Result
1:1
23/08/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 27
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Australia | Stan Sport |
China | K-Ball |
India | FanCode, FanCode |
Japan | DAZN Japan |
North-macedonia | TDM Desporto |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.37 | 1.35 |
Ball Possession |
---|
62% | 38% |
Total shots |
---|
15 | 14 |
Shots on target |
---|
2 | 3 |
Big Chances |
---|
3 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
6 | 5 |
Passes |
---|
78% (337/432) | 69% (176/254) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
1 | 3 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.37 | 1.35 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.00 | 1.57 |
Total shots |
---|
15 | 14 |
Shots on target |
---|
2 | 3 |
Shots off target |
---|
8 | 7 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
5 | 4 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
12 | 8 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
3 | 6 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
3 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
6 | 5 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
31 | 22 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 1 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 3 |
Free Kicks |
---|
13 | 12 |
Passes |
---|
78% (337/432) | 69% (176/254) |
Long passes |
---|
45% (28/62) | 42% (28/67) |
Passes in final third |
---|
71% (99/139) | 52% (54/103) |
Crosses |
---|
36% (5/14) | 15% (4/27) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
2.25 | 1.43 |
Throw-ins |
---|
15 | 26 |
Fouls |
---|
13 | 13 |
Tackles |
---|
64% (9/14) | 55% (11/20) |
Duels won |
---|
61 | 56 |
Clearances |
---|
51 | 22 |
Interceptions |
---|
3 | 10 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
1 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
2 | 1 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.57 | 1.00 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.57 | 0.00 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 22', Ideguchi Y. 🟨,
- 25', Ogihara T. 🟨,
- 35', 1 - 0, Kagawa S. ⚽, Homma S. (A),
- 42', Hatanaka S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Jean Patric ↓, Erik ↑,
- 46', Ide H. ↓, Osako Y. ↑,
- 47', 1 - 1, Erik ⚽, Osako Y. (A),
- 60', Kuwasaki Y. ↓, Sakai G. ↑,
- 67', Homma S. ↓, Thiago Andrade ↑,
- 76', Ohata A. ↓, Okuda H. ↑,
- 76', Yoshino K. ↓, Kida H. ↑,
- 79', Muto Y. ↓, Yuruki K. ↑,
- 84', Nagato K. ↓, Honda Y. ↑,
- 89', Kagawa S. ↓, Shibayama M. ↑,
- 90+2', Erik 🟨,
Chances of winning
Cerezo Osaka 30.1% | Draw 28.3% | Vissel Kobe 41.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cerezo Osaka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cerezo Osaka's form might have worsened.Vissel Kobe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Vissel Kobe's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cerezo Osaka than the current prediction. (+13.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cerezo Osaka, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vissel Kobe than the current prediction. (-12.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Vissel Kobe, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Cerezo Osaka - Vissel Kobe Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.12 ↑ (2.22) |
3.34 ↑ (3.31) |
2.27 ↓ (3.2) |
6.1% (6.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Cerezo Osaka - Vissel Kobe?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Cerezo Osaka will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%). Vissel Kobe will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vissel Kobe: 19.1% – 73.3%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Vissel Kobe (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 9 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cerezo Osaka won 2.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Cerezo Osaka may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Cerezo Osaka: Hirano Y.
(Knee Injury)
Noborizato K.
(Knee Injury)
Rafael Ratao
(Yellow Cards)
Takahashi N.
(Foot Injury)
Uejo S.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Vissel Kobe: Hamasaki K.
(Shoulder Injury)
Sasaki D.
(Injury)
Tominaga N.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cerezo Osaka won 10 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 25:18. (average 1.3:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cerezo Osaka won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:8. (average 1.4:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Cerezo Osaka won against Vissel Kobe?
Cerezo Osaka has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vissel Kobe won against Cerezo Osaka?
Vissel Kobe has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cerezo Osaka - Vissel Kobe were as follows:
06.05.2025
Vissel Kobe
-
Cerezo Osaka
1:3
13.09.2024
Vissel Kobe
-
Cerezo Osaka
2:1
11.05.2024
Cerezo Osaka
-
Vissel Kobe
1:4
23.09.2023
Vissel Kobe
-
Cerezo Osaka
1:0
10.06.2023
Cerezo Osaka
-
Vissel Kobe
2:1
Latest results of Cerezo Osaka
Latest results of Vissel Kobe
Japan J1 League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Kashima Antlers | 27 | 16 | 3 | 8 | 40:26 | 14 | 51 |
2 | Machida | 28 | 15 | 5 | 8 | 42:26 | 16 | 50 |
3 | Kashiwa Reysol | 27 | 14 | 8 | 5 | 40:27 | 13 | 50 |
4 | Vissel Kobe | 28 | 15 | 5 | 8 | 36:26 | 10 | 50 |
5 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 28 | 15 | 4 | 9 | 33:19 | 14 | 49 |
6 | Kyoto | 26 | 14 | 6 | 6 | 43:30 | 13 | 48 |
7 | Urawa Reds | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 38:30 | 8 | 44 |
8 | Kawasaki Frontale | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 45:35 | 10 | 42 |
9 | Okayama | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 26:23 | 3 | 39 |
10 | Cerezo Osaka | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 41:38 | 3 | 38 |
11 | Avispa Fukuoka | 27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 27:26 | 1 | 37 |
12 | Gamba Osaka | 28 | 11 | 4 | 13 | 33:40 | -7 | 37 |
13 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 30:35 | -5 | 32 |
14 | Verdy | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 16:28 | -12 | 31 |
15 | FC Tokyo | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 29:37 | -8 | 30 |
16 | Nagoya Grampus | 27 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 33:41 | -8 | 28 |
17 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 26:34 | -8 | 25 |
18 | Shonan Bellmare | 27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 22:42 | -20 | 25 |
19 | Yokohama FC | 27 | 6 | 4 | 17 | 18:35 | -17 | 22 |
20 | Albirex Niigata | 27 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 27:47 | -20 | 20 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ J2 League