6 | 17 | 19:36 | -17 | 24 |
| 20 | Albirex Niigata | 29 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 27:49 | -22 | 20 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ J2 League
