Result
2:0
30/03/2026 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga AUF Uruguaya - Apertura - Round 9
- Referee: Matonte Cabrera A. M. (Uru)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DirecTV Sports, Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | DirecTV Sports, Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Antel TV, DirecTV Sports, Disney+ |
 Venezuela | DirecTV Sports, Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 28', Marcel S. 🟨,
- 33', Costantino I. ↓, Cabrera E. ↑,
- 34', Cavanagh T. 🟨,
- 39', 1 - 0, Marcel S. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Sosa L. ↓, Pereyra J. ↑,
- 59', 🟨,
- 63', Daguerre D. ↓, Bertocchi N. ↑,
- 66', Peralta M. ↓, Ferreira M. ↑,
- 70', Jourdan E. ↓, Monserrat M. ↑,
- 87', Pandiani A. 🟨,
- 87', Marcel S. ↓, Hernandez B. ↑,
- 87', Pandiani A. ↓, Ramos N. ↑,
- 90', 2 - 0, Correa T. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Cerro Largo
32.2% | Draw
30.7% | Danubio
37.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cerro Largo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)Danubio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cerro Largo than the current prediction. (+0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Danubio than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
Cerro Largo - Danubio Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.9 ↑
(2.81) |
3.01 ↓
(3.07) |
2.51 ↓
(2.57) |
7.4%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Cerro Largo - Danubio?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Danubio will win (votes: 4 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 60%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29.6% – 90.4%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 12 and 8).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cerro Largo won 2.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Danubio may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cerro Largo won 8 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 21:15. (average 1.1:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cerro Largo won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:5. (average 1.2:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Cerro Largo won against Danubio?
Cerro Largo has won 4 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Danubio won against Cerro Largo?
Danubio has won 1 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cerro Largo - Danubio were as follows:
18.08.2025
Cerro Largo
-
Danubio
1:0
06.03.2025
Cerro Largo
-
Danubio
3:2
15.02.2025
Danubio
-
Cerro Largo
0:0
20.10.2024
Cerro Largo
-
Danubio
0:0
09.06.2024
Cerro Largo
-
Danubio
2:2
Latest results of Cerro Largo
Latest results of Danubio
Uruguayan Primera Division Table
Apertura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Racing Montevideo | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 22:11 | 11 | 30 |
| 2 | Maldonado | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 21:15 | 6 | 23 |
| 3 | Penarol | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 19:13 | 6 | 23 |
| 4 | Albion | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 22:14 | 8 | 22 |
| 5 | Central Esp | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 20:20 | 0 | 21 |
| 6 | Defensor Sp | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 11:8 | 3 | 20 |
| 7 | Montevideo City | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 19:14 | 5 | 19 |
| 8 | Nacional | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 20:18 | 2 | 19 |
| 9 | Danubio | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 17:17 | 0 | 18 |
| 10 | Liverpool M | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 17:17 | 0 | 17 |
| 11 | Wanderers | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 14:19 | -5 | 17 |
| 12 | Cerro Largo | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 13:16 | -3 | 14 |
| 13 | Boston River | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 11:17 | -6 | 14 |
| 14 | Progreso | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 11:20 | -9 | 10 |
| 15 | CA Cerro | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 8:19 | -11 | 10 |
| 16 | Juventud | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 13:20 | -7 | 9 |
Promotion ~ Liga AUF Uruguaya (Play Offs: )
